{"source":"polymarket","id":"871013","ticker":"next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay-port-elizabeth","slug":"next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay-port-elizabeth","title":"Next Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay (Port Elizabeth)?","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Nelson Mandela Bay’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Nelson Mandela Bay Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-update-PBVHgDf-24YI.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-nmb-96046ccfdd.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:59:17Z","end_date":"2026-11-18T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":33.989999999999995,"volume_24hr":33.99,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.342134952545166,"normalized_volume":2.877913236618042,"liquidity":646.947,"open_interest":33.989999,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"102198","slug":"south-africa","label":"South Africa"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"102788","slug":"mayoral-elections","label":"Mayoral Elections"},{"id":"105302","slug":"south-africa-municipal-elections","label":"South Africa Municipal Elections"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Person A","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-19T03:31:23.699805Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T03:31:23.699805Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.687253Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay-port-elizabeth","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,20.99,20.99,20.99,20.99,20.99,20.99,33.99,33.99,33.99,33.99],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698230","event_id":"871013","slug":"will-sinawo-thambo-be-the-next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay","question":"Will Sinawo Thambo be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?","group_item_title":"Sinawo Thambo","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Nelson Mandela Bay’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Nelson Mandela Bay Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-sinawo-thambo-9d2a2d9cc4.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-sinawo-thambo-9d2a2d9cc4.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:59:17Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":33.989999999999995,"volume_24hr":33.99,"prob_24h_change":-0.33,"volume_24h_change":33.99,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.518427848815918,"normalized_volume":3.708024740219116,"liquidity":96.8203,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T03:32:35.157894Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T03:31:23.960705Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay-port-elizabeth/will-sinawo-thambo-be-the-next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay","event_title":"Next Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay (Port Elizabeth)?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.255,0.445,0.445,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.445,0.44,0.075,0.42,0.11]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698257","event_id":"871013","slug":"will-someone-else-be-the-next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay","question":"Will someone else be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Nelson Mandela Bay’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Nelson Mandela Bay Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T16:11:52.902405Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay-port-elizabeth/will-someone-else-be-the-next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay","event_title":"Next Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay (Port Elizabeth)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698225","event_id":"871013","slug":"will-andile-lungisa-be-the-next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay","question":"Will Andile Lungisa be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?","group_item_title":"Andile Lungisa","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Nelson Mandela Bay’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Nelson Mandela Bay Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-andile-lungisa-ac05972ddc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-andile-lungisa-ac05972ddc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.45,0.55],"probability":0.45,"spread":0.7,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:59:17Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":65.6214,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T03:32:35.157894Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T03:31:23.960705Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay-port-elizabeth/will-andile-lungisa-be-the-next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay","event_title":"Next Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay (Port Elizabeth)?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.26,0.445,0.44,0.44,0.455,0.46,0.455,0.465,0.46,0.45]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698229","event_id":"871013","slug":"will-retief-odendaal-be-the-next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay","question":"Will Retief Odendaal be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?","group_item_title":"Retief Odendaal","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Nelson Mandela Bay’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Nelson Mandela Bay Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-retief-odendaal-b3a6a8646e.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-retief-odendaal-b3a6a8646e.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.435,0.565],"probability":0.435,"spread":0.75,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:59:17Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":83.0799,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T03:32:35.157894Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T03:31:23.960705Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay-port-elizabeth/will-retief-odendaal-be-the-next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay","event_title":"Next Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay (Port Elizabeth)?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.445,0.44,0.435,0.445,0.435,0.445,0.435,0.445,0.435,0.43,0.435]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698227","event_id":"871013","slug":"will-bulelwa-mafaya-be-the-next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay","question":"Will Bulelwa Mafaya be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?","group_item_title":"Bulelwa Mafaya","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Nelson Mandela Bay’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Nelson Mandela Bay Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-bulelwa-mafaya-a19c692d1e.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-bulelwa-mafaya-a19c692d1e.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.43,0.57],"probability":0.43,"spread":0.72,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:59:17Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":87.6395,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T02:58:39.170210Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T02:57:42.586031Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay-port-elizabeth/will-bulelwa-mafaya-be-the-next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay","event_title":"Next Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay (Port Elizabeth)?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.26,0.445,0.44,0.445,0.445,0.45,0.46,0.445,0.45,0.43]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698226","event_id":"871013","slug":"will-wandisile-jikeka-be-the-next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay","question":"Will Wandisile Jikeka be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?","group_item_title":"Wandisile Jikeka","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Nelson Mandela Bay’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Nelson Mandela Bay Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-wandisile-jikeka-c84cfecd2c.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-wandisile-jikeka-c84cfecd2c.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.425,0.575],"probability":0.425,"spread":0.71,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:59:17Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":66.2449,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T03:32:35.157894Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T03:31:23.960705Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay-port-elizabeth/will-wandisile-jikeka-be-the-next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay","event_title":"Next Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay (Port Elizabeth)?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.445,0.435,0.43,0.455,0.44,0.445,0.45,0.435,0.425]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698228","event_id":"871013","slug":"will-siva-pillay-be-the-next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay","question":"Will Siva Pillay be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?","group_item_title":"Siva Pillay","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Nelson Mandela Bay’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Nelson Mandela Bay Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-siva-pillay-8da1099c35.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-siva-pillay-8da1099c35.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.425,0.575],"probability":0.425,"spread":0.71,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:59:17Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":84.4297,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T03:32:35.157894Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T03:31:23.960705Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay-port-elizabeth/will-siva-pillay-be-the-next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay","event_title":"Next Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay (Port Elizabeth)?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.255,0.445,0.435,0.44,0.455,0.46,0.445,0.45,0.45,0.425]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3698224","event_id":"871013","slug":"will-babalwa-lobishe-be-the-next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay","question":"Will Babalwa Lobishe be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?","group_item_title":"Babalwa Lobishe","description":"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Nelson Mandela Bay’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay following the 2026 South African municipal elections.\n\nA qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Nelson Mandela Bay Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-babalwa-lobishe-ac684fff59.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/samayor-babalwa-lobishe-ac684fff59.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.58],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.7,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T14:59:17Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":67.0102,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T03:32:35.157894Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T03:31:23.960705Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T15:07:30.741043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay-port-elizabeth/will-babalwa-lobishe-be-the-next-mayor-of-nelson-mandela-bay","event_title":"Next Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay (Port Elizabeth)?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.445,0.435,0.445,0.44,0.455,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.42]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/871013","as_of":"2026-08-19T03:52:08.344710Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Next Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay (Port Elizabeth)?\" — top market at 11% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}