{"source":"polymarket","id":"881571","ticker":"which-parties-will-be-in-next-berlin-state-government","slug":"which-parties-will-be-in-next-berlin-state-government","title":"Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.\n\nThe state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.\n\nIf no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/berlin-state-election-winner-1CAHVXlT8kYr.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/berlin-state-election-winner-1CAHVXlT8kYr.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T17:43:04Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2894.381108,"volume_24hr":2899.722016,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.16937255859375,"normalized_volume":14.466115951538086,"liquidity":80278.78515,"open_interest":1813.222015,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"103724","slug":"berlin","label":"Berlin"},{"id":"100244","slug":"germany","label":"Germany"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"101206","slug":"world-elections","label":"World Elections"},{"id":"104119","slug":"german-elections","label":"German Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"105438","slug":"international-election-props","label":"International Election Props"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Grüne","top_outcome_probability":0.875,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.375,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":83.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-21T05:41:32.296083Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T05:41:32.296083Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T17:50:47.421375Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-be-in-next-berlin-state-government","chart_24h":[0.0,711.967573,2346.142016,2672.132016,2682.632016,2899.722016,2899.722016,2899.722016,2899.722016],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3747947","event_id":"881571","slug":"will-grune-be-in-the-next-berlin-state-government","question":"Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?","group_item_title":"Grüne","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.\n\nThe state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.\n\nIf no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/de-grune-f13c0c0f15.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/de-grune-f13c0c0f15.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.875,0.125],"probability":0.875,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T17:43:05Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":83.0,"volume_24hr":83.0,"prob_24h_change":0.375,"volume_24h_change":83.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.896656513214111,"normalized_volume":5.759911060333252,"liquidity":8999.1292,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-08-20T22:58:47.050351Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-20T22:58:02.722836Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T17:50:47.490186Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-be-in-next-berlin-state-government/will-grune-be-in-the-next-berlin-state-government","event_title":"Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.515,0.89,0.875]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3747948","event_id":"881571","slug":"will-spd-be-in-the-next-berlin-state-government","question":"Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?","group_item_title":"SPD","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.\n\nThe state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.\n\nIf no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/de-spd-02a351d11c.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/de-spd-02a351d11c.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.845,0.155],"probability":0.845,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T17:43:05Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":104.0,"volume_24hr":104.0,"prob_24h_change":0.345,"volume_24h_change":104.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.712063789367676,"normalized_volume":6.354678153991699,"liquidity":12444.8486,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T00:59:40.276531Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T00:58:33.998016Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T17:50:47.490186Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-be-in-next-berlin-state-government/will-spd-be-in-the-next-berlin-state-government","event_title":"Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.845]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3747950","event_id":"881571","slug":"will-linke-be-in-the-next-berlin-state-government","question":"Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?","group_item_title":"Linke","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.\n\nThe state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.\n\nIf no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/de-linke-f78fbf312c.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/de-linke-f78fbf312c.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.54,0.46],"probability":0.54,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T17:43:06Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":338.88,"volume_24hr":344.22090800000007,"prob_24h_change":0.040000000000000036,"volume_24h_change":344.22090800000007,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.73799991607666,"normalized_volume":9.967255592346191,"liquidity":2322.8361,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T05:42:15.672945Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T05:41:32.691452Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T17:50:47.490186Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-be-in-next-berlin-state-government/will-linke-be-in-the-next-berlin-state-government","event_title":"Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.515,0.71,0.71,0.56,0.54,0.545,0.545,0.54]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3747945","event_id":"881571","slug":"will-cdu-be-in-the-next-berlin-state-government","question":"Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?","group_item_title":"CDU","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.\n\nThe state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.\n\nIf no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/de-cdu-497c152219.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/de-cdu-497c152219.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.58],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.4,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T17:43:05Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":271.0,"volume_24hr":271.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.08000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":271.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.640119552612305,"normalized_volume":9.219846725463867,"liquidity":1204.3365,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T04:51:32.455658Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T04:51:32.455658Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T17:50:47.490186Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-be-in-next-berlin-state-government/will-cdu-be-in-the-next-berlin-state-government","event_title":"Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.79,0.42,0.605,0.605,0.42,0.42,0.42]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3747946","event_id":"881571","slug":"will-afd-be-in-the-next-berlin-state-government","question":"Will AfD be in the next Berlin state government?","group_item_title":"AfD","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.\n\nThe state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.\n\nIf no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/de-afd-8e824114cb.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/de-afd-8e824114cb.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0585,0.9415],"probability":0.0585,"spread":0.041,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T17:43:04Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1098.326665,"volume_24hr":1098.326665,"prob_24h_change":-0.4415,"volume_24h_change":1098.326665,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.723140716552734,"normalized_volume":14.386283874511719,"liquidity":13587.77027,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T05:12:18.714030Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T04:51:32.455658Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T17:50:47.490186Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-be-in-next-berlin-state-government/will-afd-be-in-the-next-berlin-state-government","event_title":"Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.075,0.0455,0.04,0.058,0.0565,0.058,0.0585]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3747949","event_id":"881571","slug":"will-fdp-be-in-the-next-berlin-state-government","question":"Will FDP be in the next Berlin state government?","group_item_title":"FDP","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.\n\nThe state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.\n\nIf no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/de-fdp-2cab80821a.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/de-fdp-2cab80821a.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T17:43:06Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":146.0,"volume_24hr":146.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.45,"volume_24h_change":146.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.017332077026367,"normalized_volume":7.306755542755127,"liquidity":13458.6165,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T05:42:15.672945Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T05:41:32.691452Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T17:50:47.490186Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-be-in-next-berlin-state-government/will-fdp-be-in-the-next-berlin-state-government","event_title":"Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.055,0.045,0.055,0.055,0.05,0.055,0.05]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3747952","event_id":"881571","slug":"will-bsw-be-in-the-next-berlin-state-government","question":"Will BSW be in the next Berlin state government?","group_item_title":"BSW","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.\n\nThe state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.\n\nIf no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/de-bsw-56ef366131.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/de-bsw-56ef366131.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.035,0.965],"probability":0.035,"spread":0.028,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T17:43:07Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":280.0,"volume_24hr":280.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.46499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":280.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.787346839904785,"normalized_volume":9.32723617553711,"liquidity":12517.48391,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T03:42:13.616010Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T03:42:13.616010Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T17:50:47.490186Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-be-in-next-berlin-state-government/will-bsw-be-in-the-next-berlin-state-government","event_title":"Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.0255,0.0355,0.035,0.035]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3747951","event_id":"881571","slug":"will-fw-be-in-the-next-berlin-state-government","question":"Will FW be in the next Berlin state government?","group_item_title":"FW","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.\n\nThe state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.\n\nIf no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/de-fw-f10a289275.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/de-fw-f10a289275.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.033,0.967],"probability":0.033,"spread":0.046,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T17:43:06Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":573.174443,"volume_24hr":573.174443,"prob_24h_change":-0.46699999999999997,"volume_24h_change":573.174443,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.233951568603516,"normalized_volume":11.841229438781738,"liquidity":12439.09402,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T05:42:15.672945Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T05:41:32.691452Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T17:50:47.490186Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-be-in-next-berlin-state-government/will-fw-be-in-the-next-berlin-state-government","event_title":"Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.255,0.0445,0.036,0.029,0.034,0.035,0.03,0.033]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/881571","as_of":"2026-08-21T05:52:23.878956Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?\" — top market at 6% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}