{"source":"polymarket","id":"870848","ticker":"arkansas-senate-election-turnout","slug":"arkansas-senate-election-turnout","title":"Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arkansas-senate-election-winner-yQ3PLofgHGlc.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arkansas-senate-election-winner-yQ3PLofgHGlc.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:08:09Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":366.3111,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"100891","slug":"turnout","label":"turnout"},{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"105875","slug":"midtermmov","label":"Midterm MOV"},{"id":"104093","slug":"senate-midterms","label":"Senate midterms"},{"id":"104012","slug":"arkansas-midterm","label":"Arkansas Midterm"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"750K-825K","top_outcome_probability":0.435,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-19T18:11:45.526485Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T18:11:45.526485Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:46.240489Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/arkansas-senate-election-turnout","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697409","event_id":"870848","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-arkansas-be-between-750000-and-825000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 750,000 and 825,000?","group_item_title":"750K-825K","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.435,0.565],"probability":0.435,"spread":0.83,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:08:09Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":39.1806,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T18:13:25.596600Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T18:11:46.678907Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:46.407246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/arkansas-senate-election-turnout/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-arkansas-be-between-750000-and-825000","event_title":"Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.435,0.44,0.425,0.44,0.445,0.435,0.425,0.415,0.42,0.415,0.42,0.435,0.435,0.435,0.445,0.425,0.435]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697410","event_id":"870848","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-arkansas-be-between-825000-and-900000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 825,000 and 900,000?","group_item_title":"825K-900K","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.435,0.565],"probability":0.435,"spread":0.79,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:08:09Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":44.5147,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T17:41:39.250021Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T17:18:28.480550Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:46.407246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/arkansas-senate-election-turnout/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-arkansas-be-between-825000-and-900000","event_title":"Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.415,0.44,0.445,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.435,0.44,0.44,0.445,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.435,0.44,0.435,0.425,0.435]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697412","event_id":"870848","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-arkansas-be-between-975000-and-1050000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 975,000 and 1,050,000?","group_item_title":"975K-1.05M","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.43,0.57],"probability":0.43,"spread":0.8,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:08:09Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":46.1006,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T18:13:25.596600Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T17:18:28.480550Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:46.407246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/arkansas-senate-election-turnout/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-arkansas-be-between-975000-and-1050000","event_title":"Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.425,0.44,0.445,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.425,0.435,0.42,0.415,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.425,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.425,0.43,0.43]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697406","event_id":"870848","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-arkansas-be-less-than-600000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be less than 600,000?","group_item_title":"<600K","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.425,0.575],"probability":0.425,"spread":0.79,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:08:09Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":46.3344,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T18:13:25.596600Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T16:11:32.263454Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:46.407246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/arkansas-senate-election-turnout/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-arkansas-be-less-than-600000","event_title":"Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.44,0.445,0.44,0.415,0.43,0.42,0.445,0.435,0.425,0.435,0.425,0.415,0.44,0.44,0.425,0.415,0.425,0.43,0.425,0.425,0.425]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697407","event_id":"870848","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-arkansas-be-between-600000-and-675000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 600,000 and 675,000?","group_item_title":"600K-675K","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.425,0.575],"probability":0.425,"spread":0.79,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:08:09Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":46.4824,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T16:11:32.263454Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T16:11:32.263454Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:46.407246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/arkansas-senate-election-turnout/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-arkansas-be-between-600000-and-675000","event_title":"Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.415,0.415,0.415,0.42,0.44,0.445,0.44,0.425,0.415,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.425,0.43,0.425]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697408","event_id":"870848","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-arkansas-be-between-675000-and-750000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 675,000 and 750,000?","group_item_title":"675K-750K","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.58],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.78,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:08:09Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":50.2455,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T18:13:25.596600Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T17:39:57.956791Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:46.407246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/arkansas-senate-election-turnout/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-arkansas-be-between-675000-and-750000","event_title":"Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.44,0.43,0.445,0.44,0.43,0.415,0.44,0.445,0.43,0.435,0.43,0.415,0.435,0.435,0.44,0.405,0.42,0.415,0.415,0.42,0.42,0.42]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697411","event_id":"870848","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-arkansas-be-between-900000-and-975000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?","group_item_title":"900K-975K","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.58],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.8,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:08:09Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":43.9479,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T18:13:25.596600Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T18:11:46.678907Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:46.407246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/arkansas-senate-election-turnout/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-arkansas-be-between-900000-and-975000","event_title":"Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.415,0.44,0.44,0.445,0.44,0.42,0.435,0.44,0.445,0.415,0.45,0.455,0.45,0.435,0.4,0.42,0.425,0.41,0.415,0.42]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697413","event_id":"870848","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-arkansas-be-1050000-or-more","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be 1,050,000 or more?","group_item_title":"1.05M+","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.59],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.76,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:08:09Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":50.8946,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T18:13:25.596600Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T17:39:57.956791Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:46.407246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/arkansas-senate-election-turnout/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-arkansas-be-1050000-or-more","event_title":"Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.44,0.445,0.44,0.445,0.44,0.42,0.445,0.41,0.435,0.415,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.425,0.405,0.41,0.41,0.405,0.41,0.41,0.41]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/870848","as_of":"2026-08-19T18:29:12.838475Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout\" — top market at 44% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}