{"source":"polymarket","id":"880570","ticker":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25","title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" for each listed state that has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nStates appear only during the months in which they plausibly reach D4, so this event's roster changes through the year. 40 of the 48 coterminous states are in season for August: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming. A state absent from this event is not making any claim about that state's drought — it simply has no market this week.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:21Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3037.544669,"volume_24hr":1468.856,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.71968650817871,"normalized_volume":14.433974266052246,"liquidity":405.26653,"open_interest":2478.5546670000003,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[{"id":"84","slug":"weather","label":"Weather"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"105721","slug":"drought","label":"Drought"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Arkansas","top_outcome_probability":0.9945,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.24950000000000006,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-32.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:32:26.773039Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:32:26.773039Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.085148Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25","chart_24h":[145.0,105.0,105.0,105.0,105.0,105.0,105.0,105.0,105.0,105.0,105.0,105.0,105.0,105.0,105.0,105.0,105.0,55.0,25.0,946.756,1060.856,1068.856,1073.856,1073.856],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743458","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-ar","question":"Will Arkansas have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Arkansas","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Arkansas has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nArkansas carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Arkansas market and make no claim about Arkansas's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9945,0.0055],"probability":0.9945,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:27Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":52.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":0.24950000000000006,"volume_24h_change":-32.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":4.624801158905029,"liquidity":5.18,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-ar","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.72,0.705,0.735,0.715,0.72,0.715,0.715,0.74,0.705,0.73,0.485,0.71,0.725,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.745,0.745,0.745,0.745]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743468","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-id","question":"Will Idaho have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Idaho","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Idaho has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nIdaho carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Idaho market and make no claim about Idaho's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9945,0.0055],"probability":0.9945,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:25Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":19.089909,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":0.4940000000000001,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":2.6409106254577637,"liquidity":5.17988,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-id","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5005,0.5,0.5,0.4995,0.5,0.5005,0.5005,0.5005,0.5005,0.501,0.5005,0.5,0.4995,0.4995,0.5005,0.5,0.5005,0.5005,0.5005,0.5005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743483","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-ms","question":"Will Mississippi have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Mississippi","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Mississippi has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nMississippi carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Mississippi market and make no claim about Mississippi's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9945,0.0055],"probability":0.9945,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:24Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":60.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":0.49950000000000006,"volume_24h_change":-40.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":4.958113670349121,"liquidity":5.18,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-ms","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.505,0.715,0.74,0.73,0.485,0.74,0.72,0.715,0.72,0.745,0.745,0.735,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.745,0.745,0.745,0.745,0.745]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743493","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-nm","question":"Will New Mexico have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"New Mexico","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if New Mexico has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nNew Mexico carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no New Mexico market and make no claim about New Mexico's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9945,0.0055],"probability":0.9945,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:27Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":160.85769100000002,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":0.49450000000000005,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":7.591427326202393,"liquidity":5.18,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-nm","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.505,0.5,0.505,0.5,0.495,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743503","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-ok","question":"Will Oklahoma have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Oklahoma","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Oklahoma has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nOklahoma carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Oklahoma market and make no claim about Oklahoma's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9945,0.0055],"probability":0.9945,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:25Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":86.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":0.49450000000000005,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":5.851507663726807,"liquidity":5.235,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-ok","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.5,0.505,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.505]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743504","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-or","question":"Will Oregon have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Oregon","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Oregon has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nOregon carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Oregon market and make no claim about Oregon's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9945,0.0055],"probability":0.9945,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:23Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":0.49450000000000005,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":2.2553768157958984,"liquidity":5.135,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-or","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.505,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.505]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743515","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-ut","question":"Will Utah have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Utah","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Utah has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nUtah carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Utah market and make no claim about Utah's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9945,0.0055],"probability":0.9945,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:24Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":130.0,"volume_24hr":90.0,"prob_24h_change":0.49950000000000006,"volume_24h_change":90.