{"source":"polymarket","id":"878238","ticker":"github-com-critical-incident-byptptpt","slug":"github-com-critical-incident-byptptpt","title":"GitHub.com critical incident by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if GitHub.com experiences an incident with an impact classified as “critical” between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nAn incident will qualify if the official GitHub Status Page (githubstatus.com) or the official GitHub Status API (githubstatus.com/api) classifies the incident's impact as \"critical,\" unless its affected components, once the incident is marked \"Resolved,\" consist solely of Copilot and/or Copilot AI Model Providers. Incidents listing no affected components will qualify. GitHub classifies incident impact as None, Minor, Major, or Critical; only Critical will qualify. Component status labels (e.g. \"Degraded Performance,\" \"Partial Outage,\" or \"Major Outage\") will have no bearing on this market absent a qualifying critical incident.\n\nRevisions published after an incident is marked “Resolved” will not be considered. \n\nIf an incident that began before 11:59 PM ET on the listed date remains unresolved at that time, this market will remain open and resolve at the earlier of: (i) when the incident is officially resolved, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) after the listed date, at which point the market will resolve based on the official information available at that time.\n\nIncidents whose affected components, once the incident is marked \"Resolved,\" consist solely of Copilot and/or Copilot AI Model Providers will not qualify. Scheduled maintenance will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official GitHub system-status information published at https://www.githubstatus.com/, including the official GitHub Status API (https://www.githubstatus.com/api); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/github-git-operations-critical-incident-byptptpt-Ky3CerdXWOH2.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/github-git-operations-critical-incident-byptptpt-Ky3CerdXWOH2.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T00:42:59Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1620.948652,"volume_24hr":1620.948652,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.384231567382812,"normalized_volume":12.439626693725586,"liquidity":461.3551,"open_interest":657.85173,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"104426","slug":"coding","label":"Coding"},{"id":"106122","slug":"github","label":"GitHub"},{"id":"1563","slug":"outage","label":"outage"},{"id":"1098","slug":"microsoft","label":"microsoft"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"September 30","top_outcome_probability":0.67,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.13,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":345.79999999999995,"updated_at":"2026-08-20T15:13:43.519560Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T15:13:43.519560Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T03:08:31.735700Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/github-com-critical-incident-byptptpt","chart_24h":[185.799221,423.729221,423.729221,468.729221,520.498449,600.498449,620.498449,741.946885,741.946885,906.369958,1322.278652,1393.938652,1620.948652,1620.948652],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3733250","event_id":"878238","slug":"github-com-critical-incident-by-september-30-2026","question":"GitHub.com critical incident by September 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 30","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if GitHub.com experiences an incident with an impact classified as “critical” between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nAn incident will qualify if the official GitHub Status Page (githubstatus.com) or the official GitHub Status API (githubstatus.com/api) classifies the incident's impact as \"critical,\" unless its affected components, once the incident is marked \"Resolved,\" consist solely of Copilot and/or Copilot AI Model Providers. Incidents listing no affected components will qualify. GitHub classifies incident impact as None, Minor, Major, or Critical; only Critical will qualify. Component status labels (e.g. \"Degraded Performance,\" \"Partial Outage,\" or \"Major Outage\") will have no bearing on this market absent a qualifying critical incident.\n\nRevisions published after an incident is marked “Resolved” will not be considered. \n\nIf an incident that began before 11:59 PM ET on the listed date remains unresolved at that time, this market will remain open and resolve at the earlier of: (i) when the incident is officially resolved, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) after the listed date, at which point the market will resolve based on the official information available at that time.\n\nIncidents whose affected components, once the incident is marked \"Resolved,\" consist solely of Copilot and/or Copilot AI Model Providers will not qualify. Scheduled maintenance will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official GitHub system-status information published at https://www.githubstatus.com/, including the official GitHub Status API (https://www.githubstatus.com/api); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/github-git-operations-critical-incident-byptptpt-Ky3CerdXWOH2.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/github-git-operations-critical-incident-byptptpt-Ky3CerdXWOH2.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.67,0.33],"probability":0.67,"spread":0.46,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T00:42:59Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":531.599221,"volume_24hr":531.599221,"prob_24h_change":0.13,"volume_24h_change":345.79999999999995,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.178855895996094,"normalized_volume":11.562689781188965,"liquidity":326.6394,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-20T15:14:52.494906Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T15:13:43.637324Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T03:08:31.818396Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/github-com-critical-incident-byptptpt/github-com-critical-incident-by-september-30-2026","event_title":"GitHub.com critical incident by...?","chart_24h":[0.54,0.26,0.27,0.275,0.27,0.275,0.285,0.4,0.45,0.685,0.67]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3733249","event_id":"878238","slug":"github-com-critical-incident-by-september-15-2026","question":"GitHub.com