{"source":"polymarket","id":"886660","ticker":"bauchi-nigeria-governor-election-winner","slug":"bauchi-nigeria-governor-election-winner","title":"Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner","description":"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nTo be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nTo be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-gov-27-bauchi-adamu-45e8c6843a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-gov-27-bauchi-adamu-45e8c6843a.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3,0.7],"probability":0.3,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T19:54:37Z","end_date":"2027-02-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":23.0,"volume_24hr":23.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.12,"volume_24h_change":23.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.137053966522217,"normalized_volume":2.963266372680664,"liquidity":285.4084,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Nigeria"],"updated_at":"2026-08-22T06:01:49.313318Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-22T06:01:18.170804Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T20:08:57.663613Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bauchi-nigeria-governor-election-winner/will-yakubu-adamu-win-the-2027-bauchi-state-gubernatorial-election","event_title":"Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.42,0.3,0.325,0.325,0.3,0.295,0.295,0.3]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3765326","event_id":"886660","slug":"will-any-other-candidate-win-the-2027-bauchi-state-gubernatorial-election","question":"Will any other candidate win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. 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If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-state-fullbleed-bauchi-e1396e800c.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-state-fullbleed-bauchi-e1396e800c.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2027-02-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Nigeria"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T20:42:30.853378Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T20:08:57.663613Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T20:08:57.663613Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bauchi-nigeria-governor-election-winner/will-any-other-candidate-win-the-2027-bauchi-state-gubernatorial-election","event_title":"Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3765286","event_id":"886660","slug":"will-mohammed-abdullahi-abubakar-win-the-2027-bauchi-state-gubernatorial-election","question":"Will Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar","description":"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nTo be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-gov-27-bauchi-abubakar-085e204d8b.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-gov-27-bauchi-abubakar-085e204d8b.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.375,0.625],"probability":0.375,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T19:54:37Z","end_date":"2027-02-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.044999999999999984,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":236.2019,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Nigeria"],"updated_at":"2026-08-22T02:56:06.970334Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-22T02:56:06.970334Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T20:08:57.663613Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bauchi-nigeria-governor-election-winner/will-mohammed-abdullahi-abubakar-win-the-2027-bauchi-state-gubernatorial-election","event_title":"Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.42,0.35,0.355,0.355,0.375,0.375]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3765291","event_id":"886660","slug":"will-umar-shehu-buba-win-the-2027-bauchi-state-gubernatorial-election","question":"Will Umar Shehu Buba win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"Umar Shehu Buba","description":"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nTo be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-umar-shehu-buba-win-the-2027-bauchi-state-gubernatorial-election-e8KYSzISShxV.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-umar-shehu-buba-win-the-2027-bauchi-state-gubernatorial-election-e8KYSzISShxV.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.125,0.875],"probability":0.125,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T19:54:37Z","end_date":"2027-02-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.295,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":8270.2503,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Nigeria"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T22:40:32.147271Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T22:39:55.668944Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T20:08:57.663613Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bauchi-nigeria-governor-election-winner/will-umar-shehu-buba-win-the-2027-bauchi-state-gubernatorial-election","event_title":"Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.42,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.125]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3765287","event_id":"886660","slug":"will-usman-supi-win-the-2027-bauchi-state-gubernatorial-election","question":"Will Usman Supi win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"Usman Supi","description":"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nTo be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ng2027-usman-supi-0c1761613f.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ng2027-usman-supi-0c1761613f.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T19:54:37Z","end_date":"2027-02-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.32999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":8551.2033,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Nigeria"],"updated_at":"2026-08-22T08:08:36.548430Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-22T08:08:03.096611Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T20:08:57.663613Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bauchi-nigeria-governor-election-winner/will-usman-supi-win-the-2027-bauchi-state-gubernatorial-election","event_title":"Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.42,0.055,0.06,0.07,0.075,0.08,0.085,0.09]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3765289","event_id":"886660","slug":"will-ibrahim-muhammad-kashim-win-the-2027-bauchi-state-gubernatorial-election","question":"Will Ibrahim Muhammad Kashim win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"Ibrahim Muhammad Kashim","description":"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nTo be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-gov-27-bauchi-kashim-1fb739e736.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-gov-27-bauchi-kashim-1fb739e736.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T19:54:37Z","end_date":"2027-02-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.355,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":8472.7441,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Nigeria"],"updated_at":"2026-08-22T08:08:36.548430Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-22T08:08:03.096611Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T20:08:57.663613Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bauchi-nigeria-governor-election-winner/will-ibrahim-muhammad-kashim-win-the-2027-bauchi-state-gubernatorial-election","event_title":"Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.42,0.05,0.055,0.065,0.06,0.065]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3765290","event_id":"886660","slug":"will-mohammed-aliyu-win-the-2027-bauchi-state-gubernatorial-election","question":"Will Mohammed Aliyu win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"Mohammed Aliyu","description":"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nTo be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-state-fullbleed-bauchi-e1396e800c.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-state-fullbleed-bauchi-e1396e800c.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T19:54:37Z","end_date":"2027-02-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.355,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":276.2785,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Nigeria"],"updated_at":"2026-08-22T08:08:36.548430Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-22T08:08:03.096611Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T20:08:57.663613Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bauchi-nigeria-governor-election-winner/will-mohammed-aliyu-win-the-2027-bauchi-state-gubernatorial-election","event_title":"Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.42,0.055,0.06,0.065,0.07,0.065,0.07,0.065,0.065]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/886660","as_of":"2026-08-22T08:17:01.998343Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner\" — top market at 30% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}