{"source":"polymarket","id":"870997","ticker":"lula-participates-in-debate-before-first-round","slug":"lula-participates-in-debate-before-first-round","title":"Lula participates in debate before first round?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) participates in a televised Brazilian presidential debate by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTo qualify, Lula must speak at least once in a debate with at least one other registered Brazilian presidential candidate present, televised live.\n\nVirtual live participation will qualify. Prerecorded appearances will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lula-participates-in-first-round-debate-20261001-4-0TdA1jG_P3.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lula-participates-in-first-round-debate-20261001-4-0TdA1jG_P3.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:56:23Z","end_date":"2026-10-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3086.609351,"volume_24hr":2846.609351,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.230958938598633,"normalized_volume":14.606925010681152,"liquidity":2270.5633,"open_interest":1996.247533,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"100185","slug":"brazil","label":"Brazil"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"105438","slug":"international-election-props","label":"International Election Props"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.295,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.38000000000000006,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2527.909351,"updated_at":"2026-08-19T19:52:26.301598Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T19:52:26.301598Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.687253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/lula-participates-in-debate-before-first-round","chart_24h":[240.0,240.0,240.0,240.0,240.0,240.0,244.477609,244.477609,244.477609,244.477609,254.477609,254.477609,254.477609,254.477609,254.477609,254.477609,254.477609,254.477609,254.477609,2295.717534,2421.407534,2239.589351,2239.589351,2709.209351,2767.909351,2767.909351],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698018","event_id":"870997","slug":"lula-participates-in-debate-before-first-round","question":"Lula participates in debate before first round?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) participates in a televised Brazilian presidential debate by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTo qualify, Lula must speak at least once in a debate with at least one other registered Brazilian presidential candidate present, televised live.\n\nVirtual live participation will qualify. Prerecorded appearances will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lula-participates-in-first-round-debate-20261001-4-0TdA1jG_P3.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lula-participates-in-first-round-debate-20261001-4-0TdA1jG_P3.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.295,0.705],"probability":0.295,"spread":0.19,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:56:23Z","end_date":"2026-10-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3086.609351,"volume_24hr":2846.609351,"prob_24h_change":-0.38000000000000006,"volume_24h_change":2527.909351,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.15306854248047,"normalized_volume":18.820920944213867,"liquidity":2241.3726,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T19:52:26.898012Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T19:52:26.898012Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/lula-participates-in-debate-before-first-round/lula-participates-in-debate-before-first-round","event_title":"Lula participates in debate before first round?","chart_24h":[0.58,0.58,0.585,0.59,0.605,0.6,0.595,0.58,0.585,0.59,0.585,0.245,0.35,0.495,0.49,0.39,0.28,0.29]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/870997","as_of":"2026-08-19T20:07:57.169205Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Lula participates in debate before first round?\" — top market at 30% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}