{"source":"polymarket","id":"877070","ticker":"les-republicains-seat-count-after-french-senate-election","slug":"les-republicains-seat-count-after-french-senate-election","title":"Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?","description":"The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats. The new senators are currently scheduled to take office on October 1, 2026, and the deadline for submitting new political-group membership lists and political declarations is currently set for October 5, 2026, at 4:00 PM CEST.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of French Senate seats held by the Groupe Les Républicains as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST.\n\nThe seat count will be the group's total membership as published by the French Senate (senat.fr), counting members (membres), related (apparentés), and affiliated (rattachés).\n\nA group will qualify as the Groupe Les Républicains if it satisfies at least one of the following:\n- Its official name includes \"Les Républicains\" or a clear variant thereof;\n- Its political declaration published in the Official Journal (Journal Officiel) of France identifies it as a continuation of the group; or\n- It is publicly recognized as the continuation of the Groupe Les Républicains, and this characterization is confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nA group that changes its name will continue to qualify if it meets at least one of the criteria above. If the group merges with one or more other groups, this market will resolve according to the total membership of the merged group, provided the merged group meets at least one of the criteria above.\n\nIf no group qualifies, or group composition is not officially published, as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThe administrative meeting of senators not appearing on the list of any group (RASNAG) will not qualify as a group for the purposes of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be publications of the French Senate (senat.fr) and the Official Journal of France, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/frsen-grp-lr-efec0e0bc9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/frsen-grp-lr-efec0e0bc9.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T19:53:07Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1391.24,"volume_24hr":1391.24,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.923717498779297,"normalized_volume":11.930475234985352,"liquidity":60454.99584,"open_interest":545.8979979999999,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"1378","slug":"france","label":"France"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"105346","slug":"french-senate-elections","label":"French Senate Elections"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"125-128","top_outcome_probability":0.284,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.16100000000000003,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":155.94,"updated_at":"2026-08-21T05:40:49.951019Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T05:40:49.951019Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T20:15:49.017407Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/les-republicains-seat-count-after-french-senate-election","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,127.98,127.98,424.92,424.92,424.92,830.94,1113.94,1391.24,1391.24,1391.24],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3728840","event_id":"877070","slug":"will-les-republicains-hold-125-128-french-senate-seats-after-the-2026-election","question":"Will Les Républicains hold 125-128 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?","group_item_title":"125-128","description":"The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats. The new senators are currently scheduled to take office on October 1, 2026, and the deadline for submitting new political-group membership lists and political declarations is currently set for October 5, 2026, at 4:00 PM CEST.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of French Senate seats held by the Groupe Les Républicains as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST.\n\nThe seat count will be the group's total membership as published by the French Senate (senat.fr), counting members (membres), related (apparentés), and affiliated (rattachés).\n\nA group will qualify as the Groupe Les Républicains if it satisfies at least one of the following:\n- Its official name includes \"Les Républicains\" or a clear variant thereof;\n- Its political declaration published in the Official Journal (Journal Officiel) of France identifies it as a continuation of the group; or\n- It is publicly recognized as the continuation of the Groupe Les Républicains, and this characterization is confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nA group that changes its name will continue to qualify if it meets at least one of the criteria above. If the group merges with one or more other groups, this market will resolve according to the total membership of the merged group, provided the merged group meets at least one of the criteria above.\n\nIf no group qualifies, or group composition is not officially published, as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThe administrative meeting of senators not appearing on the list of any group (RASNAG) will not qualify as a group for the purposes of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be publications of the French Senate (senat.fr) and the Official Journal of France, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/frsen-grp-lr-efec0e0bc9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/frsen-grp-lr-efec0e0bc9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.284,0.716],"probability":0.284,"spread":0.008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T19:53:07Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":155.94,"volume_24hr":155.94,"prob_24h_change":-0.16100000000000003,"volume_24h_change":155.94,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.281733512878418,"normalized_volume":7.4996137619018555,"liquidity":12785.55481,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T05:12:18.714030Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T04:12:09.819223Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T20:15:49.174172Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/les-republicains-seat-count-after-french-senate-election/will-les-republicains-hold-125-128-french-senate-seats-after-the-2026-election","event_title":"Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?","chart_24h":[0.445,0.435,0.49,0.485,0.49,0.46,0.415,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.375,0.0115,0.0115,0.004,0.278,0.276,0.284,0.284]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3728838","event_id":"877070","slug":"will-les-republicains-hold-121-124-french-senate-seats-after-the-2026-election","question":"Will Les Républicains hold 121-124 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?","group_item_title":"121-124","description":"The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats. The new senators are currently scheduled to take office on October 1, 2026, and the deadline for submitting new political-group membership lists and political declarations is currently set for October 5, 2026, at 4:00 PM CEST.