{"source":"polymarket","id":"872558","ticker":"where-will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-during-the-2026-hurricane-season","slug":"where-will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-during-the-2026-hurricane-season","title":"Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?","description":"This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A market resolves to \"Yes\" if a hurricane makes landfall in that state within the timeframe, as described in official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/); for Hawaii, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) advisories also apply. Otherwise, that market resolves to \"No\".\n\nA hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL) and the NHC reports maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher (Category 1 or greater) at the time of landfall. The state of landfall is determined by the surface center's location when it crosses the coastline. If a single hurricane makes separate landfalls in more than one listed state, each such state resolves to \"Yes\".\n\nHurricane season runs from June 1, 2026 - November 30, 2026. \n\nEach market resolves based on the initial NHC (or CPHC) advisory reporting a qualifying landfall in the relevant state, regardless of any later retraction or reanalysis. Each market may only resolve to \"No\" after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, if an extension period applies, after December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, if the conditions for a \"Yes\" resolution have not been met.\n\nIf an active tropical cyclone at hurricane strength is over water per official NHC or CPHC advisories as of 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026, the relevant market(s) will operate under an extension period of 7 days, and the resolution date will move to December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; a qualifying landfall by that hurricane during the extension period will count toward resolution.\n\nIf a qualifying landfall occurs within a market's timeframe (including any extension period) but has not yet been confirmed by an NHC or CPHC advisory by the resolution date, that market will remain open until such an advisory is issued.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-by-august-31-xeIMbf0KoIuE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-by-august-31-xeIMbf0KoIuE.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T20:31:06Z","end_date":"2026-12-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3899.435273,"volume_24hr":3899.435273,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.8193302154541,"normalized_volume":15.569453239440918,"liquidity":23878.15517,"open_interest":2547.925272,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[{"id":"84","slug":"weather","label":"Weather"},{"id":"87","slug":"climate","label":"climate"},{"id":"102023","slug":"hurricane","label":"hurricane"},{"id":"85","slug":"hurricanes","label":"Hurricanes"},{"id":"102186","slug":"hurricane-season","label":"Hurricane Season"},{"id":"101998","slug":"natural-disaster","label":"Natural Disaster"},{"id":"104180","slug":"weather-science","label":"Weather & Science"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Florida","top_outcome_probability":0.255,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.265,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":220.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-19T01:59:27.645339Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T01:59:27.645339Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T20:49:45.080391Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-during-the-2026-hurricane-season","chart_24h":[40.0,40.0,90.0,2483.045273,3878.435273,3899.435273],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3709674","event_id":"872558","slug":"will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-florida-by-november-30-2026","question":"Will a hurricane make landfall in Florida by November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"Florida","description":"This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A market resolves to \"Yes\" if a hurricane makes landfall in that state within the timeframe, as described in official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/); for Hawaii, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) advisories also apply. Otherwise, that market resolves to \"No\".\n\nA hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL) and the NHC reports maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher (Category 1 or greater) at the time of landfall. The state of landfall is determined by the surface center's location when it crosses the coastline. If a single hurricane makes separate landfalls in more than one listed state, each such state resolves to \"Yes\".\n\nHurricane season runs from June 1, 2026 - November 30, 2026. \n\nEach market resolves based on the initial NHC (or CPHC) advisory reporting a qualifying landfall in the relevant state, regardless of any later retraction or reanalysis. Each market may only resolve to \"No\" after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, if an extension period applies, after December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, if the conditions for a \"Yes\" resolution have not been met.\n\nIf an active tropical cyclone at hurricane strength is over water per official NHC or CPHC advisories as of 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026, the relevant market(s) will operate under an extension period of 7 days, and the resolution date will move to December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; a qualifying landfall by that hurricane during the extension period will count toward resolution.\n\nIf a qualifying landfall occurs within a market's timeframe (including any extension period) but has not yet been confirmed by an NHC or CPHC advisory by the resolution date, that market will remain open until such an advisory is issued.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.255,0.745],"probability":0.255,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T20:31:07Z","end_date":"2026-12-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":220.0,"volume_24hr":220.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.265,"volume_24h_change":220.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.678424835205078,"normalized_volume":8.54948902130127,"liquidity":818.919,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T01:59:46.676364Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T01:59:27.744523Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T20:49:45.197733Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-during-the-2026-hurricane-season/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-florida-by-november-30-2026","event_title":"Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?","chart_24h":[0.52,0.28,0.19,0.305,0.27,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3709670","event_id":"872558","slug":"will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-texas-by-november-30-2026","question":"Will a hurricane make landfall in Texas by November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"Texas","description":"This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A market resolves to \"Yes\" if a hurricane makes landfall in that state within the timeframe, as described in official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/); for Hawaii, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) advisories also apply. Otherwise, that market resolves to \"No\".\n\nA hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL) and the NHC reports maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher (Category 1 or greater) at the time of landfall. The state of landfall is determined by the surface center's location when it crosses the coastline. If a single hurricane makes separate landfalls in more than one listed state, each such state resolves to \"Yes\".