{"source":"polymarket","id":"904623","ticker":"which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to","slug":"which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to","title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Ox-486be1eca4.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Ox-486be1eca4.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T15:34:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13827.405456999999,"volume_24hr":13827.405457,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.182987213134766,"normalized_volume":20.693422317504883,"liquidity":25832.97094,"open_interest":3004.887578,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"106132","slug":"opencode","label":"OpenCode"},{"id":"106131","slug":"ox-alpha","label":"Ox Alpha"},{"id":"105640","slug":"video-ai","label":"Video AI"},{"id":"105579","slug":"ai-releases","label":"AI Releases"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Z.ai","top_outcome_probability":0.845,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.04999999999999993,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2724.9865240000004,"updated_at":"2026-08-24T21:02:41.979599Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T21:02:41.979599Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.678018Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to","chart_24h":[0.0,5308.05,5623.209997,6695.464957,11999.181475,12737.88889],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846368","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-klingai-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?","group_item_title":"Z.ai","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-zai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-I9QblP2bjC3m.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-zai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-I9QblP2bjC3m.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.845,0.155],"probability":0.845,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T15:34:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3025.5165239999997,"volume_24hr":2724.9865240000004,"prob_24h_change":0.04999999999999993,"volume_24h_change":2724.9865240000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.277942657470703,"normalized_volume":18.848352432250977,"liquidity":2122.9663,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T21:05:31.395130Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T21:02:42.049850Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-klingai-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.795,0.815,0.575,0.625,0.865,0.86]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846362","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-meta-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to Google?","group_item_title":"Google","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-google-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-MS2LhSAdlHGk.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-google-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-MS2LhSAdlHGk.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0535,0.9465],"probability":0.0535,"spread":0.075,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T15:34:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":882.166877,"volume_24hr":882.166877,"prob_24h_change":-0.2015,"volume_24h_change":882.166877,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.058748245239258,"normalized_volume":13.50074291229248,"liquidity":1258.94566,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T21:05:31.395130Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T21:02:42.049850Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-meta-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.085,0.045,0.135,0.0305,0.0315]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846382","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-company-e-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to Safe Superintelligence?","group_item_title":"Safe Superintelligence","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ssi-announces-it-has-achieved-ssi-before-2027-20260810093729791-Jq8_0U2WBuTt.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ssi-announces-it-has-achieved-ssi-before-2027-20260810093729791-Jq8_0U2WBuTt.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.035,0.965],"probability":0.035,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T15:34:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":796.092129,"volume_24hr":796.092129,"prob_24h_change":-0.23,"volume_24h_change":796.092129,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.456890106201172,"normalized_volume":13.095656394958496,"liquidity":925.88954,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T21:05:31.395130Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T21:02:42.049850Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-company-e-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.265,0.2,0.045,0.06,0.06,0.035]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846366","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-pixverse-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to Cursor (Anysphere)?","group_item_title":"Cursor","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-pixverse-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy-uY-sS5BvfQnZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-pixverse-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy-uY-sS5BvfQnZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0325,0.9675],"probability":0.0325,"spread":0.055,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T15:34:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":668.3501249999999,"volume_24hr":668.350125,"prob_24h_change":-0.2225,"volume_24h_change":668.350125,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.452852249145508,"normalized_volume":12.419878005981445,"liquidity":759.71212,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T21:05:31.395130Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T21:02:42.049850Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-pixverse-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.065,0.075,0.0015,0.0315]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846373","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-tencent-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to ByteDance?","group_item_title":"ByteDance","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-e3p1kNfiUBSm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-e3p1kNfiUBSm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.014,0.986],"probability":0.014,"spread":0.008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T15:34:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":604.0871999999999,"volume_24hr":604.0872,"prob_24h_change":-0.241,"volume_24h_change":604.0872,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.884761810302734,"normalized_volume":12.037519454956055,"liquidity":1010.35574,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T21:05:31.395130Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T21:02:42.049850Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-tencent-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.06,0.1995,0.1645,0.0145,0.014]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846369","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-pruna-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to Xiaomi?","group_item_title":"Xiaomi","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xiaomi-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607151-yCGBDwV8NTyU.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xiaomi-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607151-yCGBDwV8NTyU.