{"source":"polymarket","id":"878194","ticker":"another-iranian-diplomat-expelled-byptptpt","slug":"another-iranian-diplomat-expelled-byptptpt","title":"Another Iranian diplomat expelled by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.\n\nAn announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/another-iranian-diplomate-expelled-by-april-30-6kceBtHh8LF2.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/another-iranian-diplomate-expelled-by-april-30-6kceBtHh8LF2.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T00:32:24Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":19479.008706999997,"volume_24hr":18675.842042,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":36.6588020324707,"normalized_volume":22.21111488342285,"liquidity":847.43854,"open_interest":470.51870599999995,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"102305","slug":"us-iran","label":"US-Iran"},{"id":"416","slug":"diplomacy","label":"diplomacy"},{"id":"104481","slug":"ambassador","label":"Ambassador"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"October 31","top_outcome_probability":0.41,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.16999999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":235.743717,"updated_at":"2026-08-22T09:48:27.158223Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-22T09:48:27.158223Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T00:41:27.261340Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/another-iranian-diplomat-expelled-byptptpt","chart_24h":[361.636665,192.146665,212.046665,212.046665,152.666665,136.0,119.9,119.9,79.78999999999999,79.78999999999999,79.78999999999999,79.78999999999999,79.78999999999999,79.78999999999999,79.78999999999999,79.78999999999999,161.04581199999998,161.04581199999998,161.04581199999998,161.04581199999998,9367.235811999999,18537.394136999996,18542.594137,18574.222042,18695.842042,18675.842042],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3733136","event_id":"878194","slug":"another-iranian-diplomat-expelled-by-october-31-2026","question":"Another Iranian diplomat expelled by October 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 31","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.\n\nAn announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/another-iranian-diplomate-expelled-by-april-30-6kceBtHh8LF2.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/another-iranian-diplomate-expelled-by-april-30-6kceBtHh8LF2.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.59],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.22,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T00:32:30Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":275.743717,"volume_24hr":255.743717,"prob_24h_change":-0.16999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":235.743717,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.608222007751465,"normalized_volume":9.27680778503418,"liquidity":374.6732,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-08-22T09:50:26.405200Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-22T09:48:28.422103Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T00:41:27.289691Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/another-iranian-diplomat-expelled-byptptpt/another-iranian-diplomat-expelled-by-october-31-2026","event_title":"Another Iranian diplomat expelled by...?","chart_24h":[0.58,0.57,0.57,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.57,0.435,0.435,0.435,0.435,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.6,0.635,0.61,0.59,0.43,0.41]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3733134","event_id":"878194","slug":"another-iranian-diplomat-expelled-by-august-31-2026","question":"Another Iranian diplomat expelled by August 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 31","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.\n\nAn announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/another-iranian-diplomate-expelled-by-april-30-6kceBtHh8LF2.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/another-iranian-diplomate-expelled-by-april-30-6kceBtHh8LF2.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0485,0.9515],"probability":0.0485,"spread":0.055,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T00:32:30Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":19163.264990000003,"volume_24hr":18420.098325,"prob_24h_change":0.0010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":18118.46166,"normalized_vol_24hr":39.509578704833984,"normalized_volume":28.528091430664062,"liquidity":291.14904,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-08-22T09:52:48.893168Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-22T09:48:28.422103Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T00:41:27.289691Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/another-iranian-diplomat-expelled-byptptpt/another-iranian-diplomat-expelled-by-august-31-2026","event_title":"Another Iranian diplomat expelled by...?","chart_24h":[0.0475,0.044,0.0445,0.048,0.048,0.048,0.037,0.049,0.049,0.049,0.0485,0.049,0.0475,0.0475,0.047,0.0495,0.049,0.0375,0.046,0.035,0.0255,0.0485]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3733135","event_id":"878194","slug":"another-iranian-diplomat-expelled-by-september-30-2026","question":"Another Iranian diplomat expelled by September 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 30","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.\n\nAn announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/another-iranian-diplomate-expelled-by-april-30-6kceBtHh8LF2.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/another-iranian-diplomate-expelled-by-april-30-6kceBtHh8LF2.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.385,0.615],"probability":0.385,"spread":0.47,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T00:32:24Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.02999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":-40.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.046056270599365,"liquidity":167.8373,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-08-22T09:50:26.405200Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-22T09:48:28.422103Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T00:41:27.289691Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/another-iranian-diplomat-expelled-byptptpt/another-iranian-diplomat-expelled-by-september-30-2026","event_title":"Another Iranian diplomat expelled by...?","chart_24h":[0.415,0.415,0.355,0.345,0.355,0.355,0.3,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.315,0.32,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.39,0.395,0.385]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/878194","as_of":"2026-08-22T10:04:15.091945Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Another Iranian diplomat expelled by...?\" — top market at 5% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}