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.421685218811035,"normalized_volume":6.973207473754883,"liquidity":20.48,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-ut","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.26,0.275,0.27,0.265,0.275,0.275,0.265,0.275,0.26,0.275,0.295,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.255,0.745,0.745,0.745]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743460","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-co","question":"Will Colorado have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Colorado","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Colorado has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nColorado carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Colorado market and make no claim about Colorado's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9895,0.0105],"probability":0.9895,"spread":0.019,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:23Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":183.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":0.49450000000000005,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":7.978956699371338,"liquidity":5.15,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-co","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.5,0.5,0.495,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743496","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-nc","question":"Will North Carolina have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"North Carolina","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if North Carolina has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nNorth Carolina carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no North Carolina market and make no claim about North Carolina's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.745,0.255],"probability":0.745,"spread":0.49,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:30Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":15.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.1816420555114746,"normalized_volume":3.114412307739258,"liquidity":5.15,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-nc","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.72,0.74,0.725,0.74,0.725,0.74,0.715,0.705,0.725,0.74,0.725,0.74,0.725,0.5,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.745,0.745]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743489","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-ne","question":"Will Nebraska have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Nebraska","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Nebraska has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nNebraska carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Nebraska market and make no claim about Nebraska's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.505,0.495],"probability":0.505,"spread":0.97,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:29Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":359.40000000000003,"volume_24hr":54.1,"prob_24h_change":-0.275,"volume_24h_change":54.1,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.652501106262207,"normalized_volume":10.168758392333984,"liquidity":2.22,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-ne","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.78,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.785,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.795,0.8,0.79,0.785,0.795,0.795,0.795,0.795,0.5,0.505,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743491","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-nv","question":"Will Nevada have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Nevada","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Nevada has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nNevada carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Nevada market and make no claim about Nevada's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.505,0.495],"probability":0.505,"spread":0.99,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:28Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":142.545453,"volume_24hr":75.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":75.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.762530326843262,"normalized_volume":7.237283706665039,"liquidity":0.15,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-nv","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.525,0.26,0.275,0.29,0.285,0.29,0.285,0.275,0.26,0.26,0.275,0.26,0.285,0.275,0.255,0.26,0.26,0.255,0.26,0.255,0.255,0.745,0.745,0.745]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743514","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-tx","question":"Will Texas have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Texas","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Texas has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nTexas carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Texas market and make no claim about Texas's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:30Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":57.910713,"volume_24hr":15.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.1816420555114746,"normalized_volume":4.87440299987793,"liquidity":0.23,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-tx","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.505,0.505,0.5,0.505,0.505,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743456","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-al","question":"Will Alabama have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Alabama","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Alabama has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nAlabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:24Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.2565,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":4.046056270599365,"liquidity":100.18,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-al","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.256,0.2615,0.256,0.2635,0.4965,0.2585,0.2595,0.2755,0.266,0.2575,0.256,0.273,0.2565,0.2625,0.2555,0.2565,0.256,0.2555,0.256,0.255,0.255,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743457","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-az","question":"Will Arizona have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Arizona","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Arizona has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nArizona carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Arizona market and make no claim about Arizona's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:29Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.2495,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":1.6869748830795288,"liquidity":5.15,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-az","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.505,0.26,0.28,0.275,0.28,0.28,0.285,0.275,0.28,0.26,0.275,0.265,0.255,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743459","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-ca","question":"Will California have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"California","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if California has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nCalifornia carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no California market and make no claim about California's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:25Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.2495,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":1.6869748830795288,"liquidity":5.18,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-ca","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.5,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.265,0.285,0.265,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.265,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.255,0.255,0.265,0.245,0.265]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743462","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-de","question":"Will