{"source":"polymarket","id":"871012","ticker":"next-mayor-of-mangaung-bloemfontein","slug":"next-mayor-of-mangaung-bloemfontein","title":"Next Mayor of Mangaung (Bloemfontein)?","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Mangaung’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Mangaung following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Mangaung Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-mangaung-560f02e1bf.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-mangaung-560f02e1bf.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:59:15Z","end_date":"2026-11-18T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1180.726665,"volume_24hr":811.726665,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.174158096313477,"normalized_volume":11.396883010864258,"liquidity":10299.4925,"open_interest":853.26,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"102198","slug":"south-africa","label":"South Africa"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"102788","slug":"mayoral-elections","label":"Mayoral Elections"},{"id":"105302","slug":"south-africa-municipal-elections","label":"South Africa Municipal Elections"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Gregory Nthatisi","top_outcome_probability":0.675,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.08000000000000007,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-187.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-19T19:52:26.301598Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T19:52:26.301598Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.687253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-mangaung-bloemfontein","chart_24h":[369.0,369.0,369.0,389.0,429.0,463.466665,483.466665,483.466665,907.796665,907.796665,907.796665,927.796665,927.796665,927.796665,927.796665,927.796665,927.796665,947.796665,947.796665,947.796665,947.796665,947.796665,926.796665,1139.726665,851.726665,851.726665,811.726665],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698194","event_id":"871012","slug":"will-gregory-nthatisi-be-the-next-mayor-of-mangaung","question":"Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?","group_item_title":"Gregory Nthatisi","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Mangaung’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Mangaung following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Mangaung Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-gregory-nthatisi-67d90e0850.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-gregory-nthatisi-67d90e0850.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.675,0.325],"probability":0.675,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:59:15Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":467.0,"volume_24hr":140.0,"prob_24h_change":0.08000000000000007,"volume_24h_change":-187.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.364387512207031,"normalized_volume":11.091290473937988,"liquidity":432.3663,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T19:19:20.659953Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T18:49:13.962210Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-mangaung-bloemfontein/will-gregory-nthatisi-be-the-next-mayor-of-mangaung","event_title":"Next Mayor of Mangaung (Bloemfontein)?","chart_24h":[0.6,0.615,0.625,0.66,0.66,0.685,0.69,0.705,0.725,0.725,0.72,0.685,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.675,0.675,0.675]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698195","event_id":"871012","slug":"will-werner-pretorius-be-the-next-mayor-of-mangaung","question":"Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung?","group_item_title":"Werner Pretorius","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Mangaung’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Mangaung following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Mangaung Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-werner-pretorius-e1da03bd38.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-werner-pretorius-e1da03bd38.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:59:15Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":253.93,"volume_24hr":232.93,"prob_24h_change":-0.275,"volume_24h_change":211.93,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.808491706848145,"normalized_volume":9.00788402557373,"liquidity":706.7185,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T19:14:17.077093Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T18:49:13.962210Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-mangaung-bloemfontein/will-werner-pretorius-be-the-next-mayor-of-mangaung","event_title":"Next Mayor of Mangaung (Bloemfontein)?","chart_24h":[0.165,0.195,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.175,0.165,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.105,0.1,0.195,0.22,0.265,0.075,0.095,0.115,0.1]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698196","event_id":"871012","slug":"will-sam-matiase-be-the-next-mayor-of-mangaung","question":"Will Sam Matiase be the next mayor of Mangaung?","group_item_title":"Sam Matiase","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Mangaung’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Mangaung following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Mangaung Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-sam-matiase-5a6fe2479f.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-sam-matiase-5a6fe2479f.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:59:15Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":459.79666499999996,"volume_24hr":438.796665,"prob_24h_change":-0.2845,"volume_24h_change":417.796665,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.189441680908203,"normalized_volume":11.035398483276367,"liquidity":9481.9384,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T19:14:17.077093Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T17:40:03.229465Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-mangaung-bloemfontein/will-sam-matiase-be-the-next-mayor-of-mangaung","event_title":"Next Mayor of Mangaung (Bloemfontein)?","chart_24h":[0.155,0.15,0.155,0.155,0.165,0.17,0.04,0.006,0.0065,0.006,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698223","event_id":"871012","slug":"will-someone-else-be-the-next-mayor-of-mangaung","question":"Will someone else be the next mayor of Mangaung?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Mangaung’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Mangaung following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Mangaung Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T16:49:53.623591Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-mangaung-bloemfontein/will-someone-else-be-the-next-mayor-of-mangaung","event_title":"Next Mayor of Mangaung (Bloemfontein)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/871012","as_of":"2026-08-19T20:07:04.080951Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Next Mayor of Mangaung (Bloemfontein)?\" — top market at 1% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}