{"source":"polymarket","id":"875397","ticker":"smotrich-and-ben-gvir-on-the-same-party-list","slug":"smotrich-and-ben-gvir-on-the-same-party-list","title":"Will Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list?","description":"Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Bezalel Smotrich and Itamar Ben-Gvir both appear as candidates on the same party list submitted to the Central Elections Committee to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA list on which both individuals appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions either individual occupies on the list.\n\nIf either individual does not appear on any party list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nStatements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.\n\nIf the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/illist-smotrich-bengvir-list-6da5345123.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/illist-smotrich-bengvir-list-6da5345123.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T12:09:29Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1862.4912619999998,"volume_24hr":41.162789000000004,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.513881683349609,"normalized_volume":12.906207084655762,"liquidity":262.3307,"open_interest":929.572094,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"},{"id":"104793","slug":"israel-election","label":"Israel Election"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.22,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.06499999999999997,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-8.837210999999996,"updated_at":"2026-08-30T08:53:26.619527Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-30T08:53:26.619527Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T12:54:09.646115Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/smotrich-and-ben-gvir-on-the-same-party-list","chart_24h":[50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,91.162789,91.162789,91.162789,91.162789,91.162789,91.162789,91.162789,91.162789,91.162789,91.162789,91.162789,91.162789,91.162789,91.162789,91.162789,91.162789,91.162789,91.162789,91.162789,91.162789,91.162789,91.162789,91.162789,41.162789000000004,41.162789000000004],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3719929","event_id":"875397","slug":"smotrich-and-ben-gvir-on-the-same-party-list","question":"Will Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Bezalel Smotrich and Itamar Ben-Gvir both appear as candidates on the same party list submitted to the Central Elections Committee to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA list on which both individuals appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions either individual occupies on the list.\n\nIf either individual does not appear on any party list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nStatements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.\n\nIf the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/illist-smotrich-bengvir-list-6da5345123.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/illist-smotrich-bengvir-list-6da5345123.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T12:09:29Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1862.4912619999998,"volume_24hr":41.162789000000004,"prob_24h_change":-0.06499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":-8.837210999999996,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.114517688751221,"normalized_volume":16.636503219604492,"liquidity":245.3707,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-08-30T08:35:49.734969Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-30T08:35:49.734969Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T12:54:09.744287Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/smotrich-and-ben-gvir-on-the-same-party-list/smotrich-and-ben-gvir-on-the-same-party-list","event_title":"Will Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list?","chart_24h":[0.285,0.275,0.285,0.245,0.245,0.265,0.265,0.23,0.265,0.265,0.235,0.215,0.21,0.195,0.175,0.205,0.185,0.215,0.205,0.215,0.215,0.235,0.23,0.2,0.215,0.215,0.215,0.22,0.22,0.215,0.215,0.21,0.205,0.22]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/875397","as_of":"2026-08-30T09:03:59.749392Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list?\" — top market at 22% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}