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The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/az-01-republican-primary-winner-hiiJMuewS1Sw.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/az-01-republican-primary-winner-hiiJMuewS1Sw.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.004,0.996],"probability":0.004,"spread":0.004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-25T22:24:29.268000Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11492.730944,"volume_24hr":500.0,"prob_24h_change":0.001,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.761850357055664,"normalized_volume":25.64662742614746,"liquidity":5234.88559,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T07:06:45.496865Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T07:03:31.306086Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/az-01-republican-primary-winner/will-brandon-sowers-be-the-republican-nominee-for-az-01-218","event_title":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.003,0.004]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"704349","event_id":"90415","slug":"will-derrick-gallego-be-the-republican-nominee-for-az-01-424","question":"Will Derrick Gallego be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?","group_item_title":"Derrick Gallego","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. 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The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/az-01-republican-primary-winner-hiiJMuewS1Sw.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/az-01-republican-primary-winner-hiiJMuewS1Sw.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0025,0.9975],"probability":0.0025,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-25T22:24:24.706527Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5058.3410399999975,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.34241485595703,"liquidity":4154.52707,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T07:21:49.565488Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T09:38:49.180980Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/az-01-republican-primary-winner/will-gina-swoboda-be-the-republican-nominee-for-az-01","event_title":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.0025,0.0025]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"704345","event_id":"90415","slug":"will-todd-graham-be-the-republican-nominee-for-az-01","question":"Will Todd Graham be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?","group_item_title":"Todd Graham","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/az-01-republican-primary-winner-hiiJMuewS1Sw.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/az-01-republican-primary-winner-hiiJMuewS1Sw.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0025,0.9975],"probability":0.0025,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-25T22:24:26.976075Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8068.872672999998,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.74306297302246,"liquidity":5263.24818,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T07:21:49.565488Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T09:38:49.180980Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/az-01-republican-primary-winner/will-todd-graham-be-the-republican-nominee-for-az-01","event_title":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.0025,0.0025]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"704347","event_id":"90415","slug":"will-kari-lake-be-the-republican-nominee-for-az-01","question":"Will Kari Lake be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?","group_item_title":"Kari Lake","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/az-01-republican-primary-winner-hiiJMuewS1Sw.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/az-01-republican-primary-winner-hiiJMuewS1Sw.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0025,0.9975],"probability":0.0025,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-25T22:24:30.285278Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7333.049424999999,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.24105453491211,"liquidity":5608.71313,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T07:21:49.565488Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T09:38:49.180980Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/az-01-republican-primary-winner/will-kari-lake-be-the-republican-nominee-for-az-01","event_title":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.0025,0.0025]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"704350","event_id":"90415","slug":"will-kaitlin-purrington-be-the-republican-nominee-for-az-01","question":"Will Kaitlin Purrington be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?","group_item_title":"Kaitlin Purrington","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/az-01-republican-primary-winner-hiiJMuewS1Sw.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/az-01-republican-primary-winner-hiiJMuewS1Sw.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0025,0.9975],"probability":0.0025,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-25T22:24:29.523000Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10187.012288999998,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.989316940307617,"liquidity":5469.99809,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T07:21:49.565488Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T07:58:09.357447Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/az-01-republican-primary-winner/will-kaitlin-purrington-be-the-republican-nominee-for-az-01","event_title":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.0025,0.0025]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"704363","event_id":"90415","slug":"will-another-candidate-be-the-republican-nominee-for-az-01-354-131-344-229-187-858-886","question":"Will another candidate be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/az-01-republican-primary-winner-hiiJMuewS1Sw.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/az-01-republican-primary-winner-hiiJMuewS1Sw.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-25T22:24:35.871000Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T17:20:20.334897Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/az-01-republican-primary-winner/will-another-candidate-be-the-republican-nominee-for-az-01-354-131-344-229-187-858-886","event_title":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/90415","as_of":"2026-05-30T21:35:34.341203Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner\" — top market at 0% probability across 15 outcomes","source_url":null}}