\n\nHurricane season runs from June 1, 2026 - November 30, 2026. \n\nEach market resolves based on the initial NHC (or CPHC) advisory reporting a qualifying landfall in the relevant state, regardless of any later retraction or reanalysis. Each market may only resolve to \"No\" after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, if an extension period applies, after December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, if the conditions for a \"Yes\" resolution have not been met.\n\nIf an active tropical cyclone at hurricane strength is over water per official NHC or CPHC advisories as of 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026, the relevant market(s) will operate under an extension period of 7 days, and the resolution date will move to December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; a qualifying landfall by that hurricane during the extension period will count toward resolution.\n\nIf a qualifying landfall occurs within a market's timeframe (including any extension period) but has not yet been confirmed by an NHC or CPHC advisory by the resolution date, that market will remain open until such an advisory is issued.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.165,0.835],"probability":0.165,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T20:31:07Z","end_date":"2026-12-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":86.149423,"volume_24hr":86.149423,"prob_24h_change":-0.32999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":86.149423,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.684136390686035,"normalized_volume":5.8560051918029785,"liquidity":373.5455,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T01:59:46.676364Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T01:59:27.744523Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T20:49:45.197733Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-during-the-2026-hurricane-season/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-texas-by-november-30-2026","event_title":"Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.14,0.16,0.165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3709677","event_id":"872558","slug":"will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-north-carolina-by-november-30-2026","question":"Will a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina by November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"North Carolina","description":"This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A market resolves to \"Yes\" if a hurricane makes landfall in that state within the timeframe, as described in official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/); for Hawaii, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) advisories also apply. Otherwise, that market resolves to \"No\".\n\nA hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL) and the NHC reports maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher (Category 1 or greater) at the time of landfall. The state of landfall is determined by the surface center's location when it crosses the coastline. If a single hurricane makes separate landfalls in more than one listed state, each such state resolves to \"Yes\".\n\nHurricane season runs from June 1, 2026 - November 30, 2026. \n\nEach market resolves based on the initial NHC (or CPHC) advisory reporting a qualifying landfall in the relevant state, regardless of any later retraction or reanalysis. Each market may only resolve to \"No\" after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, if an extension period applies, after December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, if the conditions for a \"Yes\" resolution have not been met.\n\nIf an active tropical cyclone at hurricane strength is over water per official NHC or CPHC advisories as of 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026, the relevant market(s) will operate under an extension period of 7 days, and the resolution date will move to December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; a qualifying landfall by that hurricane during the extension period will count toward resolution.\n\nIf a qualifying landfall occurs within a market's timeframe (including any extension period) but has not yet been confirmed by an NHC or CPHC advisory by the resolution date, that market will remain open until such an advisory is issued.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T20:31:09Z","end_date":"2026-12-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.0,"volume_24hr":40.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.355,"volume_24h_change":40.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.000080108642578,"normalized_volume":4.046056270599365,"liquidity":992.0414,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T01:59:46.676364Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T01:59:27.744523Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T20:49:45.197733Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-during-the-2026-hurricane-season/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-north-carolina-by-november-30-2026","event_title":"Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.22,0.14,0.14]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3709671","event_id":"872558","slug":"will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-louisiana-by-november-30-2026","question":"Will a hurricane make landfall in Louisiana by November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"Louisiana","description":"This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A market resolves to \"Yes\" if a hurricane makes landfall in that state within the timeframe, as described in official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/); for Hawaii, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) advisories also apply. Otherwise, that market resolves to \"No\".\n\nA hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL) and the NHC reports maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher (Category 1 or greater) at the time of landfall. The state of landfall is determined by the surface center's location when it crosses the coastline. If a single hurricane makes separate landfalls in more than one listed state, each such state resolves to \"Yes\".\n\nHurricane season runs from June 1, 2026 - November 30, 2026. \n\nEach market resolves based on the initial NHC (or CPHC) advisory reporting a qualifying landfall in the relevant state, regardless of any later retraction or reanalysis. Each market may only resolve to \"No\" after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, if an extension period applies, after December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, if the conditions for a \"Yes\" resolution have not been met.\n\nIf an active tropical cyclone at hurricane strength is over water per official NHC or CPHC advisories as of 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026, the relevant market(s) will operate under an extension period of 7 days, and the resolution date will move to December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; a qualifying landfall by that hurricane during the extension period will count toward resolution.\n\nIf a qualifying landfall occurs within a market's timeframe (including any extension period) but has not yet been confirmed by an NHC or CPHC advisory by the resolution date, that market will remain open until such an advisory is issued.