{"source":"polymarket","id":"879967","ticker":"yorksimcoe-provincial-by-election-winner-1785955561170","slug":"yorksimcoe-provincial-by-election-winner-1785955561170","title":"York—Simcoe Provincial By-Election Winner","description":"A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of York—Simcoe is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. 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In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/onby-susan-lahey-ab9abaf96c.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/onby-susan-lahey-ab9abaf96c.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9505,0.0495],"probability":0.9505,"spread":0.055,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T09:47:37Z","end_date":"2026-09-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1766.017644,"volume_24hr":1787.017644,"prob_24h_change":0.6355,"volume_24h_change":1766.017644,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.446422576904297,"normalized_volume":16.40244483947754,"liquidity":1980.15761,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-08-20T15:20:50.681032Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T15:14:21.426247Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:59.121286Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/yorksimcoe-provincial-by-election-winner-1785955561170/will-susan-lahey-win-the-2026-yorksimcoe-provincial-by-election","event_title":"York—Simcoe Provincial By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.315,0.32,0.9,0.955,0.9505]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3741465","event_id":"879967","slug":"will-naomi-davison-win-the-2026-yorksimcoe-provincial-by-election","question":"Will Naomi Davison win the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election?","group_item_title":"Naomi Davison","description":"A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of York—Simcoe is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. 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In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/onby-matt-pearce-e9602891f3.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/onby-matt-pearce-e9602891f3.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.006,0.994],"probability":0.006,"spread":0.008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T09:47:37Z","end_date":"2026-09-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":168.81,"volume_24hr":168.81,"prob_24h_change":-0.429,"volume_24h_change":168.81,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.492389678955078,"normalized_volume":7.7352614402771,"liquidity":3673.79919,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-08-20T14:46:04.818054Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:40.054365Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:59.121286Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/yorksimcoe-provincial-by-election-winner-1785955561170/will-matt-pearce-win-the-2026-yorksimcoe-provincial-by-election","event_title":"York—Simcoe Provincial By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.435,0.425,0.0205,0.006]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3741468","event_id":"879967","slug":"will-david-ghobrial-win-the-2026-yorksimcoe-provincial-by-election","question":"Will David Ghobrial win the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election?","group_item_title":"David Ghobrial","description":"A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of York—Simcoe is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/onby-david-ghobrial-fe1b617ef1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/onby-david-ghobrial-fe1b617ef1.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.007,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T09:47:37Z","end_date":"2026-09-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":281.00941600000004,"volume_24hr":281.009416,"prob_24h_change":-0.4295,"volume_24h_change":281.009416,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.87524127960205,"normalized_volume":9.339103698730469,"liquidity":11712.86767,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-08-20T15:14:21.426247Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T15:14:21.426247Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:59.121286Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/yorksimcoe-provincial-by-election-winner-1785955561170/will-david-ghobrial-win-the-2026-yorksimcoe-provincial-by-election","event_title":"York—Simcoe Provincial By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.435,0.445,0.0295,0.0055,0.0055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3741466","event_id":"879967","slug":"will-bobby-nikmard-win-the-2026-yorksimcoe-provincial-by-election","question":"Will Bobby Nikmard win the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election?","group_item_title":"Bobby Nikmard","description":"A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of York—Simcoe is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/onby-bobby-nikmard-dceed42a83.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/onby-bobby-nikmard-dceed42a83.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.005,0.995],"probability":0.005,"spread":0.008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T09:47:37Z","end_date":"2026-09-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":353.75952300000006,"volume_24hr":353.759523,"prob_24h_change":-0.315,"volume_24h_change":353.759523,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.027018547058105,"normalized_volume":10.114337921142578,"liquidity":11659.91354,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-08-20T15:14:21.426247Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T15:14:21.426247Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:59.121286Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/yorksimcoe-provincial-by-election-winner-1785955561170/will-bobby-nikmard-win-the-2026-yorksimcoe-provincial-by-election","event_title":"York—Simcoe Provincial By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.32,0.41,0.0195,0.005,0.005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3741469","event_id":"879967","slug":"will-sean-conroy-win-the-2026-yorksimcoe-provincial-by-election","question":"Will Sean Conroy win the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election?","group_item_title":"Sean Conroy","description":"A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of York—Simcoe is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/onby-sean-conroy-a5a279a704.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/onby-sean-conroy-a5a279a704.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.005,0.995],"probability":0.005,"spread":0.008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T09:47:37Z","end_date":"2026-09-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":359.81010000000003,"volume_24hr":359.8101,"prob_24h_change":-0.43,"volume_24h_change":359.8101,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.11370849609375,"normalized_volume":10.172687530517578,"liquidity":12446.10823,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-08-20T14:46:04.818054Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:40.054365Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:59.121286Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/yorksimcoe-provincial-by-election-winner-1785955561170/will-sean-conroy-win-the-2026-yorksimcoe-provincial-by-election","event_title":"York—Simcoe Provincial By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.435,0.425,0.0245,0.005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3741470","event_id":"879967","slug":"will-gerald-auger-win-the-2026-yorksimcoe-provincial-by-election","question":"Will Gerald Auger win the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election?","group_item_title":"Gerald Auger","description":"A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of York—Simcoe is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/onby-gerald-auger-v2-e120c35012.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/onby-gerald-auger-v2-e120c35012.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.005,0.995],"probability":0.005,"spread":0.008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T09:47:37Z","end_date":"2026-09-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":366.82109,"volume_24hr":366.82109,"prob_24h_change":-0.31,"volume_24h_change":366.82109,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.212661743164062,"normalized_volume":10.239290237426758,"liquidity":12341.4695,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-08-20T14:46:04.818054Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:40.054365Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:59.121286Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/yorksimcoe-provincial-by-election-winner-1785955561170/will-gerald-auger-win-the-2026-yorksimcoe-provincial-by-election","event_title":"York—Simcoe Provincial By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.315,0.425,0.015,0.005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3741490","event_id":"879967","slug":"will-someone-else-win-the-2026-yorksimcoe-provincial-by-election-1785955561169","question":"Will someone else win the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of York—Simcoe is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-09-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-08-20T11:59:13.987568Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:59.121286Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T10:05:59.121286Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/yorksimcoe-provincial-by-election-winner-1785955561170/will-someone-else-win-the-2026-yorksimcoe-provincial-by-election-1785955561169","event_title":"York—Simcoe Provincial By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/879967","as_of":"2026-08-20T15:45:53.368721Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"York—Simcoe Provincial By-Election Winner\" — top market at 95% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}