{"source":"polymarket","id":"870999","ticker":"next-mayor-of-cape-town","slug":"next-mayor-of-cape-town","title":"Next Mayor of Cape Town?","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-cape-c77d517753.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-cape-c77d517753.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:57:41Z","end_date":"2026-11-18T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3500.970856,"volume_24hr":3500.970856,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.899736404418945,"normalized_volume":13.451918601989746,"liquidity":19686.20347,"open_interest":484.906634,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"104492","slug":"cape-town","label":"Cape Town"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"102198","slug":"south-africa","label":"South Africa"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"102788","slug":"mayoral-elections","label":"Mayoral Elections"},{"id":"105302","slug":"south-africa-municipal-elections","label":"South Africa Municipal Elections"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Geordin Hill-Lewis","top_outcome_probability":0.89,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.38999999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1409.72,"updated_at":"2026-08-19T02:57:42.472593Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T02:57:42.472593Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.687253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-cape-town","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,42.0,42.0,42.0,42.0,828.92,864.92,1247.02,1247.02,1247.02,2176.64],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698020","event_id":"870999","slug":"will-geordin-hill-lewis-be-the-next-mayor-of-cape-town","question":"Will Geordin Hill-Lewis be the next mayor of Cape Town?","group_item_title":"Geordin Hill-Lewis","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-geordin-hill-lewis-45fe40c7fe.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-geordin-hill-lewis-45fe40c7fe.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.89,0.11],"probability":0.89,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:57:41Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2594.050856,"volume_24hr":2594.050856,"prob_24h_change":0.38999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":1409.72,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.880823135375977,"normalized_volume":15.429308891296387,"liquidity":1047.6426,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T02:57:42.586031Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T02:57:42.586031Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-cape-town/will-geordin-hill-lewis-be-the-next-mayor-of-cape-town","event_title":"Next Mayor of Cape Town?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.445,0.48,0.735,0.435,0.6,0.79,0.805,0.855,0.83]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698021","event_id":"870999","slug":"will-khalid-sayed-be-the-next-mayor-of-cape-town","question":"Will Khalid Sayed be the next mayor of Cape Town?","group_item_title":"Khalid Sayed","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-khalid-sayed-8b5544b50d.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-khalid-sayed-8b5544b50d.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:57:41Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":159.23000000000002,"volume_24hr":159.23000000000002,"prob_24h_change":-0.38,"volume_24h_change":139.23,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.631742477416992,"normalized_volume":7.169342041015625,"liquidity":2721.2746,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T02:57:42.586031Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T02:57:42.586031Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-cape-town/will-khalid-sayed-be-the-next-mayor-of-cape-town","event_title":"Next Mayor of Cape Town?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.26,0.445,0.44,0.445,0.27,0.17,0.165,0.06,0.055,0.055,0.06]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698022","event_id":"870999","slug":"will-nontando-nolutshungu-be-the-next-mayor-of-cape-town","question":"Will Nontando Nolutshungu be the next mayor of Cape Town?","group_item_title":"Nontando Nolutshungu","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-nontando-nolutshungu-5ff1504330.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-nontando-nolutshungu-5ff1504330.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:57:41Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":155.23000000000002,"volume_24hr":155.23,"prob_24h_change":-0.395,"volume_24h_change":135.23,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.507625579833984,"normalized_volume":7.0856451988220215,"liquidity":2507.809,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T02:57:42.586031Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T02:57:42.586031Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-cape-town/will-nontando-nolutshungu-be-the-next-mayor-of-cape-town","event_title":"Next Mayor of Cape Town?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.26,0.445,0.35,0.08,0.08,0.075,0.065,0.045,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698025","event_id":"870999","slug":"will-cheslyn-steenberg-be-the-next-mayor-of-cape-town","question":"Will Cheslyn Steenberg be the next mayor of Cape Town?","group_item_title":"Cheslyn Steenberg","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-cheslyn-steenberg-6b1a832706.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-cheslyn-steenberg-6b1a832706.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:57:41Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":110.0,"volume_24hr":110.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.39,"volume_24h_change":90.