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T20:31:07Z","end_date":"2026-12-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":202.54,"volume_24hr":202.54,"prob_24h_change":-0.38,"volume_24h_change":202.54,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.294782638549805,"normalized_volume":8.290785789489746,"liquidity":1000.0341,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T01:59:46.676364Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T01:59:27.744523Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T20:49:45.197733Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-during-the-2026-hurricane-season/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-louisiana-by-november-30-2026","event_title":"Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?","chart_24h":[0.51,0.51,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3709673","event_id":"872558","slug":"will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-alabama-by-november-30-2026","question":"Will a hurricane make landfall in Alabama by November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"Alabama","description":"This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A market resolves to \"Yes\" if a hurricane makes landfall in that state within the timeframe, as described in official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/); for Hawaii, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) advisories also apply. Otherwise, that market resolves to \"No\".\n\nA hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL) and the NHC reports maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher (Category 1 or greater) at the time of landfall. The state of landfall is determined by the surface center's location when it crosses the coastline. If a single hurricane makes separate landfalls in more than one listed state, each such state resolves to \"Yes\".\n\nHurricane season runs from June 1, 2026 - November 30, 2026. \n\nEach market resolves based on the initial NHC (or CPHC) advisory reporting a qualifying landfall in the relevant state, regardless of any later retraction or reanalysis. Each market may only resolve to \"No\" after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, if an extension period applies, after December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, if the conditions for a \"Yes\" resolution have not been met.\n\nIf an active tropical cyclone at hurricane strength is over water per official NHC or CPHC advisories as of 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026, the relevant market(s) will operate under an extension period of 7 days, and the resolution date will move to December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; a qualifying landfall by that hurricane during the extension period will count toward resolution.\n\nIf a qualifying landfall occurs within a market's timeframe (including any extension period) but has not yet been confirmed by an NHC or CPHC advisory by the resolution date, that market will remain open until such an advisory is issued.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.095,0.905],"probability":0.095,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T20:31:07Z","end_date":"2026-12-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":61.0,"volume_24hr":61.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.4,"volume_24h_change":61.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.410893440246582,"normalized_volume":4.997415065765381,"liquidity":923.6226,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T01:04:49.610647Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T00:59:41.797294Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T20:49:45.197733Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-during-the-2026-hurricane-season/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-alabama-by-november-30-2026","event_title":"Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.1,0.095,0.095]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3709676","event_id":"872558","slug":"will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-south-carolina-by-november-30-2026","question":"Will a hurricane make landfall in South Carolina by November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"South Carolina","description":"This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A market resolves to \"Yes\" if a hurricane makes landfall in that state within the timeframe, as described in official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/); for Hawaii, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) advisories also apply. Otherwise, that market resolves to \"No\".\n\nA hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL) and the NHC reports maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher (Category 1 or greater) at the time of landfall. The state of landfall is determined by the surface center's location when it crosses the coastline. If a single hurricane makes separate landfalls in more than one listed state, each such state resolves to \"Yes\".\n\nHurricane season runs from June 1, 2026 - November 30, 2026. \n\nEach market resolves based on the initial NHC (or CPHC) advisory reporting a qualifying landfall in the relevant state, regardless of any later retraction or reanalysis. Each market may only resolve to \"No\" after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, if an extension period applies, after December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, if the conditions for a \"Yes\" resolution have not been met.\n\nIf an active tropical cyclone at hurricane strength is over water per official NHC or CPHC advisories as of 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026, the relevant market(s) will operate under an extension period of 7 days, and the resolution date will move to December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; a qualifying landfall by that hurricane during the extension period will count toward resolution.\n\nIf a qualifying landfall occurs within a market's timeframe (including any extension period) but has not yet been confirmed by an NHC or CPHC advisory by the resolution date, that market will remain open until such an advisory is issued.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.095,0.905],"probability":0.095,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T20:31:08Z","end_date":"2026-12-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":182.0989,"volume_24hr":182.0989,"prob_24h_change":-0.43000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":162.0989,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.810090065002441,"normalized_volume":7.9639410972595215,"liquidity":1004.9693,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T01:04:49.610647Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T00:59:41.797294Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T20:49:45.197733Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-during-the-2026-hurricane-season/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-south-carolina-by-november-30-2026","event_title":"Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?","chart_24h":[0.525,0.19,0.185,0.105,0.095]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3709675","event_id":"872558","slug":"will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-georgia-by-november-30-2026","question":"Will a hurricane make landfall in Georgia by November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"Georgia","description":"This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A market resolves to \"Yes\" if a hurricane makes landfall in that state within the timeframe, as described in official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/); for Hawaii, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) advisories also apply. Otherwise, that market resolves to \"No\".\n\nA hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL) and the NHC reports maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher (Category 1 or greater) at the time of landfall. The state of landfall is determined by the surface center's location when it crosses the coastline. If a single hurricane makes separate landfalls in more than one listed state, each such state resolves to \"Yes\".