{"source":"polymarket","id":"90601","ticker":"will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027","slug":"will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027","title":"Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?","description":"On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-new-quantum-chip-willow-threaten-bitcoin-the-crypto-community-responds/).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bitcoin-migrate-from-sha-256-before-june-DEFGP-CsIMEm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bitcoin-migrate-from-sha-256-before-june-DEFGP-CsIMEm.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-26T00:18:42.591000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":196224.33959500008,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.79056167602539,"liquidity":8456.2434,"open_interest":15967.831724,"categories":["Crypto","Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"101499","slug":"quantum","label":"quantum"},{"id":"105291","slug":"protocol-upgrade","label":"Protocol Upgrade"},{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"74","slug":"science","label":"Science"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.0235,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-09T01:03:11.053359Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T01:03:11.053359Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"704784","event_id":"90601","slug":"will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027","question":"Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-new-quantum-chip-willow-threaten-bitcoin-the-crypto-community-responds/).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bitcoin-migrate-from-sha-256-before-june-DEFGP-CsIMEm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bitcoin-migrate-from-sha-256-before-june-DEFGP-CsIMEm.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0235,0.9765],"probability":0.0235,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-26T00:18:42.591000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":196224.33959500008,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":43.57558059692383,"liquidity":2669.45592,"categories":["Crypto","Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T22:00:53.878496Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T22:00:53.878496Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027/will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027","event_title":"Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/90601","as_of":"2026-09-09T01:16:51.490797Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?\" — top market at 2% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}