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0135,0.9865],"probability":0.0135,"spread":0.005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T15:34:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":658.8063830000001,"volume_24hr":658.8063830000001,"prob_24h_change":-0.0665,"volume_24h_change":658.8063830000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.371482849121094,"normalized_volume":12.3651123046875,"liquidity":931.26596,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T21:05:31.395130Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T21:02:42.049850Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-pruna-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.105,0.055,0.045,0.038,0.0385]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846379","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-company-b-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to Tencent?","group_item_title":"Tencent","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tencent-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607150137-XOn9JPuc1eU_.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tencent-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607150137-XOn9JPuc1eU_.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0105,0.9895],"probability":0.0105,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T15:34:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":583.8298,"volume_24hr":583.8298,"prob_24h_change":-0.2145,"volume_24h_change":583.8298,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.695112228393555,"normalized_volume":11.909873962402344,"liquidity":978.67699,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T21:05:31.395130Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T21:02:42.049850Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-company-b-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.225,0.09,0.085,0.0105,0.0105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846361","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-bytedance-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to Meta?","group_item_title":"Meta","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-mEoVJFHkGAZd.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-mEoVJFHkGAZd.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.006,0.994],"probability":0.006,"spread":0.008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T15:34:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":287.24,"volume_24hr":265.86,"prob_24h_change":-0.259,"volume_24h_change":265.86,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.605321884155273,"normalized_volume":9.411590576171875,"liquidity":787.50029,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T21:05:31.395130Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T21:02:42.049850Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-bytedance-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.265,0.15,0.09,0.085,0.055,0.04]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846367","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-runway-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to Baidu?","group_item_title":"Baidu","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-baidu-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-202607170042-ge60q73Qll1Q.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-baidu-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-202607170042-ge60q73Qll1Q.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.006,0.994],"probability":0.006,"spread":0.008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T15:34:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":287.24,"volume_24hr":250.86,"prob_24h_change":-0.249,"volume_24h_change":250.86,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.325013160705566,"normalized_volume":9.411590576171875,"liquidity":981.55797,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T21:03:32.965921Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T21:02:42.049850Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-runway-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.155,0.225,0.21,0.065,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846377","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-any-other-company-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to Mistral?","group_item_title":"Mistral","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-a-have-the-top-ai-model-on-september-30-A6OlKbmlY6RD.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-a-have-the-top-ai-model-on-september-30-A6OlKbmlY6RD.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.006,0.994],"probability":0.006,"spread":0.006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T15:34:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":671.7557529999999,"volume_24hr":587.015753,"prob_24h_change":-0.254,"volume_24h_change":587.015753,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.72530174255371,"normalized_volume":12.439261436462402,"liquidity":870.12378,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T21:05:31.395130Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T21:02:42.049850Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-any-other-company-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.26,0.06,0.05,0.065,0.003,0.003]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846363","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-alibaba-including-alibaba-ath-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to Alibaba?","group_item_title":"Alibaba","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803638-HGGGQOL-fYvS.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803638-HGGGQOL-fYvS.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T15:34:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":616.7498,"volume_24hr":616.7498,"prob_24h_change":-0.2245,"volume_24h_change":616.7498,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.0006046295166,"normalized_volume":12.115488052368164,"liquidity":1014.83944,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T21:05:31.395130Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T21:02:42.049850Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-alibaba-including-alibaba-ath-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.23,0.08,0.005,0.0405,0.0055,0.0055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846370","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-luma-ai-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to xAI?","group_item_title":"xAI","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-spacexai-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-20260715013-sDKidBNrmQqb.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-spacexai-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-20260715013-sDKidBNrmQqb.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.007,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T15:34:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":665.6225,"volume_24hr":665.6224999999998,"prob_24h_change":-0.2445,"volume_24h_change":665.6224999999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.429697036743164,"normalized_volume":12.40429401397705,"liquidity":978.89672,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T21:05:31.395130Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T21:02:42.049850Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-luma-ai-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.04,0.04,0.1795,0.005,0.0055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846376","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-genmo-ai-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to MiniMax?","group_item_title":"MiniMax","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-minimax-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-4DAYgxunLDJN.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-minimax-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-4DAYgxunLDJN.