\n\nHurricane season runs from June 1, 2026 - November 30, 2026. \n\nEach market resolves based on the initial NHC (or CPHC) advisory reporting a qualifying landfall in the relevant state, regardless of any later retraction or reanalysis. Each market may only resolve to \"No\" after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, if an extension period applies, after December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, if the conditions for a \"Yes\" resolution have not been met.\n\nIf an active tropical cyclone at hurricane strength is over water per official NHC or CPHC advisories as of 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026, the relevant market(s) will operate under an extension period of 7 days, and the resolution date will move to December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; a qualifying landfall by that hurricane during the extension period will count toward resolution.\n\nIf a qualifying landfall occurs within a market's timeframe (including any extension period) but has not yet been confirmed by an NHC or CPHC advisory by the resolution date, that market will remain open until such an advisory is issued.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T20:31:08Z","end_date":"2026-12-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":81.0,"volume_24hr":81.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.43500000000000005,"volume_24h_change":61.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.448976516723633,"normalized_volume":5.697429656982422,"liquidity":1007.8219,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T01:59:46.676364Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T01:59:27.744523Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T20:49:45.197733Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-during-the-2026-hurricane-season/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-georgia-by-november-30-2026","event_title":"Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?","chart_24h":[0.525,0.19,0.135,0.09,0.085,0.09]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3709672","event_id":"872558","slug":"will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-mississippi-by-november-30-2026","question":"Will a hurricane make landfall in Mississippi by November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"Mississippi","description":"This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A market resolves to \"Yes\" if a hurricane makes landfall in that state within the timeframe, as described in official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/); for Hawaii, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) advisories also apply. Otherwise, that market resolves to \"No\".\n\nA hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL) and the NHC reports maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher (Category 1 or greater) at the time of landfall. The state of landfall is determined by the surface center's location when it crosses the coastline. If a single hurricane makes separate landfalls in more than one listed state, each such state resolves to \"Yes\".\n\nHurricane season runs from June 1, 2026 - November 30, 2026. \n\nEach market resolves based on the initial NHC (or CPHC) advisory reporting a qualifying landfall in the relevant state, regardless of any later retraction or reanalysis. Each market may only resolve to \"No\" after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, if an extension period applies, after December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, if the conditions for a \"Yes\" resolution have not been met.\n\nIf an active tropical cyclone at hurricane strength is over water per official NHC or CPHC advisories as of 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026, the relevant market(s) will operate under an extension period of 7 days, and the resolution date will move to December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; a qualifying landfall by that hurricane during the extension period will count toward resolution.\n\nIf a qualifying landfall occurs within a market's timeframe (including any extension period) but has not yet been confirmed by an NHC or CPHC advisory by the resolution date, that market will remain open until such an advisory is issued.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T20:31:06Z","end_date":"2026-12-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":281.08695,"volume_24hr":281.08695,"prob_24h_change":-0.41,"volume_24h_change":281.08695,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.850729942321777,"normalized_volume":9.34001350402832,"liquidity":854.6027,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T01:00:26.927067Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T00:59:41.797294Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T20:49:45.197733Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-during-the-2026-hurricane-season/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-mississippi-by-november-30-2026","event_title":"Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.095,0.08,0.085]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3709685","event_id":"872558","slug":"will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-massachusetts-by-november-30-2026","question":"Will a hurricane make landfall in Massachusetts by November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"Massachusetts","description":"This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A market resolves to \"Yes\" if a hurricane makes landfall in that state within the timeframe, as described in official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/); for Hawaii, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) advisories also apply. Otherwise, that market resolves to \"No\".\n\nA hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL) and the NHC reports maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher (Category 1 or greater) at the time of landfall. The state of landfall is determined by the surface center's location when it crosses the coastline. If a single hurricane makes separate landfalls in more than one listed state, each such state resolves to \"Yes\".\n\nHurricane season runs from June 1, 2026 - November 30, 2026. \n\nEach market resolves based on the initial NHC (or CPHC) advisory reporting a qualifying landfall in the relevant state, regardless of any later retraction or reanalysis. Each market may only resolve to \"No\" after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, if an extension period applies, after December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, if the conditions for a \"Yes\" resolution have not been met.\n\nIf an active tropical cyclone at hurricane strength is over water per official NHC or CPHC advisories as of 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026, the relevant market(s) will operate under an extension period of 7 days, and the resolution date will move to December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; a qualifying landfall by that hurricane during the extension period will count toward resolution.\n\nIf a qualifying landfall occurs within a market's timeframe (including any extension period) but has not yet been confirmed by an NHC or CPHC advisory by the resolution date, that market will remain open until such an advisory is issued.