{"source":"polymarket","id":"879909","ticker":"victoria-parliamentary-election-3rd-place","slug":"victoria-parliamentary-election-3rd-place","title":"Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place","description":"The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nLiberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.\n\nParties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vic-vic-badge-29accd8557.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vic-vic-badge-29accd8557.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T09:36:47Z","end_date":"2026-11-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3.75,"volume_24hr":3.75,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.9231418371200562,"normalized_volume":0.5527843832969666,"liquidity":21361.68446,"open_interest":3.75,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"520","slug":"australia","label":"Australia"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"105438","slug":"international-election-props","label":"International Election Props"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"One Nation","top_outcome_probability":0.795,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.05500000000000005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-21T07:40:40.767465Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T07:40:40.767465Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:56.144943Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/victoria-parliamentary-election-3rd-place","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,3.75,3.75,3.75,3.75,3.75,3.75,3.75,3.75,3.75,3.75,3.75,3.75,3.75,3.75,3.75,3.75],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3740664","event_id":"879909","slug":"will-labor-win-the-third-most-seats-in-the-next-victorian-state-election","question":"Will Labor win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?","group_item_title":"Labor","description":"The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nLiberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.\n\nParties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vicparty-labor-dfdb0d39ea.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vicparty-labor-dfdb0d39ea.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T09:36:47Z","end_date":"2026-11-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3.75,"volume_24hr":3.75,"prob_24h_change":-0.09,"volume_24h_change":3.75,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.9568294286727905,"normalized_volume":0.7123012542724609,"liquidity":8781.345,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Australia"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T07:42:14.687534Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T07:40:41.063316Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:56.340798Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/victoria-parliamentary-election-3rd-place/will-labor-win-the-third-most-seats-in-the-next-victorian-state-election","event_title":"Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place","chart_24h":[0.22,0.23,0.225,0.225,0.23,0.225,0.205,0.21,0.13,0.135,0.155,0.145,0.15,0.165,0.17,0.15,0.125,0.115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3740667","event_id":"879909","slug":"will-one-nation-win-the-third-most-seats-in-the-next-victorian-state-election","question":"Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?","group_item_title":"One Nation","description":"The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nLiberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.\n\nParties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vicparty-onenation-7bef6fc829.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vicparty-onenation-7bef6fc829.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.795,0.205],"probability":0.795,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T09:36:47Z","end_date":"2026-11-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.05500000000000005,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":8445.5632,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Australia"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T06:12:58.849457Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T06:11:53.814830Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:56.340798Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/victoria-parliamentary-election-3rd-place/will-one-nation-win-the-third-most-seats-in-the-next-victorian-state-election","event_title":"Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place","chart_24h":[0.74,0.72,0.73,0.745,0.795,0.8,0.795,0.795,0.795,0.79,0.795]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3740682","event_id":"879909","slug":"will-another-party-win-the-third-most-seats-in-the-next-victorian-state-election","question":"Will another party win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nLiberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.\n\nParties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vic-vic-badge-29accd8557.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vic-vic-badge-29accd8557.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-11-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Australia"],"updated_at":"2026-08-20T11:59:13.987568Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:56.340798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:56.340798Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/victoria-parliamentary-election-3rd-place/will-another-party-win-the-third-most-seats-in-the-next-victorian-state-election","event_title":"Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3740665","event_id":"879909","slug":"will-liberal-national-win-the-third-most-seats-in-the-next-victorian-state-election","question":"Will Liberal–National win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?","group_item_title":"Liberal–National","description":"The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nLiberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.\n\nParties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vicparty-lnc-d9056a8d4e.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vicparty-lnc-d9056a8d4e.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0395,0.9605],"probability":0.0395,"spread":0.061,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T09:36:47Z","end_date":"2026-11-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0040000000000000036,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":501.07564,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Australia"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T07:42:14.687534Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T07:40:41.063316Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:56.340798Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/victoria-parliamentary-election-3rd-place/will-liberal-national-win-the-third-most-seats-in-the-next-victorian-state-election","event_title":"Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place","chart_24h":[0.0355,0.038,0.037,0.037,0.036,0.037,0.037,0.037,0.0395,0.0385,0.037,0.037,0.0375,0.0395,0.039]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3740666","event_id":"879909","slug":"will-greens-win-the-third-most-seats-in-the-next-victorian-state-election","question":"Will Greens win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?","group_item_title":"Greens","description":"The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nLiberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.