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.007,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T15:34:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":518.4327659999999,"volume_24hr":518.432766,"prob_24h_change":-0.2495,"volume_24h_change":518.432766,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.042556762695312,"normalized_volume":11.470664024353027,"liquidity":1052.34064,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T21:03:32.965921Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T21:02:42.049850Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-genmo-ai-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.04,0.0455,0.0415,0.006,0.006]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846364","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-openai-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to Moonshot AI?","group_item_title":"Moonshot AI","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moonshot-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210246322-1XN6lwAew-Oe.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moonshot-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210246322-1XN6lwAew-Oe.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0045,0.9955],"probability":0.0045,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T15:34:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":465.54499999999996,"volume_24hr":465.5449999999999,"prob_24h_change":-0.2505,"volume_24h_change":465.5449999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.46221351623535,"normalized_volume":11.080059051513672,"liquidity":1181.67569,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T21:05:31.395130Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T21:02:42.049850Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-openai-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.0045,0.0045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846380","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-company-c-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to StepFun?","group_item_title":"StepFun","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-stepfun-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-Z2tsyhaB8aVf.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-stepfun-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-Z2tsyhaB8aVf.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0035,0.9965],"probability":0.0035,"spread":0.003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T15:34:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":527.9791,"volume_24hr":527.9791,"prob_24h_change":-0.23149999999999998,"volume_24h_change":527.9791,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.14197540283203,"normalized_volume":11.537579536437988,"liquidity":926.09855,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T20:34:53.359697Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T20:31:09.409359Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-company-c-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.235,0.035,0.025,0.0205,0.0035,0.0035]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846374","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-lightricks-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to Nvidia?","group_item_title":"Nvidia","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-nvidia-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803644-7ISjsvbxLCk_.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-nvidia-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803644-7ISjsvbxLCk_.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0025,0.9975],"probability":0.0025,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T15:34:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":349.24,"volume_24hr":287.23999999999995,"prob_24h_change":-0.2425,"volume_24h_change":287.23999999999995,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.983283996582031,"normalized_volume":10.070213317871094,"liquidity":1221.01891,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T21:03:32.965921Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T21:02:42.049850Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-lightricks-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.245,0.09,0.085,0.035,0.006]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846375","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-pika-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to Thinky?","group_item_title":"Thinky","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-thinky-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071-5CCBBwyTYeXw.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-thinky-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071-5CCBBwyTYeXw.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0025,0.9975],"probability":0.0025,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T15:34:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":359.24,"volume_24hr":297.24,"prob_24h_change":-0.2425,"volume_24h_change":297.24,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.152194023132324,"normalized_volume":10.167223930358887,"liquidity":1043.86819,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T21:05:31.395130Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T21:02:42.049850Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-pika-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.245,0.155,0.09,0.045,0.006]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846378","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-company-a-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to Meituan?","group_item_title":"Meituan","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meituan-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071700-8cAQfOxGvZDE.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meituan-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071700-8cAQfOxGvZDE.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0025,0.9975],"probability":0.0025,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T15:34:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":349.24,"volume_24hr":287.24,"prob_24h_change":-0.2525,"volume_24h_change":287.24,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.983283996582031,"normalized_volume":10.070213317871094,"liquidity":1217.69459,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T21:03:32.965921Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T21:02:42.049850Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-company-a-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.095,0.09,0.045,0.006]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846381","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-company-d-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to Microsoft?","group_item_title":"Microsoft","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-b-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-869-jOtIal0kzPhu.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-b-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-869-jOtIal0kzPhu.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0025,0.9975],"probability":0.0025,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T15:34:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":336.06999999999994,"volume_24hr":281.07,"prob_24h_change":-0.4375,"volume_24h_change":281.07,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.876643180847168,"normalized_volume":9.938881874084473,"liquidity":1231.61262,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T21:03:32.965921Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T21:02:42.049850Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-company-d-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.125,0.085,0.0345,0.006]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846360","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-google-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to Anthropic?","group_item_title":"Anthropic","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071621024631-39p_KrIfUFl8.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071621024631-39p_KrIfUFl8.