{"source":"polymarket","id":"881724","ticker":"sachsen-anhalt-parliamentary-election-afd-over-under-42-percent","slug":"sachsen-anhalt-parliamentary-election-afd-over-under-42-percent","title":"Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Over” if AfD wins at least 42% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Under” if AfD wins less than 42% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-afd-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-baden-wrttemberg-parliamentary-elections-EH5fxjchr4It.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-afd-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-baden-wrttemberg-parliamentary-elections-EH5fxjchr4It.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T18:22:55Z","end_date":"2026-09-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2888.5816649999997,"volume_24hr":2888.581665,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.146047592163086,"normalized_volume":14.458842277526855,"liquidity":3417.0483,"open_interest":2878.531665,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"100244","slug":"germany","label":"Germany"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"103721","slug":"saxony-anhalt","label":"Saxony-Anhalt"},{"id":"104910","slug":"sachsen-anhalt","label":"Sachsen-Anhalt"},{"id":"101206","slug":"world-elections","label":"World Elections"},{"id":"104119","slug":"german-elections","label":"German Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"105438","slug":"international-election-props","label":"International Election Props"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.395,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.16000000000000003,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2868.581665,"updated_at":"2026-08-21T03:42:14.835683Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T03:42:14.835683Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T20:04:12.401648Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sachsen-anhalt-parliamentary-election-afd-over-under-42-percent","chart_24h":[20.0,21.0,21.0,2848.39,2888.581665],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3748367","event_id":"881724","slug":"sachsen-anhalt-parliamentary-election-afd-over-under-42-percent","question":"Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Over” if AfD wins at least 42% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Under” if AfD wins less than 42% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-afd-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-baden-wrttemberg-parliamentary-elections-EH5fxjchr4It.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-afd-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-baden-wrttemberg-parliamentary-elections-EH5fxjchr4It.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.395,0.605],"probability":0.395,"spread":0.33,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T18:22:55Z","end_date":"2026-09-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2888.5816649999997,"volume_24hr":2888.581665,"prob_24h_change":-0.16000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":2868.581665,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.631227493286133,"normalized_volume":18.631221771240234,"liquidity":3447.6999,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T03:47:37.455816Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T03:42:15.086673Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T20:04:12.565092Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sachsen-anhalt-parliamentary-election-afd-over-under-42-percent/sachsen-anhalt-parliamentary-election-afd-over-under-42-percent","event_title":"Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?","chart_24h":[0.555,0.61,0.615,0.425,0.395]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/881724","as_of":"2026-08-21T03:55:48.175473Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?\" — top market at 40% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}