{"source":"polymarket","id":"877802","ticker":"will-the-climate-clocks-1pt5c-deadline-change-byptptpt","slug":"will-the-climate-clocks-1pt5c-deadline-change-byptptpt","title":"Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?","description":"Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.\n\nA market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.\n\nThe Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.\n\nBecause a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-climate-clock-1-5c-deadline-change-before-1787176334621-wt-rdQVN-31s.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-climate-clock-1-5c-deadline-change-before-1787176334621-wt-rdQVN-31s.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T22:40:18Z","end_date":"2029-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3453.590219,"volume_24hr":3453.5902189999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.982833862304688,"normalized_volume":15.114725112915039,"liquidity":1717.0706,"open_interest":1726.032652,"categories":["Science and Technology","Climate and Weather"],"tags":[{"id":"74","slug":"science","label":"Science"},{"id":"84","slug":"weather","label":"Weather"},{"id":"87","slug":"climate","label":"climate"},{"id":"102890","slug":"climate-change","label":"Climate Change"},{"id":"103037","slug":"climate-science","label":"Climate & Science"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.24,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.26,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3453.5902189999997,"updated_at":"2026-08-20T15:13:37.531461Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T15:13:37.531461Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T22:54:54.557938Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-climate-clocks-1pt5c-deadline-change-byptptpt","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,40.0,40.0,100.1,100.1,100.1,100.1,695.09,800.09,1665.9117630000003,2023.3573170000002,2043.3573170000002,2043.3573170000002,2043.3573170000002,3275.830219,3453.5902189999997,3453.5902189999997],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3731872","event_id":"877802","slug":"will-the-climate-clock-1-5c-deadline-change-before-december-31-2026-1787176334621","question":"Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2026","description":"Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.\n\nA market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.\n\nThe Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.\n\nBecause a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.24,0.76],"probability":0.24,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T22:40:18Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3453.590219,"volume_24hr":3453.5902189999997,"prob_24h_change":-0.26,"volume_24h_change":3453.5902189999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.93529510498047,"normalized_volume":19.475677490234375,"liquidity":1746.2005,"categories":["Science and Technology","Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-20T14:46:04.818054Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T14:38:53.221441Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T22:54:54.606952Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-climate-clocks-1pt5c-deadline-change-byptptpt/will-the-climate-clock-1-5c-deadline-change-before-december-31-2026-1787176334621","event_title":"Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.375,0.375,0.375,0.625,0.615,0.605,0.385,0.385,0.385,0.385,0.225,0.24]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/877802","as_of":"2026-08-20T15:44:11.948109Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?\" — top market at 24% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}