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of French Senate seats held by the Groupe Les Républicains as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST.\n\nThe seat count will be the group's total membership as published by the French Senate (senat.fr), counting members (membres), related (apparentés), and affiliated (rattachés).\n\nA group will qualify as the Groupe Les Républicains if it satisfies at least one of the following:\n- Its official name includes \"Les Républicains\" or a clear variant thereof;\n- Its political declaration published in the Official Journal (Journal Officiel) of France identifies it as a continuation of the group; or\n- It is publicly recognized as the continuation of the Groupe Les Républicains, and this characterization is confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nA group that changes its name will continue to qualify if it meets at least one of the criteria above. If the group merges with one or more other groups, this market will resolve according to the total membership of the merged group, provided the merged group meets at least one of the criteria above.\n\nIf no group qualifies, or group composition is not officially published, as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThe administrative meeting of senators not appearing on the list of any group (RASNAG) will not qualify as a group for the purposes of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be publications of the French Senate (senat.fr) and the Official Journal of France, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/frsen-grp-lr-efec0e0bc9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/frsen-grp-lr-efec0e0bc9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.245,0.755],"probability":0.245,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T19:53:07Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":754.3,"volume_24hr":754.3,"prob_24h_change":-0.2,"volume_24h_change":754.3,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.665449142456055,"normalized_volume":12.885379791259766,"liquidity":833.2146,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T04:50:34.631193Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T04:50:34.631193Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T20:15:49.174172Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/les-republicains-seat-count-after-french-senate-election/will-les-republicains-hold-121-124-french-senate-seats-after-the-2026-election","event_title":"Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?","chart_24h":[0.445,0.44,0.435,0.43,0.445,0.385,0.44,0.395,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.285,0.43,0.43,0.425,0.395,0.37,0.24,0.245]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3728841","event_id":"877070","slug":"will-les-republicains-hold-129-132-french-senate-seats-after-the-2026-election","question":"Will Les Républicains hold 129-132 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?","group_item_title":"129-132","description":"The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats. The new senators are currently scheduled to take office on October 1, 2026, and the deadline for submitting new political-group membership lists and political declarations is currently set for October 5, 2026, at 4:00 PM CEST.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of French Senate seats held by the Groupe Les Républicains as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST.\n\nThe seat count will be the group's total membership as published by the French Senate (senat.fr), counting members (membres), related (apparentés), and affiliated (rattachés).\n\nA group will qualify as the Groupe Les Républicains if it satisfies at least one of the following:\n- Its official name includes \"Les Républicains\" or a clear variant thereof;\n- Its political declaration published in the Official Journal (Journal Officiel) of France identifies it as a continuation of the group; or\n- It is publicly recognized as the continuation of the Groupe Les Républicains, and this characterization is confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nA group that changes its name will continue to qualify if it meets at least one of the criteria above. If the group merges with one or more other groups, this market will resolve according to the total membership of the merged group, provided the merged group meets at least one of the criteria above.\n\nIf no group qualifies, or group composition is not officially published, as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThe administrative meeting of senators not appearing on the list of any group (RASNAG) will not qualify as a group for the purposes of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be publications of the French Senate (senat.fr) and the Official Journal of France, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/frsen-grp-lr-efec0e0bc9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/frsen-grp-lr-efec0e0bc9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.79],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T19:53:07Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":90.0,"volume_24hr":90.0,"prob_24h_change":0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":90.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.184539794921875,"normalized_volume":5.96989631652832,"liquidity":9365.0699,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T05:42:15.672945Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T05:40:50.303493Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T20:15:49.174172Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/les-republicains-seat-count-after-french-senate-election/will-les-republicains-hold-129-132-french-senate-seats-after-the-2026-election","event_title":"Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?","chart_24h":[0.16,0.165,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.105,0.12,0.09,0.095,0.11,0.225,0.2,0.205,0.2,0.21]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3728843","event_id":"877070","slug":"will-les-republicains-hold-133-136-french-senate-seats-after-the-2026-election","question":"Will Les Républicains hold 133-136 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?","group_item_title":"133-136","description":"The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats. The new senators are currently scheduled to take office on October 1, 2026, and the deadline for submitting new political-group membership lists and political declarations is currently set for October 5, 2026, at 4:00 PM CEST.