{"source":"polymarket","id":"870854","ticker":"montana-senate-election-turnout","slug":"montana-senate-election-turnout","title":"Montana Senate Election: Turnout","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/m-fd508f817f.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/m-fd508f817f.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:12:50Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":498.0853,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"100891","slug":"turnout","label":"turnout"},{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"105875","slug":"midtermmov","label":"Midterm MOV"},{"id":"104027","slug":"montana-midterm","label":"Montana Midterm"},{"id":"104093","slug":"senate-midterms","label":"Senate midterms"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"350K-400K","top_outcome_probability":0.445,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.034999999999999976,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-19T14:38:54.718510Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T14:38:54.718510Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:46.240489Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/montana-senate-election-turnout","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697456","event_id":"870854","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-montana-be-between-350000-and-400000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 350,000 and 400,000?","group_item_title":"350K-400K","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.445,0.555],"probability":0.445,"spread":0.81,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:12:50Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.034999999999999976,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":64.2028,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T14:38:55.163509Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T14:38:55.163509Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:46.407246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/montana-senate-election-turnout/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-montana-be-between-350000-and-400000","event_title":"Montana Senate Election: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.445,0.445,0.445,0.435,0.435,0.45,0.445,0.445,0.435,0.425,0.445,0.425,0.42,0.415,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.405]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697457","event_id":"870854","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-montana-be-between-400000-and-450000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 400,000 and 450,000?","group_item_title":"400K-450K","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.425,0.575],"probability":0.425,"spread":0.77,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:12:50Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":69.5395,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T14:38:55.163509Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T14:38:55.163509Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:46.407246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/montana-senate-election-turnout/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-montana-be-between-400000-and-450000","event_title":"Montana Senate Election: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.445,0.445,0.445,0.45,0.445,0.45,0.445,0.44,0.445,0.425,0.45,0.445,0.45,0.435,0.425,0.43,0.425,0.42]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697458","event_id":"870854","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-montana-be-between-450000-and-500000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 450,000 and 500,000?","group_item_title":"450K-500K","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.425,0.575],"probability":0.425,"spread":0.77,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:12:50Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":78.1275,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T13:29:13.224718Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T13:27:32.711300Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:46.407246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/montana-senate-election-turnout/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-montana-be-between-450000-and-500000","event_title":"Montana Senate Election: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.445,0.445,0.445,0.45,0.445,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.425,0.445,0.45,0.44,0.445,0.415,0.435,0.425,0.45,0.425]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697461","event_id":"870854","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-montana-be-600000-or-more","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be 600,000 or more?","group_item_title":"600K+","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.58],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.76,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:12:50Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":78.629,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T14:38:55.163509Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T14:38:55.163509Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:46.407246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/montana-senate-election-turnout/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-montana-be-600000-or-more","event_title":"Montana Senate Election: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.445,0.445,0.445,0.45,0.445,0.45,0.445,0.43,0.44,0.425,0.445,0.42,0.43,0.445,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.435,0.43,0.415]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697455","event_id":"870854","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-montana-be-less-than-350000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be less than 350,000?","group_item_title":"<350K","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.415,0.585],"probability":0.415,"spread":0.75,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:12:50Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":70.6734,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T14:38:55.163509Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T14:38:55.163509Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:46.407246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/montana-senate-election-turnout/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-montana-be-less-than-350000","event_title":"Montana Senate Election: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.445,0.445,0.435,0.44,0.445,0.435,0.445,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.445,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.445,0.43,0.43,0.425]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697459","event_id":"870854","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-montana-be-between-500000-and-550000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 500,000 and 550,000?","group_item_title":"500K-550K","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.405,0.595],"probability":0.405,"spread":0.73,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:12:50Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":71.5756,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T14:38:55.163509Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T14:38:55.163509Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:46.407246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/montana-senate-election-turnout/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-montana-be-between-500000-and-550000","event_title":"Montana Senate Election: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.445,0.445,0.445,0.445,0.45,0.445,0.445,0.445,0.43,0.445,0.43,0.435,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.415]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3697460","event_id":"870854","slug":"will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-montana-be-between-550000-and-600000","question":"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 550,000 and 600,000?","group_item_title":"550K-600K","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nAll votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.405,0.595],"probability":0.405,"spread":0.73,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:12:50Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":71.694,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T14:38:55.163509Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T14:38:55.163509Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T14:38:46.407246Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/montana-senate-election-turnout/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-montana-be-between-550000-and-600000","event_title":"Montana Senate Election: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.445,0.445,0.445,0.445,0.45,0.445,0.445,0.435,0.44,0.435,0.42,0.415,0.42,0.42,0.41]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/870854","as_of":"2026-08-19T14:49:35.222577Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Montana Senate Election: Turnout\" — top market at 44% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}