{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/886921","as_of":"2026-10-09T18:01:43.102149Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Niger, Nigeria Governor Election Winner\" — \"Mohammed Umaru Bago\" leads at 72% across 4 outcomes as of 2026-10-09 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/886921","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/niger-nigeria-governor-election-winner"},"source":"polymarket","id":"886921","ticker":"niger-nigeria-governor-election-winner","slug":"niger-nigeria-governor-election-winner","title":"Niger, Nigeria Governor Election Winner","description":"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Niger State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nTo be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-state-fullbleed-niger-55c8970810.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-state-fullbleed-niger-55c8970810.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T20:32:32Z","end_date":"2027-02-07T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4959.467149,"volume_24hr":160.3,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.577751159667969,"normalized_volume":16.45157241821289,"liquidity":50479.61108,"open_interest":1243.6547130000001,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"100614","slug":"africa","label":"africa"},{"id":"102792","slug":"nigeria","label":"Nigeria"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"105158","slug":"nigerian-election","label":"Nigerian Election"},{"id":"106130","slug":"nigerian-governor-election","label":"Nigerian Governor Election"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Mohammed Umaru Bago","top_outcome_probability":0.72,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.025000000000000022,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":118.30000000000001,"updated_at":"2026-10-09T17:52:39.669473Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T17:52:39.669473Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T20:39:51.596318Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/niger-nigeria-governor-election-winner","chart_24h":[42.0,42.0,42.0,42.0,42.0,42.0,42.0,42.0,42.0,42.0,202.3,202.3,202.3,202.3,202.3,202.3,202.3,202.3,202.3,202.3,160.3,160.3,160.3,160.3,160.3,160.3,160.3,160.3,160.3,160.3],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":4,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3767455","event_id":"886921","slug":"will-mohammed-umaru-bago-win-the-2027-niger-state-gubernatorial-election","question":"Will Mohammed Umaru Bago win the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"Mohammed Umaru Bago","description":"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Niger State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nTo be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/niger-gov-27-bago-8550b71c01.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/niger-gov-27-bago-8550b71c01.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.72,0.28],"probability":0.72,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T20:32:32Z","end_date":"2027-02-07T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":4733.067149,"volume_24hr":160.3,"prob_24h_change":-0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":118.30000000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.417810440063477,"normalized_volume":21.01114273071289,"liquidity":26434.0879,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Nigeria"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T09:48:44.249930Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T09:48:44.249930Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T20:39:51.652641Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/niger-nigeria-governor-election-winner/will-mohammed-umaru-bago-win-the-2027-niger-state-gubernatorial-election","event_title":"Niger, Nigeria Governor Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.745,0.725,0.705,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.725,0.72]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3767484","event_id":"886921","slug":"will-any-other-candidate-win-the-2027-niger-state-gubernatorial-election","question":"Will any other candidate win the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Niger State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nTo be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-state-fullbleed-niger-55c8970810.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigeria-state-fullbleed-niger-55c8970810.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2027-02-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Nigeria"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T06:57:46.589510Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T20:39:51.652641Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T20:39:51.652641Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/niger-nigeria-governor-election-winner/will-any-other-candidate-win-the-2027-niger-state-gubernatorial-election","event_title":"Niger, Nigeria Governor Election Winner","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3767456","event_id":"886921","slug":"will-abubakar-suleiman-win-the-2027-niger-state-gubernatorial-election","question":"Will Abubakar Suleiman win the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"Abubakar Suleiman","description":"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Niger State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nTo be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ng2027-abubakar-suleiman-ef8dcb2a48.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ng2027-abubakar-suleiman-ef8dcb2a48.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.092,0.908],"probability":0.092,"spread":0.156,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T20:32:32Z","end_date":"2027-02-07T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":141.29999999999998,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.009000000000000008,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.211909770965576,"liquidity":4984.83631,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Nigeria"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T17:52:40.107856Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T17:52:40.107856Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T20:39:51.652641Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/niger-nigeria-governor-election-winner/will-abubakar-suleiman-win-the-2027-niger-state-gubernatorial-election","event_title":"Niger, Nigeria Governor Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.0925,0.0885,0.0975,0.095,0.0935,0.0895,0.096,0.0885,0.094,0.0905,0.0925,0.0895,0.0935,0.095,0.094,0.093,0.0925,0.099,0.094,0.0895,0.0945,0.0915,0.0995,0.098,0.093,0.095,0.0945,0.093,0.092,0.093]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3767457","event_id":"886921","slug":"will-mohammed-kpautagi-win-the-2027-niger-state-gubernatorial-election","question":"Will Mohammed Kpautagi win the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"Mohammed Kpautagi","description":"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Niger State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nTo be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/niger-gov-27-kpautagi-c0af3c737c.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/niger-gov-27-kpautagi-c0af3c737c.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.011,0.989],"probability":0.011,"spread":0.014,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T20:32:32Z","end_date":"2027-02-07T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":85.1,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.824289321899414,"liquidity":824.98991,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Nigeria"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T15:30:52.562296Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T15:30:52.562296Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T20:39:51.652641Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/niger-nigeria-governor-election-winner/will-mohammed-kpautagi-win-the-2027-niger-state-gubernatorial-election","event_title":"Niger, Nigeria Governor Election Winner","chart_24h":null}]}