Delaware have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Delaware","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Delaware has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nDelaware carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Delaware market and make no claim about Delaware's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:24Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.2495,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":1.6869748830795288,"liquidity":5.08,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-de","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.501,0.255,0.2555,0.255,0.2555,0.5015,0.2555,0.256,0.255,0.256,0.2555,0.2555,0.256,0.2555,0.2555,0.2555,0.2555,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.235,0.245,0.245]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743463","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-fl","question":"Will Florida have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Florida","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Florida has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nFlorida carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Florida market and make no claim about Florida's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:30Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.4895,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":1.6869748830795288,"liquidity":5.13,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-fl","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.265,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.265,0.285,0.26,0.28,0.255,0.265,0.265,0.275,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.255,0.255,0.265,0.245]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743464","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-ga","question":"Will Georgia have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Georgia","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Georgia has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nGeorgia carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Georgia market and make no claim about Georgia's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:28Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.2505,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":1.6869748830795288,"liquidity":5.08,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-ga","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.2555,0.2565,0.5,0.2555,0.5005,0.2555,0.2585,0.2555,0.2555,0.256,0.256,0.2555,0.501,0.256,0.2555,0.2555,0.2555,0.2555,0.255,0.255,0.265,0.255,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743470","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-il","question":"Will Illinois have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Illinois","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Illinois has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nIllinois carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Illinois market and make no claim about Illinois's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:26Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.25,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":1.6869748830795288,"liquidity":5.08,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-il","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.5005,0.2565,0.5,0.2555,0.258,0.257,0.257,0.2555,0.255,0.256,0.2555,0.2555,0.2555,0.256,0.2555,0.2555,0.2555,0.2555,0.255,0.265,0.265,0.265]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743472","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-in","question":"Will Indiana have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Indiana","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Indiana has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nIndiana carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Indiana market and make no claim about Indiana's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:30Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.2495,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":1.6869748830795288,"liquidity":5.08,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-in","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.5005,0.2555,0.256,0.2555,0.5005,0.257,0.2555,0.257,0.255,0.2555,0.2565,0.256,0.2555,0.2565,0.2555,0.2555,0.2555,0.2555,0.255,0.255,0.235,0.235,0.235]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743474","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-ia","question":"Will Iowa have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Iowa","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iowa has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nIowa carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Iowa market and make no claim about Iowa's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:21Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.4995,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":1.6869748830795288,"liquidity":5.18,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-ia","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.505,0.26,0.285,0.26,0.265,0.28,0.27,0.285,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.285,0.28,0.255,0.26,0.255,0.26,0.255,0.255,0.265,0.245,0.245]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743475","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-ks","question":"Will Kansas have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Kansas","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kansas has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nKansas carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Kansas market and make no claim about Kansas's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:26Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.2645,"volume_24h_change":5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":2.2553768157958984,"liquidity":5.18,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-ks","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.5,0.285,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.265,0.26,0.265,0.27,0.265,0.265,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743476","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-ky","question":"Will Kentucky have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Kentucky","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kentucky has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nKentucky carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Kentucky market and make no claim about Kentucky's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:30Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.252,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":1.6869748830795288,"liquidity":5.08,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-ky","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.5005,0.2555,0.256,0.2575,0.2565,0.2575,0.256,0.257,0.2555,0.256,0.256,0.2565,0.2555,0.255,0.2555,0.2555,0.2555,0.2555,0.255,0.265,0.265,0.265]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743477","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-la","question":"Will Louisiana have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Louisiana","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Louisiana has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nLouisiana carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Louisiana market and make no claim about Louisiana's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:24Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.25,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":1.6869748830795288,"liquidity":5.08,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-la","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.2555,0.256,0.256,0.2565,0.2575,0.257,0.2555,0.257,0.256,0.256,0.258,0.2555,0.256,0.2555,0.2555,0.2555,0.2555,0.255,0.255,0.245,0.265]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743479","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-md","question":"Will Maryland have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Maryland","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Maryland has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nMaryland carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Maryland market and make no claim about Maryland's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:30Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.25,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":1.6869748830795288,"liquidity":5.08,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-md","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.2555,0.2555,0.2555,0.2565,0.5005,0.2555,0.2565,0.257,0.2555,0.256,0.2565,0.2555,0.501,0.256,0.2555,0.2555,0.2555,0.2555,0.255,0.255,0.245,0.235,0.245]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743481","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-mn","question":"Will Minnesota have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Minnesota","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Minnesota has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nMinnesota carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Minnesota market and make no claim about Minnesota's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:30Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":145.