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of French Senate seats held by the Groupe Les Républicains as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST.\n\nThe seat count will be the group's total membership as published by the French Senate (senat.fr), counting members (membres), related (apparentés), and affiliated (rattachés).\n\nA group will qualify as the Groupe Les Républicains if it satisfies at least one of the following:\n- Its official name includes \"Les Républicains\" or a clear variant thereof;\n- Its political declaration published in the Official Journal (Journal Officiel) of France identifies it as a continuation of the group; or\n- It is publicly recognized as the continuation of the Groupe Les Républicains, and this characterization is confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nA group that changes its name will continue to qualify if it meets at least one of the criteria above. If the group merges with one or more other groups, this market will resolve according to the total membership of the merged group, provided the merged group meets at least one of the criteria above.\n\nIf no group qualifies, or group composition is not officially published, as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThe administrative meeting of senators not appearing on the list of any group (RASNAG) will not qualify as a group for the purposes of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be publications of the French Senate (senat.fr) and the Official Journal of France, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/frsen-grp-lr-efec0e0bc9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/frsen-grp-lr-efec0e0bc9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T19:53:07Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":167.0,"volume_24hr":167.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.03499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":167.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.56058120727539,"normalized_volume":7.703007698059082,"liquidity":9344.4783,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T05:42:15.672945Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T02:28:39.280163Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T20:15:49.174172Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/les-republicains-seat-count-after-french-senate-election/will-les-republicains-hold-133-136-french-senate-seats-after-the-2026-election","event_title":"Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?","chart_24h":[0.105,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.115,0.12,0.12,0.125,0.065,0.11,0.105,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.095,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3728836","event_id":"877070","slug":"will-les-republicains-hold-117-120-french-senate-seats-after-the-2026-election","question":"Will Les Républicains hold 117-120 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?","group_item_title":"117-120","description":"The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats. The new senators are currently scheduled to take office on October 1, 2026, and the deadline for submitting new political-group membership lists and political declarations is currently set for October 5, 2026, at 4:00 PM CEST.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of French Senate seats held by the Groupe Les Républicains as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST.\n\nThe seat count will be the group's total membership as published by the French Senate (senat.fr), counting members (membres), related (apparentés), and affiliated (rattachés).\n\nA group will qualify as the Groupe Les Républicains if it satisfies at least one of the following:\n- Its official name includes \"Les Républicains\" or a clear variant thereof;\n- Its political declaration published in the Official Journal (Journal Officiel) of France identifies it as a continuation of the group; or\n- It is publicly recognized as the continuation of the Groupe Les Républicains, and this characterization is confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nA group that changes its name will continue to qualify if it meets at least one of the criteria above. If the group merges with one or more other groups, this market will resolve according to the total membership of the merged group, provided the merged group meets at least one of the criteria above.\n\nIf no group qualifies, or group composition is not officially published, as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThe administrative meeting of senators not appearing on the list of any group (RASNAG) will not qualify as a group for the purposes of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be publications of the French Senate (senat.fr) and the Official Journal of France, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/frsen-grp-lr-efec0e0bc9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/frsen-grp-lr-efec0e0bc9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0555,0.9445],"probability":0.0555,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T19:53:07Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":76.0,"volume_24hr":76.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.3895,"volume_24h_change":76.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.5895562171936035,"normalized_volume":5.5359086990356445,"liquidity":8810.82215,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T05:42:15.672945Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T04:50:34.631193Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T20:15:49.174172Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/les-republicains-seat-count-after-french-senate-election/will-les-republicains-hold-117-120-french-senate-seats-after-the-2026-election","event_title":"Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?","chart_24h":[0.445,0.445,0.415,0.42,0.425,0.425,0.44,0.365,0.14,0.135,0.15,0.27,0.255,0.215,0.07,0.055,0.0555,0.0555]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3728844","event_id":"877070","slug":"will-les-republicains-hold-137-or-more-french-senate-seats-after-the-2026-election","question":"Will Les Républicains hold 137 or more French Senate seats after the 2026 election?","group_item_title":"137+","description":"The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats. The new senators are currently scheduled to take office on October 1, 2026, and the deadline for submitting new political-group membership lists and political declarations is currently set for October 5, 2026, at 4:00 PM CEST.