{"source":"polymarket","id":"881713","ticker":"berlin-state-election-afd-vote-share","slug":"berlin-state-election-afd-vote-share","title":"Berlin State Election: AfD Vote Share?","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/de-afd-8e824114cb.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/de-afd-8e824114cb.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T18:21:49Z","end_date":"2026-09-20T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":27.62,"volume_24hr":27.62,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.277661323547363,"normalized_volume":2.5614969730377197,"liquidity":1826.4719,"open_interest":27.62,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"103724","slug":"berlin","label":"Berlin"},{"id":"100244","slug":"germany","label":"Germany"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"101206","slug":"world-elections","label":"World Elections"},{"id":"104119","slug":"german-elections","label":"German Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"105438","slug":"international-election-props","label":"International Election Props"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"20%+","top_outcome_probability":0.415,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.025000000000000022,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":27.62,"updated_at":"2026-08-21T04:51:33.704740Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T04:51:33.704740Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T20:04:12.401648Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/berlin-state-election-afd-vote-share","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,27.62,27.62],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3748347","event_id":"881713","slug":"will-afd-win-at-least-20-of-all-valid-second-votes-berlin","question":"Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes?","group_item_title":"20%+","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/de-afd-8e824114cb.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/de-afd-8e824114cb.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.415,0.585],"probability":0.415,"spread":0.63,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T18:21:49Z","end_date":"2026-09-20T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":27.62,"volume_24hr":27.62,"prob_24h_change":-0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":27.62,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.540772438049316,"normalized_volume":3.3006670475006104,"liquidity":202.0471,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T04:51:34.065630Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T04:51:34.065630Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T20:04:12.565092Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/berlin-state-election-afd-vote-share/will-afd-win-at-least-20-of-all-valid-second-votes-berlin","event_title":"Berlin State Election: AfD Vote Share?","chart_24h":[0.455,0.45,0.44,0.325,0.335,0.43]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3748346","event_id":"881713","slug":"will-afd-win-between-17-and-20-of-all-valid-second-votes-berlin","question":"Will AfD win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?","group_item_title":"17-20%","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/de-afd-8e824114cb.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/de-afd-8e824114cb.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3,0.7],"probability":0.3,"spread":0.38,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T18:21:49Z","end_date":"2026-09-20T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.02999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":336.5393,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T04:51:34.065630Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T04:51:34.065630Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T20:04:12.565092Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/berlin-state-election-afd-vote-share/will-afd-win-between-14-and-17-of-all-valid-second-votes-berlin","event_title":"Berlin State Election: AfD Vote Share?","chart_24h":[0.265,0.265,0.285,0.315,0.295]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3748344","event_id":"881713","slug":"will-afd-win-less-than-14-of-all-valid-second-votes-berlin","question":"Will AfD win less than 14% of all valid second votes?","group_item_title":"<14%","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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