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T20:31:11Z","end_date":"2026-12-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.44,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.032846450805664,"normalized_volume":2.719484329223633,"liquidity":1152.9452,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T23:47:59.023036Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T23:44:46.965189Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T20:49:45.197733Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-during-the-2026-hurricane-season/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-massachusetts-by-november-30-2026","event_title":"Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.09,0.06]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3709678","event_id":"872558","slug":"will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-virginia-by-november-30-2026","question":"Will a hurricane make landfall in Virginia by November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"Virginia","description":"This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A market resolves to \"Yes\" if a hurricane makes landfall in that state within the timeframe, as described in official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/); for Hawaii, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) advisories also apply. Otherwise, that market resolves to \"No\".\n\nA hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL) and the NHC reports maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher (Category 1 or greater) at the time of landfall. The state of landfall is determined by the surface center's location when it crosses the coastline. If a single hurricane makes separate landfalls in more than one listed state, each such state resolves to \"Yes\".\n\nHurricane season runs from June 1, 2026 - November 30, 2026. \n\nEach market resolves based on the initial NHC (or CPHC) advisory reporting a qualifying landfall in the relevant state, regardless of any later retraction or reanalysis. Each market may only resolve to \"No\" after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, if an extension period applies, after December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, if the conditions for a \"Yes\" resolution have not been met.\n\nIf an active tropical cyclone at hurricane strength is over water per official NHC or CPHC advisories as of 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026, the relevant market(s) will operate under an extension period of 7 days, and the resolution date will move to December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; a qualifying landfall by that hurricane during the extension period will count toward resolution.\n\nIf a qualifying landfall occurs within a market's timeframe (including any extension period) but has not yet been confirmed by an NHC or CPHC advisory by the resolution date, that market will remain open until such an advisory is issued.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T20:31:09Z","end_date":"2026-12-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":160.0,"volume_24hr":160.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.445,"volume_24h_change":160.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.234167098999023,"normalized_volume":7.5755767822265625,"liquidity":1277.7554,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T01:59:46.676364Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T01:59:27.744523Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T20:49:45.197733Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-during-the-2026-hurricane-season/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-virginia-by-november-30-2026","event_title":"Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.155,0.065,0.05]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3709683","event_id":"872558","slug":"will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-connecticut-by-november-30-2026","question":"Will a hurricane make landfall in Connecticut by November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"Connecticut","description":"This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A market resolves to \"Yes\" if a hurricane makes landfall in that state within the timeframe, as described in official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/); for Hawaii, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) advisories also apply. Otherwise, that market resolves to \"No\".\n\nA hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL) and the NHC reports maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher (Category 1 or greater) at the time of landfall. The state of landfall is determined by the surface center's location when it crosses the coastline. If a single hurricane makes separate landfalls in more than one listed state, each such state resolves to \"Yes\".\n\nHurricane season runs from June 1, 2026 - November 30, 2026. \n\nEach market resolves based on the initial NHC (or CPHC) advisory reporting a qualifying landfall in the relevant state, regardless of any later retraction or reanalysis. Each market may only resolve to \"No\" after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, if an extension period applies, after December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, if the conditions for a \"Yes\" resolution have not been met.\n\nIf an active tropical cyclone at hurricane strength is over water per official NHC or CPHC advisories as of 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026, the relevant market(s) will operate under an extension period of 7 days, and the resolution date will move to December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; a qualifying landfall by that hurricane during the extension period will count toward resolution.\n\nIf a qualifying landfall occurs within a market's timeframe (including any extension period) but has not yet been confirmed by an NHC or CPHC advisory by the resolution date, that market will remain open until such an advisory is issued.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T20:31:11Z","end_date":"2026-12-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.45,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.032846450805664,"normalized_volume":2.719484329223633,"liquidity":1836.9149,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T01:59:46.676364Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T01:59:27.744523Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T20:49:45.197733Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-during-the-2026-hurricane-season/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-connecticut-by-november-30-2026","event_title":"Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.065,0.055,0.055,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3709684","event_id":"872558","slug":"will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-rhode-island-by-november-30-2026","question":"Will a hurricane make landfall in Rhode Island by November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"Rhode Island","description":"This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A market resolves to \"Yes\" if a hurricane makes landfall in that state within the timeframe, as described in official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/); for Hawaii, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) advisories also apply. Otherwise, that market resolves to \"No\".\n\nA hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL) and the NHC reports maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher (Category 1 or greater) at the time of landfall. The state of landfall is determined by the surface center's location when it crosses the coastline. If a single hurricane makes separate landfalls in more than one listed state, each such state resolves to \"Yes\".\n\nHurricane season runs from June 1, 2026 - November 30, 2026. \n\nEach market resolves based on the initial NHC (or CPHC) advisory reporting a qualifying landfall in the relevant state, regardless of any later retraction or reanalysis. Each market may only resolve to \"No\" after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, if an extension period applies, after December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, if the conditions for a \"Yes\" resolution have not been met.