\n\nParties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vicparty-greens-480ea0685d.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vicparty-greens-480ea0685d.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0395,0.9605],"probability":0.0395,"spread":0.061,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T09:36:47Z","end_date":"2026-11-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0040000000000000036,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":446.68016,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Australia"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T07:42:14.687534Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T07:40:41.063316Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:56.340798Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/victoria-parliamentary-election-3rd-place/will-greens-win-the-third-most-seats-in-the-next-victorian-state-election","event_title":"Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place","chart_24h":[0.0355,0.0375,0.037,0.037,0.0375,0.036,0.0375,0.037,0.0375,0.038,0.037,0.0375,0.0385,0.0375,0.037]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3740669","event_id":"879909","slug":"will-animal-justice-win-the-third-most-seats-in-the-next-victorian-state-election","question":"Will Animal Justice win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?","group_item_title":"Animal Justice","description":"The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nLiberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.\n\nParties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vicparty-animal-518ab9c8eb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vicparty-animal-518ab9c8eb.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0395,0.9605],"probability":0.0395,"spread":0.061,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T09:36:47Z","end_date":"2026-11-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0040000000000000036,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":457.16001,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Australia"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T07:42:14.687534Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T07:40:41.063316Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:56.340798Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/victoria-parliamentary-election-3rd-place/will-animal-justice-win-the-third-most-seats-in-the-next-victorian-state-election","event_title":"Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place","chart_24h":[0.0355,0.038,0.037,0.037,0.0355,0.031,0.038,0.037,0.0365,0.039,0.04,0.0405,0.041,0.0395,0.0375]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3740668","event_id":"879909","slug":"will-legalise-cannabis-win-the-third-most-seats-in-the-next-victorian-state-election","question":"Will Legalise Cannabis win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?","group_item_title":"Legalise Cannabis","description":"The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nLiberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.\n\nParties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vicparty-cannabis-5776c59d33.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vicparty-cannabis-5776c59d33.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0375,0.9625],"probability":0.0375,"spread":0.065,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T09:36:47Z","end_date":"2026-11-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":397.66721,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Australia"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T07:42:14.687534Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T07:40:41.063316Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:56.340798Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/victoria-parliamentary-election-3rd-place/will-legalise-cannabis-win-the-third-most-seats-in-the-next-victorian-state-election","event_title":"Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place","chart_24h":[0.0355,0.038,0.037,0.037,0.0375,0.031,0.038,0.037,0.037,0.038,0.038,0.0385,0.037,0.0375,0.0385,0.0375,0.038,0.037]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3740670","event_id":"879909","slug":"will-libertarian-win-the-third-most-seats-in-the-next-victorian-state-election","question":"Will Libertarian win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?","group_item_title":"Libertarian","description":"The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nLiberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.\n\nParties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vicparty-libertarian-4b16749799.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vicparty-libertarian-4b16749799.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0375,0.9625],"probability":0.0375,"spread":0.065,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T09:36:47Z","end_date":"2026-11-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":498.51502,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Australia"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T07:42:14.687534Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T07:40:41.063316Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:56.340798Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/victoria-parliamentary-election-3rd-place/will-libertarian-win-the-third-most-seats-in-the-next-victorian-state-election","event_title":"Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place","chart_24h":[0.0355,0.038,0.037,0.037,0.036,0.036,0.039,0.0395,0.037,0.037,0.037,0.0375,0.0385,0.0375,0.037]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3740671","event_id":"879909","slug":"will-shooters-fishers-farmers-win-the-third-most-seats-in-the-next-victorian-state-election","question":"Will Shooters, Fishers, Farmers win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?","group_item_title":"Shooters, Fishers, Farmers","description":"The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nLiberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.\n\nParties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vicparty-shooters-8fa5f8dd9c.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vicparty-shooters-8fa5f8dd9c.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0375,0.9625],"probability":0.0375,"spread":0.065,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T09:36:47Z","end_date":"2026-11-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":555.11933,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Australia"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T07:42:14.687534Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T07:40:41.063316Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:56.340798Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/victoria-parliamentary-election-3rd-place/will-shooters-fishers-farmers-win-the-third-most-seats-in-the-next-victorian-state-election","event_title":"Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place","chart_24h":[0.0355,0.038,0.037,0.037,0.0375,0.0305,0.038,0.0365,0.037,0.0375,0.037,0.0375,0.0375,0.0385,0.038,0.037]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/879909","as_of":"2026-08-21T07:46:52.572015Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place\" — top market at 13% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}