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of French Senate seats held by the Groupe Les Républicains as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST.\n\nThe seat count will be the group's total membership as published by the French Senate (senat.fr), counting members (membres), related (apparentés), and affiliated (rattachés).\n\nA group will qualify as the Groupe Les Républicains if it satisfies at least one of the following:\n- Its official name includes \"Les Républicains\" or a clear variant thereof;\n- Its political declaration published in the Official Journal (Journal Officiel) of France identifies it as a continuation of the group; or\n- It is publicly recognized as the continuation of the Groupe Les Républicains, and this characterization is confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nA group that changes its name will continue to qualify if it meets at least one of the criteria above. If the group merges with one or more other groups, this market will resolve according to the total membership of the merged group, provided the merged group meets at least one of the criteria above.\n\nIf no group qualifies, or group composition is not officially published, as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThe administrative meeting of senators not appearing on the list of any group (RASNAG) will not qualify as a group for the purposes of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be publications of the French Senate (senat.fr) and the Official Journal of France, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/frsen-grp-lr-efec0e0bc9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/frsen-grp-lr-efec0e0bc9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T19:53:07Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":74.0,"volume_24hr":74.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.07,"volume_24h_change":74.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.497870922088623,"normalized_volume":5.469032287597656,"liquidity":9336.4648,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T05:42:15.672945Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T02:28:39.280163Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T20:15:49.174172Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/les-republicains-seat-count-after-french-senate-election/will-les-republicains-hold-137-or-more-french-senate-seats-after-the-2026-election","event_title":"Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.105,0.105,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.125,0.06,0.11,0.105,0.115,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3728834","event_id":"877070","slug":"will-les-republicains-hold-fewer-than-117-french-senate-seats-after-the-2026-election","question":"Will Les Républicains hold fewer than 117 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?","group_item_title":"<117","description":"The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats. The new senators are currently scheduled to take office on October 1, 2026, and the deadline for submitting new political-group membership lists and political declarations is currently set for October 5, 2026, at 4:00 PM CEST.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of French Senate seats held by the Groupe Les Républicains as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST.\n\nThe seat count will be the group's total membership as published by the French Senate (senat.fr), counting members (membres), related (apparentés), and affiliated (rattachés).\n\nA group will qualify as the Groupe Les Républicains if it satisfies at least one of the following:\n- Its official name includes \"Les Républicains\" or a clear variant thereof;\n- Its political declaration published in the Official Journal (Journal Officiel) of France identifies it as a continuation of the group; or\n- It is publicly recognized as the continuation of the Groupe Les Républicains, and this characterization is confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nA group that changes its name will continue to qualify if it meets at least one of the criteria above. If the group merges with one or more other groups, this market will resolve according to the total membership of the merged group, provided the merged group meets at least one of the criteria above.\n\nIf no group qualifies, or group composition is not officially published, as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThe administrative meeting of senators not appearing on the list of any group (RASNAG) will not qualify as a group for the purposes of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be publications of the French Senate (senat.fr) and the Official Journal of France, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/frsen-grp-lr-efec0e0bc9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/frsen-grp-lr-efec0e0bc9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0325,0.9675],"probability":0.0325,"spread":0.053,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T19:53:07Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":74.0,"volume_24hr":74.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.4125,"volume_24h_change":74.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.497870922088623,"normalized_volume":5.469032287597656,"liquidity":8722.03535,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T05:12:18.714030Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T04:12:09.819223Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T20:15:49.174172Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/les-republicains-seat-count-after-french-senate-election/will-les-republicains-hold-fewer-than-117-french-senate-seats-after-the-2026-election","event_title":"Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?","chart_24h":[0.445,0.43,0.415,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.28,0.45,0.39,0.295,0.415,0.065,0.032,0.032,0.0355,0.034,0.031,0.0325,0.0325]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/877070","as_of":"2026-08-21T05:51:44.145243Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?\" — top market at 24% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}