\n\nIf an active tropical cyclone at hurricane strength is over water per official NHC or CPHC advisories as of 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026, the relevant market(s) will operate under an extension period of 7 days, and the resolution date will move to December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; a qualifying landfall by that hurricane during the extension period will count toward resolution.\n\nIf a qualifying landfall occurs within a market's timeframe (including any extension period) but has not yet been confirmed by an NHC or CPHC advisory by the resolution date, that market will remain open until such an advisory is issued.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T20:31:11Z","end_date":"2026-12-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":274.02,"volume_24hr":274.02,"prob_24h_change":-0.45,"volume_24h_change":274.02,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.726444244384766,"normalized_volume":9.256203651428223,"liquidity":1369.6732,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T01:04:49.610647Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T00:59:41.797294Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T20:49:45.197733Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-during-the-2026-hurricane-season/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-rhode-island-by-november-30-2026","event_title":"Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.065,0.06,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3709681","event_id":"872558","slug":"will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-new-jersey-by-november-30-2026","question":"Will a hurricane make landfall in New Jersey by November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"New Jersey","description":"This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A market resolves to \"Yes\" if a hurricane makes landfall in that state within the timeframe, as described in official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/); for Hawaii, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) advisories also apply. Otherwise, that market resolves to \"No\".\n\nA hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL) and the NHC reports maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher (Category 1 or greater) at the time of landfall. The state of landfall is determined by the surface center's location when it crosses the coastline. If a single hurricane makes separate landfalls in more than one listed state, each such state resolves to \"Yes\".\n\nHurricane season runs from June 1, 2026 - November 30, 2026. \n\nEach market resolves based on the initial NHC (or CPHC) advisory reporting a qualifying landfall in the relevant state, regardless of any later retraction or reanalysis. Each market may only resolve to \"No\" after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, if an extension period applies, after December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, if the conditions for a \"Yes\" resolution have not been met.\n\nIf an active tropical cyclone at hurricane strength is over water per official NHC or CPHC advisories as of 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026, the relevant market(s) will operate under an extension period of 7 days, and the resolution date will move to December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; a qualifying landfall by that hurricane during the extension period will count toward resolution.\n\nIf a qualifying landfall occurs within a market's timeframe (including any extension period) but has not yet been confirmed by an NHC or CPHC advisory by the resolution date, that market will remain open until such an advisory is issued.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T20:31:12Z","end_date":"2026-12-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21.0,"volume_24hr":21.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.455,"volume_24h_change":21.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.157031059265137,"normalized_volume":2.8032262325286865,"liquidity":1540.9583,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T02:04:01.705934Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T01:59:27.744523Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T20:49:45.197733Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-during-the-2026-hurricane-season/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-new-jersey-by-november-30-2026","event_title":"Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.055,0.045,0.045,0.04]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3709682","event_id":"872558","slug":"will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-new-york-by-november-30-2026","question":"Will a hurricane make landfall in New York by November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"New York","description":"This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A market resolves to \"Yes\" if a hurricane makes landfall in that state within the timeframe, as described in official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/); for Hawaii, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) advisories also apply. Otherwise, that market resolves to \"No\".\n\nA hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL) and the NHC reports maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher (Category 1 or greater) at the time of landfall. The state of landfall is determined by the surface center's location when it crosses the coastline. If a single hurricane makes separate landfalls in more than one listed state, each such state resolves to \"Yes\".\n\nHurricane season runs from June 1, 2026 - November 30, 2026. \n\nEach market resolves based on the initial NHC (or CPHC) advisory reporting a qualifying landfall in the relevant state, regardless of any later retraction or reanalysis. Each market may only resolve to \"No\" after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, if an extension period applies, after December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, if the conditions for a \"Yes\" resolution have not been met.\n\nIf an active tropical cyclone at hurricane strength is over water per official NHC or CPHC advisories as of 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026, the relevant market(s) will operate under an extension period of 7 days, and the resolution date will move to December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; a qualifying landfall by that hurricane during the extension period will count toward resolution.\n\nIf a qualifying landfall occurs within a market's timeframe (including any extension period) but has not yet been confirmed by an NHC or CPHC advisory by the resolution date, that market will remain open until such an advisory is issued.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T20:31:11Z","end_date":"2026-12-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":70.0,"volume_24hr":70.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.455,"volume_24h_change":70.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.905672073364258,"normalized_volume":5.331060886383057,"liquidity":1397.5446,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T01:59:46.676364Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T01:59:27.744523Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T20:49:45.197733Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-during-the-2026-hurricane-season/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-new-york-by-november-30-2026","event_title":"Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.075,0.06,0.055,0.04]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3709679","event_id":"872558","slug":"will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-maryland-by-november-30-2026","question":"Will a hurricane make landfall in Maryland by November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"Maryland","description":"This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A market resolves to \"Yes\" if a hurricane makes landfall in that state within the timeframe, as described in official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/); for Hawaii, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) advisories also apply. Otherwise, that market resolves to \"No\".