{"source":"polymarket","id":"870851","ticker":"alaska-senate-election-turnout-first-round","slug":"alaska-senate-election-turnout-first-round","title":"Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/a-295615a533.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/a-295615a533.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:09:49Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3868.466613,"volume_24hr":3224.718607,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.013364791870117,"normalized_volume":15.52610969543457,"liquidity":13272.52646,"open_interest":1626.956892,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"100891","slug":"turnout","label":"turnout"},{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"105875","slug":"midtermmov","label":"Midterm MOV"},{"id":"104011","slug":"alaska-midterm","label":"Alaska Midterm"},{"id":"104093","slug":"senate-midterms","label":"Senate midterms"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"275K-290K","top_outcome_probability":0.34,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.20500000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":608.813029,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T12:07:39.661244Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T12:07:39.661244Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:46.240489Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-election-turnout-first-round","chart_24h":[39.900000000000006,39.900000000000006,641.75,641.75,641.75,641.75,641.75,641.75,641.75,641.75,641.75,649.75,672.068911,672.068911,672.068911,672.068911,672.068911,672.068911,672.068911,672.068911,672.068911,672.068911,672.068911,672.068911,672.068911,672.068911,672.068911,2549.485578,2549.485578,2707.415578,2867.415578],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697436","event_id":"870851","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-alaska-be-between-275000-and-290000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 275,000 and 290,000?","group_item_title":"275K-290K","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.34,0.66],"probability":0.34,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:09:49Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":681.474139,"volume_24hr":608.813029,"prob_24h_change":0.20500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":608.813029,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.142911911010742,"normalized_volume":12.494120597839355,"liquidity":456.8136,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T12:07:40.587394Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T12:07:40.587394Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:46.407246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-election-turnout-first-round/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-alaska-be-between-275000-and-290000","event_title":"Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)","chart_24h":[0.135,0.125,0.265,0.29,0.28,0.295,0.375,0.37,0.36,0.355,0.365,0.36,0.36,0.345,0.34,0.345,0.34,0.345]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697437","event_id":"870851","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-alaska-be-between-290000-and-305000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 290,000 and 305,000?","group_item_title":"290K-305K","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.335,0.665],"probability":0.335,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:09:49Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1076.13,"volume_24hr":944.53,"prob_24h_change":0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":884.49,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.7093448638916,"normalized_volume":14.302593231201172,"liquidity":273.0784,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T12:07:40.587394Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T12:07:40.587394Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:46.407246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-election-turnout-first-round/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-alaska-be-between-290000-and-305000","event_title":"Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)","chart_24h":[0.305,0.21,0.16,0.135,0.14,0.15,0.145,0.145,0.14,0.14,0.135,0.155,0.165,0.17,0.175,0.175,0.335,0.335,0.335,0.325]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697438","event_id":"870851","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-alaska-be-between-305000-and-320000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 305,000 and 320,000?","group_item_title":"305K-320K","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:09:49Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":938.736667,"volume_24hr":866.0866669999999,"prob_24h_change":0.07999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":866.0866669999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.189117431640625,"normalized_volume":13.749002456665039,"liquidity":427.0539,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T12:07:40.587394Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T12:07:40.587394Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:46.407246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-election-turnout-first-round/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-alaska-be-between-305000-and-320000","event_title":"Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)","chart_24h":[0.17,0.165,0.145,0.15,0.15,0.145,0.155,0.15,0.145,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.145,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.145,0.14,0.26,0.255,0.255,0.25]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697435","event_id":"870851","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-alaska-be-between-260000-and-275000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 260,000 and 275,000?","group_item_title":"260K-275K","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1085,0.8915],"probability":0.1085,"spread":0.109,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:09:49Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":289.878911,"volume_24hr":217.228911,"prob_24h_change":-0.017,"volume_24h_change":217.228911,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.79449462890625,"normalized_volume":9.441903114318848,"liquidity":401.331,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T12:07:40.587394Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T12:07:40.587394Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:46.407246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-election-turnout-first-round/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-alaska-be-between-260000-and-275000","event_title":"Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)","chart_24h":[0.1255,0.117,0.136,0.086,0.1475,0.1135,0.124,0.1175,0.131,0.1185,0.119,0.1155,0.0725,0.071,0.166,0.267,0.277,0.162,0.2565,0.169,0.165,0.18,0.193,0.1745,0.1845,0.1505,0.147,0.143,0.1395,0.1165,0.084]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697432","event_id":"870851","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-alaska-be-less-than-230000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be less than 230,000?","group_item_title":"<230K","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:09:49Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":219.67111,"volume_24hr":147.01,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":147.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.01618480682373,"normalized_volume":8.544772148132324,"liquidity":10661.9826,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T12:07:40.587394Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T12:07:40.587394Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:46.407246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-election-turnout-first-round/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-alaska-be-less-than-230000","event_title":"Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)","chart_24h":[0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.055,0.06,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.065,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.065,0.07,0.065,0.08,0.07,0.065,0.075,0.065,0.075,0.065,0.055,0.065]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697434","event_id":"870851","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-alaska-be-between-245000-and-260000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 245,000 and 260,000?","group_item_title":"245K-260K","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.036,0.964],"probability":0.036,"spread":0.064,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:09:49Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":219.69111,"volume_24hr":147.03,"prob_24h_change":-0.069,"volume_24h_change":147.03,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.016780853271484,"normalized_volume":8.545059204101562,"liquidity":395.72876,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T12:07:40.587394Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T12:07:40.587394Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:46.407246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-election-turnout-first-round/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-alaska-be-between-245000-and-260000","event_title":"Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)","chart_24h":[0.105,0.095,0.1,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.0415,0.038,0.035]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697439","event_id":"870851","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-alaska-be-320000-or-more","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be 320,000 or more?","group_item_title":"320K+","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.052,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:09:49Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":220.806623,"volume_24hr":147.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":126.99000000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.015887260437012,"normalized_volume":8.56103229522705,"liquidity":416.61817,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T12:07:40.587394Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T12:07:40.587394Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:46.407246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-election-turnout-first-round/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-alaska-be-320000-or-more","event_title":"Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)","chart_24h":[0.03,0.0325,0.022,0.015,0.0315,0.0305,0.024,0.0295,0.0215,0.0355,0.0285,0.0205,0.031,0.0235,0.019,0.0345,0.0265,0.0195,0.015,0.012,0.033,0.0365,0.035,0.034,0.0315,0.0355,0.032,0.0325,0.029]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697433","event_id":"870851","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-alaska-be-between-230000-and-245000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 230,000 and 245,000?","group_item_title":"230K-245K","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0255,0.9745],"probability":0.0255,"spread":0.041,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:09:49Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":222.07805299999998,"volume_24hr":147.01999999999998,"prob_24h_change":-0.0695,"volume_24h_change":147.01999999999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.016483306884766,"normalized_volume":8.5791597366333,"liquidity":344.38391,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T12:07:40.587394Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T12:07:40.587394Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:46.407246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-election-turnout-first-round/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-alaska-be-between-230000-and-245000","event_title":"Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)","chart_24h":[0.095,0.08,0.075,0.07,0.07,0.055,0.06,0.06,0.055,0.055,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.041,0.039,0.038,0.0285]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/870851","as_of":"2026-09-08T12:18:13.596989Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)\" — top market at 34% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}