{"source":"polymarket","id":"871002","ticker":"next-mayor-of-ethekwini-durban","slug":"next-mayor-of-ethekwini-durban","title":"Next Mayor of eThekwini (Durban)?","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-ethekwini-51b3f0550f.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-ethekwini-51b3f0550f.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:58:48Z","end_date":"2026-11-18T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2423.19,"volume_24hr":2360.19,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.974809646606445,"normalized_volume":13.799928665161133,"liquidity":18459.961,"open_interest":757.2499999999999,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"102198","slug":"south-africa","label":"South Africa"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"102788","slug":"mayoral-elections","label":"Mayoral Elections"},{"id":"105302","slug":"south-africa-municipal-elections","label":"South Africa Municipal Elections"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Person A","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-20T10:32:11.733808Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T10:32:11.733808Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.687253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-ethekwini-durban","chart_24h":[63.0,63.0,63.0,63.0,63.0,63.0,63.0,63.0,63.0,42.0,42.0,42.0,42.0,42.0,42.0,42.0,72.0,72.0,72.0,390.0,390.0,390.0,390.0,390.0,390.0,1933.29,1953.1800000000003,1953.1800000000003],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698120","event_id":"871002","slug":"will-cyril-xaba-be-the-next-mayor-of-ethekwini","question":"Will Cyril Xaba be the next mayor of eThekwini?","group_item_title":"Cyril Xaba","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-cyril-xaba-fe2ea42272.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-cyril-xaba-fe2ea42272.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.37,0.63],"probability":0.37,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:58:48Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1145.3799999999999,"volume_24hr":1124.38,"prob_24h_change":-0.09999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":1103.38,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.8729248046875,"normalized_volume":14.559009552001953,"liquidity":298.0543,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-20T10:32:12.776961Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T10:32:12.776961Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-ethekwini-durban/will-cyril-xaba-be-the-next-mayor-of-ethekwini","event_title":"Next Mayor of eThekwini (Durban)?","chart_24h":[0.475,0.465,0.44,0.445,0.45,0.44,0.445,0.435,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.375,0.31,0.405,0.395,0.375,0.375,0.34,0.315,0.555,0.375,0.375,0.375]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698127","event_id":"871002","slug":"will-zwakele-mncwango-be-the-next-mayor-of-ethekwini","question":"Will Zwakele Mncwango be the next mayor of eThekwini?","group_item_title":"Zwakele Mncwango","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-zwakele-mncwango-0eef830bb5.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-zwakele-mncwango-0eef830bb5.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.275,0.725],"probability":0.275,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:58:48Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":486.8,"volume_24hr":486.8,"prob_24h_change":-0.14499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":466.8,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.748634338378906,"normalized_volume":11.08974838256836,"liquidity":496.7857,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-20T10:32:12.776961Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T10:32:12.776961Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-ethekwini-durban/will-zwakele-mncwango-be-the-next-mayor-of-ethekwini","event_title":"Next Mayor of eThekwini (Durban)?","chart_24h":[0.475,0.485,0.45,0.485,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.475,0.47,0.475,0.47,0.445,0.43,0.4,0.23,0.21,0.205,0.205,0.205,0.195,0.195]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698124","event_id":"871002","slug":"will-haniff-hoosen-be-the-next-mayor-of-ethekwini","question":"Will Haniff Hoosen be the next mayor of eThekwini?","group_item_title":"Haniff Hoosen","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-haniff-hoosen-7cb7e49860.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-haniff-hoosen-7cb7e49860.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.125,0.875],"probability":0.125,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:58:48Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":146.0,"volume_24hr":125.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.33,"volume_24h_change":104.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.36404037475586,"normalized_volume":7.306755542755127,"liquidity":8460.461,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-20T10:32:12.776961Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T10:32:12.776961Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-ethekwini-durban/will-haniff-hoosen-be-the-next-mayor-of-ethekwini","event_title":"Next Mayor of eThekwini (Durban)?","chart_24h":[0.46,0.44,0.435,0.435,0.45,0.435,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.455,0.43,0.435,0.455,0.445,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.415,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.225,0.225,0.135,0.135,0.13,0.13]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698122","event_id":"871002","slug":"will-zandile-gumede-be-the-next-mayor-of-ethekwini","question":"Will Zandile Gumede be the next mayor of eThekwini?","group_item_title":"Zandile Gumede","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-zandile-gumede-d39f217b09.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-zandile-gumede-d39f217b09.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:58:48Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":519.01,"volume_24hr":519.01,"prob_24h_change":-0.345,"volume_24h_change":519.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.330080032348633,"normalized_volume":11.474740028381348,"liquidity":8942.5002,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-20T10:32:12.776961Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T10:32:12.776961Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-ethekwini-durban/will-zandile-gumede-be-the-next-mayor-of-ethekwini","event_title":"Next Mayor of eThekwini (Durban)?","chart_24h":[0.43,0.43,0.455,0.425,0.395,0.415,0.425,0.425,0.415,0.415,0.415,0.405,0.4,0.395,0.38,0.325,0.405,0.41,0.405,0.16,0.155,0.135,0.065,0.045,0.045,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698125","event_id":"871002","slug":"will-hlengiwe-mkhaliphi-be-the-next-mayor-of-ethekwini","question":"Will Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi be the next mayor of eThekwini?","group_item_title":"Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-hlengiwe-mkhaliphi-579dc32750.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-hlengiwe-mkhaliphi-579dc32750.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.16,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:58:48Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":126.0,"volume_24hr":105.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.35,"volume_24h_change":84.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.636482238769531,"normalized_volume":6.88477897644043,"liquidity":314.1721,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-20T09:34:31.239733Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T07:08:24.670187Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-ethekwini-durban/will-hlengiwe-mkhaliphi-be-the-next-mayor-of-ethekwini","event_title":"Next Mayor of eThekwini (Durban)?","chart_24h":[0.43,0.425,0.43,0.395,0.375,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.415,0.415,0.425,0.42,0.415,0.42,0.375,0.385,0.4,0.38,0.21,0.205,0.2,0.175,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698159","event_id":"871002","slug":"will-someone-else-be-the-next-mayor-of-ethekwini","question":"Will someone else be the next mayor of eThekwini?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T16:49:53.623591Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-ethekwini-durban/will-someone-else-be-the-next-mayor-of-ethekwini","event_title":"Next Mayor of eThekwini (Durban)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/871002","as_of":"2026-08-20T10:47:34.230749Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Next Mayor of eThekwini (Durban)?\" — top market at 37% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}