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0015,0.9985],"probability":0.0015,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T15:34:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":470.16049999999996,"volume_24hr":470.1605,"prob_24h_change":-0.23349999999999999,"volume_24h_change":470.1605,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.514997482299805,"normalized_volume":11.115586280822754,"liquidity":1610.0567,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T21:05:31.395130Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T21:02:42.049850Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-google-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.235,0.04,0.04,0.0295,0.002,0.0015]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846365","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-spacexai-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to OpenAI?","group_item_title":"OpenAI","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-3eaAmSON076D.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-3eaAmSON076D.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0015,0.9985],"probability":0.0015,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T15:34:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":448.15099999999995,"volume_24hr":448.151,"prob_24h_change":-0.23349999999999999,"volume_24h_change":448.151,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.259279251098633,"normalized_volume":10.943471908569336,"liquidity":1227.9852,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T21:05:31.395130Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T21:02:42.049850Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-spacexai-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.235,0.05,0.04,0.0245,0.0015,0.0015]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846371","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-minimax-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to DeepSeek?","group_item_title":"DeepSeek","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deepseek-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-puDB2eDJx4-L.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deepseek-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-puDB2eDJx4-L.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0015,0.9985],"probability":0.0015,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T15:34:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":460.16,"volume_24hr":460.15999999999997,"prob_24h_change":-0.2535,"volume_24h_change":460.15999999999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.400074005126953,"normalized_volume":11.03823471069336,"liquidity":1411.1509,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T21:05:31.395130Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T21:02:42.049850Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-minimax-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.08,0.028,0.025,0.0035,0.0025]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846372","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-kandinsky-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to Amazon?","group_item_title":"Amazon","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-amazon-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-wcK7g7FkC7NK.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-amazon-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-wcK7g7FkC7NK.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0015,0.9985],"probability":0.0015,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T15:34:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":479.75999999999993,"volume_24hr":479.76,"prob_24h_change":-0.2435,"volume_24h_change":479.76,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.6234073638916,"normalized_volume":11.188552856445312,"liquidity":1035.81466,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T21:05:31.395130Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T21:02:42.049850Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-kandinsky-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.245,0.065,0.1195,0.1145,0.002,0.0015]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846383","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-company-f-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to Company B?","group_item_title":"Company B","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T17:04:15.568554Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-company-f-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846384","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-company-g-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to Company C?","group_item_title":"Company C","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T17:04:15.568554Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-company-g-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846385","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-company-h-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to Company D?","group_item_title":"Company D","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T17:04:15.568554Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-company-h-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846386","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-company-i-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to Company E?","group_item_title":"Company E","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T17:04:15.568554Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-company-i-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846387","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-company-j-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to Company F?","group_item_title":"Company F","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T17:04:15.568554Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-company-j-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846388","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-company-k-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to Company G?","group_item_title":"Company G","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T17:04:15.568554Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-company-k-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846389","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-company-l-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to Company H?","group_item_title":"Company H","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T17:04:15.568554Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-company-l-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846390","event_id":"904623","slug":"will-company-m-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to Company I?","group_item_title":"Company I","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T17:04:15.568554Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/will-company-m-have-the-best-text-to-video-ai-at-the-end-of-october-2026-copy","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846391","event_id":"904623","slug":"does-ox-alpha-belong-to-company-k","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to Company K?","group_item_title":"Company K","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T17:04:15.568554Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/does-ox-alpha-belong-to-company-k","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3846392","event_id":"904623","slug":"does-ox-alpha-belong-to-any-other-company","question":"Does Ox Alpha belong to any other company?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.\n\nA qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.\n\nIf two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.\n\nIf Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T17:04:15.568554Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:04:54.749793Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-does-ox-alpha-belong-to/does-ox-alpha-belong-to-any-other-company","event_title":"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/904623","as_of":"2026-08-24T21:18:12.548432Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?\" — top market at 84% probability across 33 outcomes","source_url":null}}