\n\nA hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL) and the NHC reports maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher (Category 1 or greater) at the time of landfall. The state of landfall is determined by the surface center's location when it crosses the coastline. If a single hurricane makes separate landfalls in more than one listed state, each such state resolves to \"Yes\".\n\nHurricane season runs from June 1, 2026 - November 30, 2026. \n\nEach market resolves based on the initial NHC (or CPHC) advisory reporting a qualifying landfall in the relevant state, regardless of any later retraction or reanalysis. Each market may only resolve to \"No\" after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, if an extension period applies, after December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, if the conditions for a \"Yes\" resolution have not been met.\n\nIf an active tropical cyclone at hurricane strength is over water per official NHC or CPHC advisories as of 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026, the relevant market(s) will operate under an extension period of 7 days, and the resolution date will move to December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; a qualifying landfall by that hurricane during the extension period will count toward resolution.\n\nIf a qualifying landfall occurs within a market's timeframe (including any extension period) but has not yet been confirmed by an NHC or CPHC advisory by the resolution date, that market will remain open until such an advisory is issued.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0355,0.9645],"probability":0.0355,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T20:31:09Z","end_date":"2026-12-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":400.0,"volume_24hr":400.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.4595,"volume_24h_change":400.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.631521224975586,"normalized_volume":10.540861129760742,"liquidity":1674.76041,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T01:59:46.676364Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T01:59:27.744523Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T20:49:45.197733Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-during-the-2026-hurricane-season/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-maryland-by-november-30-2026","event_title":"Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.075,0.05,0.035,0.0355]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3709680","event_id":"872558","slug":"will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-delaware-by-november-30-2026","question":"Will a hurricane make landfall in Delaware by November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"Delaware","description":"This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A market resolves to \"Yes\" if a hurricane makes landfall in that state within the timeframe, as described in official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/); for Hawaii, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) advisories also apply. Otherwise, that market resolves to \"No\".\n\nA hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL) and the NHC reports maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher (Category 1 or greater) at the time of landfall. The state of landfall is determined by the surface center's location when it crosses the coastline. If a single hurricane makes separate landfalls in more than one listed state, each such state resolves to \"Yes\".\n\nHurricane season runs from June 1, 2026 - November 30, 2026. \n\nEach market resolves based on the initial NHC (or CPHC) advisory reporting a qualifying landfall in the relevant state, regardless of any later retraction or reanalysis. Each market may only resolve to \"No\" after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, if an extension period applies, after December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, if the conditions for a \"Yes\" resolution have not been met.\n\nIf an active tropical cyclone at hurricane strength is over water per official NHC or CPHC advisories as of 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026, the relevant market(s) will operate under an extension period of 7 days, and the resolution date will move to December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; a qualifying landfall by that hurricane during the extension period will count toward resolution.\n\nIf a qualifying landfall occurs within a market's timeframe (including any extension period) but has not yet been confirmed by an NHC or CPHC advisory by the resolution date, that market will remain open until such an advisory is issued.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0355,0.9645],"probability":0.0355,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T20:31:12Z","end_date":"2026-12-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":410.99,"volume_24hr":410.99,"prob_24h_change":-0.4595,"volume_24h_change":410.99,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.772860527038574,"normalized_volume":10.636171340942383,"liquidity":1854.16562,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T01:04:49.610647Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T00:59:41.797294Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T20:49:45.197733Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-during-the-2026-hurricane-season/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-delaware-by-november-30-2026","event_title":"Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.065,0.04,0.0355]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3709687","event_id":"872558","slug":"will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-maine-by-november-30-2026","question":"Will a hurricane make landfall in Maine by November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"Maine","description":"This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A market resolves to \"Yes\" if a hurricane makes landfall in that state within the timeframe, as described in official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/); for Hawaii, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) advisories also apply. Otherwise, that market resolves to \"No\".\n\nA hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL) and the NHC reports maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher (Category 1 or greater) at the time of landfall. The state of landfall is determined by the surface center's location when it crosses the coastline. If a single hurricane makes separate landfalls in more than one listed state, each such state resolves to \"Yes\".\n\nHurricane season runs from June 1, 2026 - November 30, 2026. \n\nEach market resolves based on the initial NHC (or CPHC) advisory reporting a qualifying landfall in the relevant state, regardless of any later retraction or reanalysis. Each market may only resolve to \"No\" after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, if an extension period applies, after December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, if the conditions for a \"Yes\" resolution have not been met.