{"source":"polymarket","id":"875909","ticker":"uss-abraham-lincoln-departs-centcom-byptptpt","slug":"uss-abraham-lincoln-departs-centcom-byptptpt","title":"USS Abraham Lincoln departs CENTCOM by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) departs the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe Lincoln will be considered to have departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility or entered the any other area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically exited the CENTCOM area of responsibility. \n\nThe departure must occur by the listed deadline. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation that the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the listed deadline, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed deadline. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. If there is material ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by that time, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nPort calls, temporary stops, crew liberty at an intermediate port, or other movements within the CENTCOM area of responsibility will not qualify. Announcements, orders, schedules, or reports that the ship will depart, is preparing to depart, or is awaiting relief will not qualify absent confirmation that the qualifying departure has occurred. A qualifying departure will count regardless of the ship's subsequent movements or tasking.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military, including the U.S. Navy, the Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uss-abraham-lincoln-departs-centcom-byptptpt-bw5am-CKVdtx.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uss-abraham-lincoln-departs-centcom-byptptpt-bw5am-CKVdtx.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T14:40:49Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1860.136406,"volume_24hr":1860.136406,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.492361068725586,"normalized_volume":12.907231330871582,"liquidity":36816.8226,"open_interest":1036.294893,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"101084","slug":"navy","label":"Navy"},{"id":"106115","slug":"sailor","label":"Sailor"},{"id":"106114","slug":"lincoln","label":"Lincoln"},{"id":"193","slug":"military","label":"Military"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"165","slug":"united-states","label":"United States"},{"id":"464","slug":"military-action","label":"Military Actions"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"October 31","top_outcome_probability":0.905,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.385,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":663.055482,"updated_at":"2026-08-20T00:40:49.938866Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T00:40:49.938866Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T15:02:31.420977Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/uss-abraham-lincoln-departs-centcom-byptptpt","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,82.727271,571.698482,692.818482,742.818482,950.193482,1270.193482,1280.193482,1280.193482,1769.137273,1778.743829,1798.743829,1860.136406],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3722347","event_id":"875909","slug":"will-the-uss-abraham-lincoln-depart-centcom-by-october-31-2026","question":"Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by October 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 31","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) departs the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe Lincoln will be considered to have departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility or entered the any other area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically exited the CENTCOM area of responsibility. \n\nThe departure must occur by the listed deadline. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation that the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the listed deadline, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed deadline. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. If there is material ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by that time, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nPort calls, temporary stops, crew liberty at an intermediate port, or other movements within the CENTCOM area of responsibility will not qualify. Announcements, orders, schedules, or reports that the ship will depart, is preparing to depart, or is awaiting relief will not qualify absent confirmation that the qualifying departure has occurred. A qualifying departure will count regardless of the ship's subsequent movements or tasking.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military, including the U.S. Navy, the Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uss-abraham-lincoln-departs-centcom-byptptpt-bw5am-CKVdtx.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uss-abraham-lincoln-departs-centcom-byptptpt-bw5am-CKVdtx.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.905,0.095],"probability":0.905,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T14:40:49Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":663.055482,"volume_24hr":663.055482,"prob_24h_change":0.385,"volume_24h_change":663.055482,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.711740493774414,"normalized_volume":12.38957691192627,"liquidity":9883.6538,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-20T00:44:25.099926Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T00:40:49.964942Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T15:02:31.449450Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/uss-abraham-lincoln-departs-centcom-byptptpt/will-the-uss-abraham-lincoln-depart-centcom-by-october-31-2026","event_title":"USS Abraham Lincoln departs CENTCOM by...?","chart_24h":[0.52,0.555,0.65,0.815,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.895,0.905,0.905]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3722346","event_id":"875909","slug":"will-the-uss-abraham-lincoln-depart-centcom-by-september-30-2026","question":"Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by September 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 30","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) departs the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe Lincoln will be considered to have departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility or entered the any other area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically exited the CENTCOM area of responsibility. \n\nThe departure must occur by the listed deadline. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation that the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the listed deadline, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed deadline. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. If there is material ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by that time, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nPort calls, temporary stops, crew liberty at an intermediate port, or other movements within the CENTCOM area of responsibility will not qualify. Announcements, orders, schedules, or reports that the ship will depart, is preparing to depart, or is awaiting relief will not qualify absent confirmation that the qualifying departure has occurred. A qualifying departure will count regardless of the ship's subsequent movements or tasking.