{"source":"polymarket","id":"877282","ticker":"merck-moderna-mergeracquisition-announced-in-2026","slug":"merck-moderna-mergeracquisition-announced-in-2026","title":"Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Merck & Co. (MRK) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Moderna (MRNA), or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying merger or acquisition must encompass both MRK and MRNA or their subsidiaries.\n\nAn announcement by MRK or MRNA within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nA bid or offer announcement without the indication of a settled agreement will not qualify.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company announces the acquisition of a controlling interest in the other company. A \"controlling interest\" refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from MRK and MRNA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mrkmrna-mrk-mrna-3be4eb3d5a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mrkmrna-mrk-mrna-3be4eb3d5a.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T19:58:33Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":467.039915,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.593648910522461,"liquidity":102.32341,"open_interest":221.796667,"categories":["Finance","Science and Technology","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"103106","slug":"ma","label":"M&A"},{"id":"103325","slug":"mrk","label":"MRK"},{"id":"103491","slug":"mrna","label":"MRNA"},{"id":"106120","slug":"merck","label":"Merck"},{"id":"101684","slug":"pharma","label":"pharma"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"106119","slug":"moderna","label":"Moderna"},{"id":"74","slug":"science","label":"Science"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"552","slug":"mergers-and-acquisitions","label":"mergers and acquisitions"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.188,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.021999999999999992,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-26T03:32:11.804658Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-26T03:32:11.804658Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T20:15:53.348578Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/merck-moderna-mergeracquisition-announced-in-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3729063","event_id":"877282","slug":"merck-moderna-mergeracquisition-announced-in-2026","question":"Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Merck & Co. (MRK) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Moderna (MRNA), or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying merger or acquisition must encompass both MRK and MRNA or their subsidiaries.\n\nAn announcement by MRK or MRNA within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nA bid or offer announcement without the indication of a settled agreement will not qualify.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company announces the acquisition of a controlling interest in the other company. A \"controlling interest\" refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from MRK and MRNA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mrkmrna-mrk-mrna-3be4eb3d5a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mrkmrna-mrk-mrna-3be4eb3d5a.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.188,0.812],"probability":0.188,"spread":0.314,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T19:58:33Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":467.039915,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.021999999999999992,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.091597557067871,"liquidity":99.38027,"categories":["Finance","Science and Technology","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-26T03:32:12.990190Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-26T03:32:12.990190Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T20:15:54.576699Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/merck-moderna-mergeracquisition-announced-in-2026/merck-moderna-mergeracquisition-announced-in-2026","event_title":"Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.166,0.145,0.1655,0.171,0.151,0.156,0.175,0.1495,0.1795,0.1785,0.183,0.1355,0.1825,0.162,0.188,0.194,0.169,0.2055,0.122,0.178,0.1665,0.14,0.1655,0.1795,0.1815,0.1815,0.133,0.137,0.1775,0.1565,0.15,0.1605,0.199,0.194]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/877282","as_of":"2026-09-26T03:40:56.408390Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?\" — top market at 19% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}