{"source":"polymarket","id":"879966","ticker":"scarborough-southwest-provincial-by-election-winner-1785955561142","slug":"scarborough-southwest-provincial-by-election-winner-1785955561142","title":"Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner","description":"A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. 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In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/onby-ahsanul-hafiz-09837be1d5.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/onby-ahsanul-hafiz-09837be1d5.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.495,0.505],"probability":0.495,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T09:47:25Z","end_date":"2026-09-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1760.253683,"volume_24hr":1760.253683,"prob_24h_change":0.14500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":1760.253683,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.545351028442383,"normalized_volume":16.388113021850586,"liquidity":1341.0553,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T03:47:37.455816Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T03:41:45.009740Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:59.121286Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/scarborough-southwest-provincial-by-election-winner-1785955561142/will-ahsanul-hafiz-win-the-2026-scarborough-southwest-provincial-by-election","event_title":"Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.35,0.6,0.285,0.51,0.43,0.25,0.46,0.43,0.08,0.065,0.195,0.375,0.495]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3741437","event_id":"879966","slug":"will-fatima-shaban-win-the-2026-scarborough-southwest-provincial-by-election","question":"Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?","group_item_title":"Fatima Shaban","description":"A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. 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In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/onby-chris-rees-3ecd74c318.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/onby-chris-rees-3ecd74c318.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.002,0.998],"probability":0.002,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T09:47:25Z","end_date":"2026-09-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":452.895,"volume_24hr":452.895,"prob_24h_change":-0.428,"volume_24h_change":452.895,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.106927871704102,"normalized_volume":10.981157302856445,"liquidity":10043.0471,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T03:47:37.455816Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T03:41:45.009740Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:59.121286Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/scarborough-southwest-provincial-by-election-winner-1785955561142/will-chris-rees-win-the-2026-scarborough-southwest-provincial-by-election","event_title":"Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.43,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.225,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.045,0.002]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3741438","event_id":"879966","slug":"will-noor-tarun-win-the-2026-scarborough-southwest-provincial-by-election","question":"Will Noor Tarun win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?","group_item_title":"Noor Tarun","description":"A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/onby-noor-tarun-b276bb5a66.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/onby-noor-tarun-b276bb5a66.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0015,0.9985],"probability":0.0015,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T09:47:25Z","end_date":"2026-09-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":241.6,"volume_24hr":241.6,"prob_24h_change":-0.23349999999999999,"volume_24h_change":241.6,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.171514511108398,"normalized_volume":8.847418785095215,"liquidity":9552.94954,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T03:47:37.455816Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T03:41:45.009740Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:59.121286Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/scarborough-southwest-provincial-by-election-winner-1785955561142/will-noor-tarun-win-the-2026-scarborough-southwest-provincial-by-election","event_title":"Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.235,0.165,0.16,0.24,0.135,0.15,0.12,0.23,0.006,0.01,0.007,0.0015]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3741440","event_id":"879966","slug":"will-mark-bekkering-win-the-2026-scarborough-southwest-provincial-by-election","question":"Will Mark Bekkering win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?","group_item_title":"Mark Bekkering","description":"A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/onby-mark-bekkering-2f5b469b01.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/onby-mark-bekkering-2f5b469b01.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0015,0.9985],"probability":0.0015,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T09:47:25Z","end_date":"2026-09-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":464.81621999999993,"volume_24hr":464.81622,"prob_24h_change":-0.0485,"volume_24h_change":464.81622,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.235234260559082,"normalized_volume":11.074422836303711,"liquidity":9740.15524,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T03:47:37.455816Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T03:41:45.009740Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:59.121286Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/scarborough-southwest-provincial-by-election-winner-1785955561142/will-mark-bekkering-win-the-2026-scarborough-southwest-provincial-by-election","event_title":"Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.05,0.45,0.435,0.38,0.295,0.395,0.275,0.065,0.135,0.135,0.135,0.0015]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3741463","event_id":"879966","slug":"will-someone-else-win-the-2026-scarborough-southwest-provincial-by-election-1785955561141","question":"Will someone else win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-09-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-08-20T11:59:13.987568Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:59.121286Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:59.121286Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/scarborough-southwest-provincial-by-election-winner-1785955561142/will-someone-else-win-the-2026-scarborough-southwest-provincial-by-election-1785955561141","event_title":"Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/879966","as_of":"2026-08-21T04:03:14.568589Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner\" — top market at 49% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}