{"source":"polymarket","id":"886931","ticker":"ri-02-republican-primary-winner","slug":"ri-02-republican-primary-winner","title":"RI-02 Republican Primary Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. 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The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.625,0.375],"probability":0.625,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T20:34:05Z","end_date":"2026-09-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1125.0598639999998,"volume_24hr":660.409864,"prob_24h_change":0.27,"volume_24h_change":660.409864,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.70560073852539,"normalized_volume":14.485177040100098,"liquidity":2362.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T10:25:09.435755Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T10:25:09.435755Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T20:39:51.652641Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ri-02-republican-primary-winner/will-stephen-skoly-be-the-ri-02-republican-nominee","event_title":"RI-02 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.36,0.345,0.355,0.57,0.575,0.575,0.575,0.575,0.6,0.595,0.555,0.375,0.375,0.56,0.555,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.74,0.755,0.765,0.65]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3767602","event_id":"886931","slug":"will-victor-mellor-be-the-ri-02-republican-nominee","question":"Will Victor Mellor be the RI-02 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Victor Mellor","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.355,0.645],"probability":0.355,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T20:34:05Z","end_date":"2026-09-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2454.47323,"volume_24hr":1920.532055,"prob_24h_change":-0.03500000000000003,"volume_24h_change":1914.532055,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.978456497192383,"normalized_volume":17.8665771484375,"liquidity":3547.8192,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T10:25:09.435755Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T10:25:09.435755Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T20:39:51.652641Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ri-02-republican-primary-winner/will-victor-mellor-be-the-ri-02-republican-nominee","event_title":"RI-02 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.385,0.385,0.385,0.385,0.385,0.255,0.235,0.19,0.17,0.325]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3767609","event_id":"886931","slug":"will-another-candidate-be-the-ri-02-republican-nominee","question":"Will another candidate be the RI-02 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-09-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T04:18:46.560474Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T20:39:51.652641Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T20:39:51.652641Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ri-02-republican-primary-winner/will-another-candidate-be-the-ri-02-republican-nominee","event_title":"RI-02 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/886931","as_of":"2026-08-27T10:41:37.049332Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"RI-02 Republican Primary Winner\" — top market at 36% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}