{"source":"polymarket","id":"881745","ticker":"sachsen-anhalt-parliamentary-election-cdu-vote-share","slug":"sachsen-anhalt-parliamentary-election-cdu-vote-share","title":"Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-cdu-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-baden-wrttemberg-parliamentary-elections-yfV5QEdcA0C-.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-cdu-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-baden-wrttemberg-parliamentary-elections-yfV5QEdcA0C-.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T18:27:13Z","end_date":"2026-09-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1232.0267,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"100244","slug":"germany","label":"Germany"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"103721","slug":"saxony-anhalt","label":"Saxony-Anhalt"},{"id":"104910","slug":"sachsen-anhalt","label":"Sachsen-Anhalt"},{"id":"101206","slug":"world-elections","label":"World Elections"},{"id":"104119","slug":"german-elections","label":"German Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"105438","slug":"international-election-props","label":"International Election Props"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"20-23%","top_outcome_probability":0.475,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.024999999999999967,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-21T05:41:36.114896Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T05:41:36.114896Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T20:04:12.401648Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sachsen-anhalt-parliamentary-election-cdu-vote-share","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3748412","event_id":"881745","slug":"will-cdu-win-between-20-and-23-of-all-valid-second-votes-sachsen-anhalt","question":"Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?","group_item_title":"20-23%","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-cdu-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-baden-wrttemberg-parliamentary-elections-yfV5QEdcA0C-.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-cdu-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-baden-wrttemberg-parliamentary-elections-yfV5QEdcA0C-.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.475,0.525],"probability":0.475,"spread":0.77,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T18:27:13Z","end_date":"2026-09-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.024999999999999967,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":149.8485,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T05:42:15.672945Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T05:41:36.368510Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T20:04:12.565092Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sachsen-anhalt-parliamentary-election-cdu-vote-share/will-cdu-win-between-20-and-23-of-all-valid-second-votes-sachsen-anhalt","event_title":"Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?","chart_24h":[0.45,0.44,0.44,0.465,0.465,0.47,0.47,0.475]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3748411","event_id":"881745","slug":"will-cdu-win-less-than-20-of-all-valid-second-votes-sachsen-anhalt","question":"Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?","group_item_title":"<20%","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-cdu-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-baden-wrttemberg-parliamentary-elections-yfV5QEdcA0C-.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-cdu-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-baden-wrttemberg-parliamentary-elections-yfV5QEdcA0C-.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.445,0.555],"probability":0.445,"spread":0.81,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T18:27:13Z","end_date":"2026-09-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.175,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":150.0668,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T05:42:15.672945Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T05:41:36.368510Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T20:04:12.565092Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sachsen-anhalt-parliamentary-election-cdu-vote-share/will-cdu-win-less-than-20-of-all-valid-second-votes-sachsen-anhalt","event_title":"Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?","chart_24h":[0.27,0.27,0.455,0.445,0.445,0.445,0.44,0.445]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3748413","event_id":"881745","slug":"will-cdu-win-between-23-and-26-of-all-valid-second-votes-sachsen-anhalt","question":"Will CDU win between 23% and 26% of all valid second votes?","group_item_title":"23-26%","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-cdu-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-baden-wrttemberg-parliamentary-elections-yfV5QEdcA0C-.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-cdu-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-baden-wrttemberg-parliamentary-elections-yfV5QEdcA0C-.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.24,0.76],"probability":0.24,"spread":0.38,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T18:27:13Z","end_date":"2026-09-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.21000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":404.433,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T05:12:18.714030Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T05:11:34.130615Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T20:04:12.565092Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sachsen-anhalt-parliamentary-election-cdu-vote-share/will-cdu-win-between-23-and-26-of-all-valid-second-votes-sachsen-anhalt","event_title":"Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?","chart_24h":[0.45,0.23,0.25,0.235,0.24,0.245,0.24]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3748414","event_id":"881745","slug":"will-cdu-win-at-least-26-of-all-valid-second-votes-sachsen-anhalt","question":"Will CDU win at least 26% of all valid second votes?","group_item_title":"26%+","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-cdu-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-baden-wrttemberg-parliamentary-elections-yfV5QEdcA0C-.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-cdu-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-baden-wrttemberg-parliamentary-elections-yfV5QEdcA0C-.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T18:27:13Z","end_date":"2026-09-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":545.1785,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T05:12:18.714030Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T04:51:35.799540Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T20:04:12.565092Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sachsen-anhalt-parliamentary-election-cdu-vote-share/will-cdu-win-at-least-26-of-all-valid-second-votes-sachsen-anhalt","event_title":"Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?","chart_24h":[0.065,0.055,0.055,0.06,0.055,0.055,0.06]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/881745","as_of":"2026-08-21T05:51:42.151923Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?\" — top market at 48% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}