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.22949999999999998,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":7.286780834197998,"liquidity":5.18,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-mn","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.255,0.245,0.245,0.255,0.49,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.245,0.25,0.24,0.255,0.24,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743484","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-mo","question":"Will Missouri have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Missouri","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Missouri has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nMissouri carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Missouri market and make no claim about Missouri's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:25Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.251,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":1.6869748830795288,"liquidity":5.08,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-mo","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.2555,0.256,0.5,0.2565,0.2585,0.2555,0.2565,0.258,0.256,0.2555,0.257,0.2565,0.258,0.257,0.2555,0.2555,0.2555,0.2555,0.255,0.255,0.265,0.245,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743487","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-mt","question":"Will Montana have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Montana","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Montana has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nMontana carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Montana market and make no claim about Montana's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:28Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.5045000000000001,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":1.6869748830795288,"liquidity":5.18,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-mt","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.26,0.265,0.285,0.265,0.275,0.265,0.285,0.265,0.255,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.255,0.26,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743492","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-nj","question":"Will New Jersey have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"New Jersey","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if New Jersey has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nNew Jersey carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no New Jersey market and make no claim about New Jersey's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:23Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.27949999999999997,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":1.6869748830795288,"liquidity":5.18,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-nj","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.515,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.275,0.275,0.275,0.26,0.26,0.275,0.28,0.265,0.275,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.255,0.255,0.265,0.245,0.245]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743499","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-nd","question":"Will North Dakota have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"North Dakota","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if North Dakota has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nNorth Dakota carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no North Dakota market and make no claim about North Dakota's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:26Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.4945,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":1.6869748830795288,"liquidity":5.18,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-nd","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.265,0.27,0.275,0.255,0.275,0.275,0.285,0.275,0.26,0.265,0.265,0.26,0.275,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743501","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-oh","question":"Will Ohio have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Ohio","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ohio has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nOhio carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Ohio market and make no claim about Ohio's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:27Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.49499999999999994,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":1.6869748830795288,"liquidity":5.08,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-oh","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.2555,0.2565,0.4995,0.2565,0.258,0.257,0.257,0.255,0.256,0.256,0.2555,0.2555,0.256,0.2555,0.2555,0.2555,0.255,0.255,0.245,0.245,0.235]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743505","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-pa","question":"Will Pennsylvania have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Pennsylvania","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Pennsylvania has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nPennsylvania carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Pennsylvania market and make no claim about Pennsylvania's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:25Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.2515,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":1.6869748830795288,"liquidity":5.08,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-pa","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.2585,0.257,0.256,0.2565,0.2555,0.257,0.256,0.2555,0.258,0.2555,0.499,0.2555,0.2565,0.255,0.2555,0.2555,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.265,0.245]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743508","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-sc","question":"Will South Carolina have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"South Carolina","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if South Carolina has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nSouth Carolina carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no South Carolina market and make no claim about South Carolina's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:26Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":46.0,"volume_24hr":18.