{"source":"polymarket","id":"886836","ticker":"kaduna-nigeria-governor-election-winner","slug":"kaduna-nigeria-governor-election-winner","title":"Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner","description":"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nTo be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-state-fullbleed-kaduna-54e208acb0.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-state-fullbleed-kaduna-54e208acb0.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T20:12:35Z","end_date":"2027-02-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.5128886699676514,"normalized_volume":2.1103086471557617,"liquidity":1066.9315,"open_interest":20.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"100614","slug":"africa","label":"africa"},{"id":"102792","slug":"nigeria","label":"Nigeria"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"105158","slug":"nigerian-election","label":"Nigerian Election"},{"id":"106130","slug":"nigerian-governor-election","label":"Nigerian Governor Election"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Uba Sani","top_outcome_probability":0.535,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.11000000000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":20.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-22T08:08:05.907251Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-22T08:08:05.907251Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T20:39:49.890401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/kaduna-nigeria-governor-election-winner","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,20.0,20.0,20.0,20.0,20.0,20.0,20.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3766890","event_id":"886836","slug":"will-uba-sani-win-the-2027-kaduna-state-gubernatorial-election","question":"Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"Uba Sani","description":"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nTo be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-gov-27-kaduna-sani-c6e3139744.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-gov-27-kaduna-sani-c6e3139744.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.535,0.465],"probability":0.535,"spread":0.23,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T20:12:35Z","end_date":"2027-02-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":0.11000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.7967066764831543,"normalized_volume":2.719484329223633,"liquidity":140.6862,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Nigeria"],"updated_at":"2026-08-22T07:44:00.754864Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-22T07:43:25.718291Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T20:39:49.986279Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/kaduna-nigeria-governor-election-winner/will-uba-sani-win-the-2027-kaduna-state-gubernatorial-election","event_title":"Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.425,0.425,0.43,0.535,0.54,0.535,0.53,0.525,0.54]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3766922","event_id":"886836","slug":"will-any-other-candidate-win-the-2027-kaduna-state-gubernatorial-election","question":"Will any other candidate win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nTo be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-state-fullbleed-kaduna-54e208acb0.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-state-fullbleed-kaduna-54e208acb0.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2027-02-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Nigeria"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T21:40:23.300016Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T20:39:49.986279Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T20:39:49.986279Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/kaduna-nigeria-governor-election-winner/will-any-other-candidate-win-the-2027-kaduna-state-gubernatorial-election","event_title":"Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3766895","event_id":"886836","slug":"will-aminu-abdulfatah-win-the-2027-kaduna-state-gubernatorial-election","question":"Will Aminu Abdulfatah win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"Aminu Abdulfatah","description":"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nTo be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-gov-27-kaduna-abdulfatah-f88be4a814.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-gov-27-kaduna-abdulfatah-f88be4a814.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.265,0.735],"probability":0.265,"spread":0.47,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T20:12:35Z","end_date":"2027-02-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.15999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":154.0058,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Nigeria"],"updated_at":"2026-08-22T08:08:36.548430Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-22T08:08:06.045143Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T20:39:49.986279Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/kaduna-nigeria-governor-election-winner/will-aminu-abdulfatah-win-the-2027-kaduna-state-gubernatorial-election","event_title":"Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.425,0.255,0.26,0.43,0.22,0.2,0.24,0.195,0.13,0.115,0.295]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3766891","event_id":"886836","slug":"will-mohammed-ashiru-isa-win-the-2027-kaduna-state-gubernatorial-election","question":"Will Mohammed Ashiru Isa win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"Mohammed Ashiru Isa","description":"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nTo be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-gov-27-kaduna-isa-4b36cdc587.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-gov-27-kaduna-isa-4b36cdc587.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.34,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T20:12:35Z","end_date":"2027-02-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.19499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":161.644,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Nigeria"],"updated_at":"2026-08-22T08:08:06.045143Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-22T08:08:06.045143Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T20:39:49.986279Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/kaduna-nigeria-governor-election-winner/will-mohammed-ashiru-isa-win-the-2027-kaduna-state-gubernatorial-election","event_title":"Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.425,0.425,0.43,0.23,0.24,0.255,0.235,0.22,0.185,0.205]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3766893","event_id":"886836","slug":"will-danjuma-laah-win-the-2027-kaduna-state-gubernatorial-election","question":"Will Danjuma Laah win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"Danjuma Laah","description":"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nTo be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-gov-27-kaduna-laah-58965082bf.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-gov-27-kaduna-laah-58965082bf.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.215,0.785],"probability":0.215,"spread":0.21,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T20:12:35Z","end_date":"2027-02-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.21,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":144.7755,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Nigeria"],"updated_at":"2026-08-22T08:08:36.548430Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-22T08:08:06.045143Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T20:39:49.986279Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/kaduna-nigeria-governor-election-winner/will-danjuma-laah-win-the-2027-kaduna-state-gubernatorial-election","event_title":"Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.425,0.245,0.25,0.43,0.22,0.21,0.255,0.215,0.21,0.19,0.23]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3766892","event_id":"886836","slug":"will-shehu-bawa-win-the-2027-kaduna-state-gubernatorial-election","question":"Will Shehu Bawa win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"Shehu Bawa","description":"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nTo be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-gov-27-kaduna-bawa-6c21412670.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-gov-27-kaduna-bawa-6c21412670.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.82],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.24,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T20:12:35Z","end_date":"2027-02-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.245,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":149.475,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Nigeria"],"updated_at":"2026-08-22T08:08:36.548430Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-22T08:08:06.045143Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T20:39:49.986279Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/kaduna-nigeria-governor-election-winner/will-shehu-bawa-win-the-2027-kaduna-state-gubernatorial-election","event_title":"Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.425,0.255,0.26,0.43,0.22,0.195,0.2,0.275,0.255,0.24,0.19]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3766894","event_id":"886836","slug":"will-auwal-tafoki-win-the-2027-kaduna-state-gubernatorial-election","question":"Will Auwal Tafoki win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"Auwal Tafoki","description":"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nTo be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ng2027-auwal-tafoki-a297d1817d.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ng2027-auwal-tafoki-a297d1817d.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.82],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.24,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T20:12:35Z","end_date":"2027-02-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.245,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":141.0446,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Nigeria"],"updated_at":"2026-08-22T08:08:36.548430Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-22T08:08:06.045143Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T20:39:49.986279Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/kaduna-nigeria-governor-election-winner/will-auwal-tafoki-win-the-2027-kaduna-state-gubernatorial-election","event_title":"Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.425,0.245,0.25,0.43,0.235,0.215,0.215,0.255,0.255,0.195,0.195]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/886836","as_of":"2026-08-22T08:11:36.191131Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner\" — top market at 54% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}