\n\nIf an active tropical cyclone at hurricane strength is over water per official NHC or CPHC advisories as of 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026, the relevant market(s) will operate under an extension period of 7 days, and the resolution date will move to December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; a qualifying landfall by that hurricane during the extension period will count toward resolution.\n\nIf a qualifying landfall occurs within a market's timeframe (including any extension period) but has not yet been confirmed by an NHC or CPHC advisory by the resolution date, that market will remain open until such an advisory is issued.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0355,0.9645],"probability":0.0355,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T20:31:12Z","end_date":"2026-12-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":631.14,"volume_24hr":631.14,"prob_24h_change":-0.4595,"volume_24h_change":631.14,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.09560203552246,"normalized_volume":12.202473640441895,"liquidity":2040.23248,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T01:04:49.610647Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T00:59:41.797294Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T20:49:45.197733Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-during-the-2026-hurricane-season/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-maine-by-november-30-2026","event_title":"Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.06,0.045,0.0355]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3709686","event_id":"872558","slug":"will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-new-hampshire-by-november-30-2026","question":"Will a hurricane make landfall in New Hampshire by November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"New Hampshire","description":"This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A market resolves to \"Yes\" if a hurricane makes landfall in that state within the timeframe, as described in official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/); for Hawaii, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) advisories also apply. Otherwise, that market resolves to \"No\".\n\nA hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL) and the NHC reports maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher (Category 1 or greater) at the time of landfall. The state of landfall is determined by the surface center's location when it crosses the coastline. If a single hurricane makes separate landfalls in more than one listed state, each such state resolves to \"Yes\".\n\nHurricane season runs from June 1, 2026 - November 30, 2026. \n\nEach market resolves based on the initial NHC (or CPHC) advisory reporting a qualifying landfall in the relevant state, regardless of any later retraction or reanalysis. Each market may only resolve to \"No\" after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, if an extension period applies, after December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, if the conditions for a \"Yes\" resolution have not been met.\n\nIf an active tropical cyclone at hurricane strength is over water per official NHC or CPHC advisories as of 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026, the relevant market(s) will operate under an extension period of 7 days, and the resolution date will move to December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; a qualifying landfall by that hurricane during the extension period will count toward resolution.\n\nIf a qualifying landfall occurs within a market's timeframe (including any extension period) but has not yet been confirmed by an NHC or CPHC advisory by the resolution date, that market will remain open until such an advisory is issued.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0225,0.9775],"probability":0.0225,"spread":0.015,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T20:31:12Z","end_date":"2026-12-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":738.4100000000001,"volume_24hr":738.41,"prob_24h_change":-0.4725,"volume_24h_change":738.41,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.985897064208984,"normalized_volume":12.802828788757324,"liquidity":622.57785,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T01:59:46.676364Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T01:59:27.744523Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T20:49:45.197733Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-during-the-2026-hurricane-season/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-new-hampshire-by-november-30-2026","event_title":"Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.06,0.045,0.0255,0.0225]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3709688","event_id":"872558","slug":"will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-hawaii-by-november-30-2026","question":"Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii by November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"Hawaii","description":"This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A market resolves to \"Yes\" if a hurricane makes landfall in that state within the timeframe, as described in official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/); for Hawaii, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) advisories also apply. Otherwise, that market resolves to \"No\".\n\nA hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL) and the NHC reports maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher (Category 1 or greater) at the time of landfall. The state of landfall is determined by the surface center's location when it crosses the coastline. If a single hurricane makes separate landfalls in more than one listed state, each such state resolves to \"Yes\".\n\nHurricane season runs from June 1, 2026 - November 30, 2026. \n\nEach market resolves based on the initial NHC (or CPHC) advisory reporting a qualifying landfall in the relevant state, regardless of any later retraction or reanalysis. Each market may only resolve to \"No\" after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, if an extension period applies, after December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, if the conditions for a \"Yes\" resolution have not been met.\n\nIf an active tropical cyclone at hurricane strength is over water per official NHC or CPHC advisories as of 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026, the relevant market(s) will operate under an extension period of 7 days, and the resolution date will move to December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; a qualifying landfall by that hurricane during the extension period will count toward resolution.\n\nIf a qualifying landfall occurs within a market's timeframe (including any extension period) but has not yet been confirmed by an NHC or CPHC advisory by the resolution date, that market will remain open until such an advisory is issued.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T20:31:12Z","end_date":"2026-12-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.41,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":643.4699,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T01:00:26.927067Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T00:59:41.797294Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T20:49:45.197733Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-during-the-2026-hurricane-season/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-hawaii-by-november-30-2026","event_title":"Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.08,0.075,0.085]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/872558","as_of":"2026-08-19T02:49:12.763584Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?\" — top market at 2% probability across 19 outcomes","source_url":null}}