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.7245,"volume_24h_change":-10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.588273525238037,"normalized_volume":4.349135875701904,"liquidity":5.08,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-sc","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.73,0.735,0.72,0.71,0.725,0.74,0.715,0.715,0.74,0.735,0.725,0.725,0.73,0.725,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.745,0.745,0.255,0.255,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743510","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-sd","question":"Will South Dakota have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"South Dakota","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if South Dakota has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nSouth Dakota carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no South Dakota market and make no claim about South Dakota's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:28Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.5045000000000001,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3798019886016846,"normalized_volume":1.6869748830795288,"liquidity":5.08,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:13:17.094572Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-sd","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.51,0.27,0.28,0.275,0.27,0.285,0.275,0.265,0.28,0.265,0.285,0.27,0.27,0.275,0.26,0.255,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743512","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-tn","question":"Will Tennessee have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Tennessee","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Tennessee has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nTennessee carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Tennessee market and make no claim about Tennessee's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0045,0.9955],"probability":0.0045,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:23Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":921.756,"volume_24hr":921.756,"prob_24h_change":-0.495,"volume_24h_change":921.756,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.292417526245117,"normalized_volume":13.67585277557373,"liquidity":31.03675,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T16:43:21.639549Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T16:10:50.776569Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-tn","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.2555,0.2555,0.256,0.255,0.257,0.257,0.2555,0.257,0.2555,0.256,0.499,0.2555,0.5,0.2555,0.2555,0.2555,0.2555,0.255,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743517","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-va","question":"Will Virginia have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Virginia","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Virginia has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nVirginia carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Virginia market and make no claim about Virginia's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.335,0.665],"probability":0.335,"spread":0.668,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:28Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":398.984903,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.16999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.53194808959961,"liquidity":13.35,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:11:06.703299Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-va","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.2615,0.451,0.232,0.263,0.26,0.4955,0.2465,0.265,0.251,0.246,0.4895,0.231,0.241,0.4615,0.2445,0.2435,0.248,0.2485,0.2425,0.495,0.248,0.25,0.1825,0.17]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743521","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-wv","question":"Will West Virginia have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"West Virginia","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if West Virginia has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nWest Virginia carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no West Virginia market and make no claim about West Virginia's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.255,0.745],"probability":0.255,"spread":0.49,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:23Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.246,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":15.23,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:11:06.703299Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:05:55.303798Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-wv","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.2555,0.257,0.2565,0.2555,0.256,0.2555,0.499,0.256,0.2565,0.2555,0.256,0.2555,0.258,0.2555,0.2555,0.2555,0.2555,0.255,0.255,0.245,0.245,0.245]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743523","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-wi","question":"Will Wisconsin have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Wisconsin","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Wisconsin has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nWisconsin carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Wisconsin market and make no claim about Wisconsin's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.255,0.745],"probability":0.255,"spread":0.49,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:29Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.245,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":15.2,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T16:43:21.639549Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T13:00:59.050494Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-wi","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.27,0.265,0.27,0.275,0.495,0.52,0.285,0.285,0.29,0.265,0.275,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743524","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-wy","question":"Will Wyoming have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Wyoming","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Wyoming has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nWyoming carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Wyoming market and make no claim about Wyoming's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.255,0.745],"probability":0.255,"spread":0.49,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:23Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.245,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":15.2,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T16:43:21.639549Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T13:00:59.050494Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-wy","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.5,0.505,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.285,0.285,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.265,0.27,0.265,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3743519","event_id":"880570","slug":"state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-wa","question":"Will Washington have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","group_item_title":"Washington","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Washington has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nD4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves \"No\".\n\nWashington carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Washington market and make no claim about Washington's drought.\n\nEach USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.\n\nResolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-virginia-reach-d4-exceptional-drought-by-august-30-2026-20260721192059707-Z7tLN7b37A5q.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.235,0.765],"probability":0.235,"spread":0.45,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T13:00:26Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.235,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":16.4,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T17:32:27.061726Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T17:32:27.061726Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:16:49.178348Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25/state-d4-drought-2026-08-25-wa","event_title":"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026","chart_24h":[0.5,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.285,0.285,0.275,0.29,0.265,0.275,0.27,0.265,0.285,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.255,0.255,0.245,0.255,0.255]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/880570","as_of":"2026-08-27T17:37:06.657463Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026\" — top market at 0% probability across 40 outcomes","source_url":null}}