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.85303020477295,"normalized_volume":5.96989631652832,"liquidity":3251.9261,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T02:57:42.586031Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T02:57:42.586031Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-cape-town/will-cheslyn-steenberg-be-the-next-mayor-of-cape-town","event_title":"Next Mayor of Cape Town?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.26,0.445,0.3,0.32,0.16,0.05,0.06,0.045,0.05]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698023","event_id":"870999","slug":"will-dereleen-james-be-the-next-mayor-of-cape-town","question":"Will Dereleen James be the next mayor of Cape Town?","group_item_title":"Dereleen James","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-dereleen-james-9cb8227b0e.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-dereleen-james-9cb8227b0e.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0235,0.9765],"probability":0.0235,"spread":0.035,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:57:41Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":124.0,"volume_24hr":124.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.4005,"volume_24h_change":104.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.423640251159668,"normalized_volume":6.354678153991699,"liquidity":2362.88305,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T02:57:42.586031Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T02:57:42.586031Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-cape-town/will-dereleen-james-be-the-next-mayor-of-cape-town","event_title":"Next Mayor of Cape Town?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.26,0.445,0.44,0.43,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.0395]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698027","event_id":"870999","slug":"will-roger-solomons-be-the-next-mayor-of-cape-town","question":"Will Roger Solomons be the next mayor of Cape Town?","group_item_title":"Roger Solomons","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-roger-solomons-1cade763b4.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-roger-solomons-1cade763b4.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0235,0.9765],"probability":0.0235,"spread":0.041,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:57:41Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":124.0,"volume_24hr":124.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.392,"volume_24h_change":104.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.423640251159668,"normalized_volume":6.354678153991699,"liquidity":2315.18556,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T02:57:42.586031Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T02:57:42.586031Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-cape-town/will-roger-solomons-be-the-next-mayor-of-cape-town","event_title":"Next Mayor of Cape Town?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.26,0.445,0.44,0.445,0.28,0.115,0.1,0.07,0.055,0.045,0.048]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698024","event_id":"870999","slug":"will-brett-herron-be-the-next-mayor-of-cape-town","question":"Will Brett Herron be the next mayor of Cape Town?","group_item_title":"Brett Herron","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-brett-herron-d6136e1fe4.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-brett-herron-d6136e1fe4.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0115,0.9885],"probability":0.0115,"spread":0.013,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:57:41Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":109.23,"volume_24hr":109.23,"prob_24h_change":-0.427,"volume_24h_change":89.23,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.819706916809082,"normalized_volume":5.947425365447998,"liquidity":2816.15838,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T02:57:42.586031Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T02:57:42.586031Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-cape-town/will-brett-herron-be-the-next-mayor-of-cape-town","event_title":"Next Mayor of Cape Town?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.26,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.075,0.045,0.038,0.029,0.0205,0.0105,0.013]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698026","event_id":"870999","slug":"will-ellen-pakkies-be-the-next-mayor-of-cape-town","question":"Will Ellen Pakkies be the next mayor of Cape Town?","group_item_title":"Ellen Pakkies","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-ellen-pakkies-c3dbf01e08.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-ellen-pakkies-c3dbf01e08.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.006,0.994],"probability":0.006,"spread":0.008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:57:41Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":125.23,"volume_24hr":125.23,"prob_24h_change":-0.416,"volume_24h_change":105.23,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.470863342285156,"normalized_volume":6.38652229309082,"liquidity":2527.30811,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T02:57:42.586031Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T02:57:42.586031Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-cape-town/will-ellen-pakkies-be-the-next-mayor-of-cape-town","event_title":"Next Mayor of Cape Town?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.26,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.065,0.06,0.04,0.0255,0.025,0.024]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698054","event_id":"870999","slug":"will-someone-else-be-the-next-mayor-of-cape-town","question":"Will someone else be the next mayor of Cape Town?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T16:11:52.902405Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-cape-town/will-someone-else-be-the-next-mayor-of-cape-town","event_title":"Next Mayor of Cape Town?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/870999","as_of":"2026-08-19T02:59:58.159726Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Next Mayor of Cape Town?\" — top market at 89% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}