{"source":"polymarket","id":"879965","ticker":"hamilton-eaststoney-creek-provincial-by-election-winner-1785955561114","slug":"hamilton-eaststoney-creek-provincial-by-election-winner-1785955561114","title":"Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner","description":"A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Hamilton East—Stoney Creek is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. 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In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/onby-heather-curnew-31e51bdb43.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/onby-heather-curnew-31e51bdb43.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T09:46:59Z","end_date":"2026-09-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":77.0,"volume_24hr":77.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.375,"volume_24h_change":77.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.480593681335449,"normalized_volume":5.568846702575684,"liquidity":8340.4124,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T03:42:58.146315Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T03:41:45.009740Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:59.121286Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/hamilton-eaststoney-creek-provincial-by-election-winner-1785955561114/will-heather-curnew-win-the-2026-hamilton-eaststoney-creek-provincial-by-election","event_title":"Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.435,0.42,0.44,0.435,0.44,0.395,0.415,0.42,0.435,0.425,0.41,0.06]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3741413","event_id":"879965","slug":"will-pascale-marchand-win-the-2026-hamilton-eaststoney-creek-provincial-by-election","question":"Will Pascale Marchand win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?","group_item_title":"Pascale Marchand","description":"A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Hamilton East—Stoney Creek is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/onby-pascale-marchand-f944182edb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/onby-pascale-marchand-f944182edb.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0515,0.9485],"probability":0.0515,"spread":0.095,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T09:46:59Z","end_date":"2026-09-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":94.58,"volume_24hr":94.58,"prob_24h_change":-0.3835,"volume_24h_change":94.58,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.194864273071289,"normalized_volume":6.100577354431152,"liquidity":108.27352,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T03:42:58.146315Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T02:54:01.400060Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:59.121286Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/hamilton-eaststoney-creek-provincial-by-election-winner-1785955561114/will-pascale-marchand-win-the-2026-hamilton-eaststoney-creek-provincial-by-election","event_title":"Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.435,0.405,0.0365,0.438,0.4375,0.4355,0.414,0.4265,0.0515,0.0535,0.0525,0.0515]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3741415","event_id":"879965","slug":"will-wieslawa-derlatka-win-the-2026-hamilton-eaststoney-creek-provincial-by-election","question":"Will Wieslawa Derlatka win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?","group_item_title":"Wieslawa Derlatka","description":"A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Hamilton East—Stoney Creek is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. 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In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-09-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-08-20T11:59:13.987568Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:59.121286Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:59.121286Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/hamilton-eaststoney-creek-provincial-by-election-winner-1785955561114/will-someone-else-win-the-2026-hamilton-eaststoney-creek-provincial-by-election-1785955561113","event_title":"Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/879965","as_of":"2026-08-21T06:46:32.874750Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner\" — top market at 68% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}