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military, including the U.S. Navy, the Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uss-abraham-lincoln-departs-centcom-byptptpt-bw5am-CKVdtx.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uss-abraham-lincoln-departs-centcom-byptptpt-bw5am-CKVdtx.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.855,0.145],"probability":0.855,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T14:40:49Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":433.708331,"volume_24hr":433.708331,"prob_24h_change":0.33499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":433.708331,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.351289749145508,"normalized_volume":10.826656341552734,"liquidity":14631.0556,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-20T00:05:06.161464Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T23:59:48.133334Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T15:02:31.449450Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/uss-abraham-lincoln-departs-centcom-byptptpt/will-the-uss-abraham-lincoln-depart-centcom-by-september-30-2026","event_title":"USS Abraham Lincoln departs CENTCOM by...?","chart_24h":[0.52,0.535,0.72,0.87,0.765,0.865,0.86,0.845,0.835,0.835,0.855,0.855]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3722345","event_id":"875909","slug":"will-the-uss-abraham-lincoln-depart-centcom-by-september-15-2026","question":"Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by September 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 15","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) departs the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe Lincoln will be considered to have departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility or entered the any other area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically exited the CENTCOM area of responsibility. \n\nThe departure must occur by the listed deadline. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation that the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the listed deadline, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed deadline. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. If there is material ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by that time, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nPort calls, temporary stops, crew liberty at an intermediate port, or other movements within the CENTCOM area of responsibility will not qualify. Announcements, orders, schedules, or reports that the ship will depart, is preparing to depart, or is awaiting relief will not qualify absent confirmation that the qualifying departure has occurred. A qualifying departure will count regardless of the ship's subsequent movements or tasking.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military, including the U.S. Navy, the Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uss-abraham-lincoln-departs-centcom-byptptpt-bw5am-CKVdtx.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uss-abraham-lincoln-departs-centcom-byptptpt-bw5am-CKVdtx.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.785,0.215],"probability":0.785,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T14:40:49Z","end_date":"2026-09-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":279.472271,"volume_24hr":279.472271,"prob_24h_change":0.29000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":279.472271,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.077354431152344,"normalized_volume":9.32101821899414,"liquidity":9413.3956,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-20T00:44:25.099926Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T00:40:49.964942Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T15:02:31.449450Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/uss-abraham-lincoln-departs-centcom-byptptpt/will-the-uss-abraham-lincoln-depart-centcom-by-september-15-2026","event_title":"USS Abraham Lincoln departs CENTCOM by...?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.49,0.535,0.82,0.625,0.575,0.74,0.765,0.785,0.785]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3722344","event_id":"875909","slug":"will-the-uss-abraham-lincoln-depart-centcom-by-august-31-2026","question":"Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by August 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 31","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) departs the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe Lincoln will be considered to have departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility or entered the any other area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically exited the CENTCOM area of responsibility. \n\nThe departure must occur by the listed deadline. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation that the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the listed deadline, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed deadline. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. If there is material ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by that time, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nPort calls, temporary stops, crew liberty at an intermediate port, or other movements within the CENTCOM area of responsibility will not qualify. Announcements, orders, schedules, or reports that the ship will depart, is preparing to depart, or is awaiting relief will not qualify absent confirmation that the qualifying departure has occurred. A qualifying departure will count regardless of the ship's subsequent movements or tasking.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military, including the U.S. Navy, the Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uss-abraham-lincoln-departs-centcom-byptptpt-bw5am-CKVdtx.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uss-abraham-lincoln-departs-centcom-byptptpt-bw5am-CKVdtx.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.415,0.585],"probability":0.415,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T14:40:50Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":483.900322,"volume_24hr":483.900322,"prob_24h_change":-0.08500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":483.900322,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.9448184967041,"normalized_volume":11.219647407531738,"liquidity":2741.6226,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-20T00:44:25.099926Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T00:40:49.964942Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T15:02:31.449450Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/uss-abraham-lincoln-departs-centcom-byptptpt/will-the-uss-abraham-lincoln-depart-centcom-by-august-31-2026","event_title":"USS Abraham Lincoln departs CENTCOM by...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.48,0.475,0.51,0.49,0.445,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.415,0.415,0.415,0.415]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/875909","as_of":"2026-08-20T01:51:14.186491Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"USS Abraham Lincoln departs CENTCOM by...?\" — top market at 90% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}