critical incident by September 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 15","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if GitHub.com experiences an incident with an impact classified as “critical” between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nAn incident will qualify if the official GitHub Status Page (githubstatus.com) or the official GitHub Status API (githubstatus.com/api) classifies the incident's impact as \"critical,\" unless its affected components, once the incident is marked \"Resolved,\" consist solely of Copilot and/or Copilot AI Model Providers. Incidents listing no affected components will qualify. GitHub classifies incident impact as None, Minor, Major, or Critical; only Critical will qualify. Component status labels (e.g. \"Degraded Performance,\" \"Partial Outage,\" or \"Major Outage\") will have no bearing on this market absent a qualifying critical incident.\n\nRevisions published after an incident is marked “Resolved” will not be considered. \n\nIf an incident that began before 11:59 PM ET on the listed date remains unresolved at that time, this market will remain open and resolve at the earlier of: (i) when the incident is officially resolved, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) after the listed date, at which point the market will resolve based on the official information available at that time.\n\nIncidents whose affected components, once the incident is marked \"Resolved,\" consist solely of Copilot and/or Copilot AI Model Providers will not qualify. Scheduled maintenance will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official GitHub system-status information published at https://www.githubstatus.com/, including the official GitHub Status API (https://www.githubstatus.com/api); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/github-git-operations-critical-incident-byptptpt-Ky3CerdXWOH2.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/github-git-operations-critical-incident-byptptpt-Ky3CerdXWOH2.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.595,0.405],"probability":0.595,"spread":0.61,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T00:42:59Z","end_date":"2026-09-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":420.26682800000003,"volume_24hr":420.266828,"prob_24h_change":0.485,"volume_24h_change":420.266828,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.919412612915039,"normalized_volume":10.714987754821777,"liquidity":179.0198,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-20T15:14:52.494906Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T15:13:43.637324Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T03:08:31.818396Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/github-com-critical-incident-byptptpt/github-com-critical-incident-by-september-15-2026","event_title":"GitHub.com critical incident by...?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.19,0.195,0.205,0.205,0.215,0.33,0.175,0.39,0.605,0.595]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3733248","event_id":"878238","slug":"github-com-critical-incident-by-august-31-2026","question":"GitHub.com critical incident by August 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 31","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if GitHub.com experiences an incident with an impact classified as “critical” between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nAn incident will qualify if the official GitHub Status Page (githubstatus.com) or the official GitHub Status API (githubstatus.com/api) classifies the incident's impact as \"critical,\" unless its affected components, once the incident is marked \"Resolved,\" consist solely of Copilot and/or Copilot AI Model Providers. Incidents listing no affected components will qualify. GitHub classifies incident impact as None, Minor, Major, or Critical; only Critical will qualify. Component status labels (e.g. \"Degraded Performance,\" \"Partial Outage,\" or \"Major Outage\") will have no bearing on this market absent a qualifying critical incident.\n\nRevisions published after an incident is marked “Resolved” will not be considered. \n\nIf an incident that began before 11:59 PM ET on the listed date remains unresolved at that time, this market will remain open and resolve at the earlier of: (i) when the incident is officially resolved, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) after the listed date, at which point the market will resolve based on the official information available at that time.\n\nIncidents whose affected components, once the incident is marked \"Resolved,\" consist solely of Copilot and/or Copilot AI Model Providers will not qualify. Scheduled maintenance will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official GitHub system-status information published at https://www.githubstatus.com/, including the official GitHub Status API (https://www.githubstatus.com/api); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/github-git-operations-critical-incident-byptptpt-Ky3CerdXWOH2.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/github-git-operations-critical-incident-byptptpt-Ky3CerdXWOH2.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.55,0.45],"probability":0.55,"spread":0.58,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T00:42:59Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":669.082603,"volume_24hr":669.082603,"prob_24h_change":0.48500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":669.082603,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.45859718322754,"normalized_volume":12.424054145812988,"liquidity":66.9302,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-20T15:14:52.494906Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T15:13:43.637324Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T03:08:31.818396Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/github-com-critical-incident-byptptpt/github-com-critical-incident-by-august-31-2026","event_title":"GitHub.com critical incident by...?","chart_24h":[0.065,0.09,0.115,0.11,0.535,0.44,0.545,0.305,0.135,0.145,0.5,0.55]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/878238","as_of":"2026-08-20T15:54:09.296324Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"GitHub.com critical incident by...?\" — top market at 55% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}