{"source":"polymarket","id":"90601","ticker":"will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027","slug":"will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027","title":"Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?","description":"On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-new-quantum-chip-willow-threaten-bitcoin-the-crypto-community-responds/).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bitcoin-migrate-from-sha-256-before-june-DEFGP-CsIMEm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bitcoin-migrate-from-sha-256-before-june-DEFGP-CsIMEm.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-26T00:22:27.055740Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":186332.70450399927,"volume_24hr":22.505262000000002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.044356346130371,"normalized_volume":32.3200798034668,"liquidity":7973.52305,"open_interest":16867.439382,"categories":["Crypto","Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"74","slug":"science","label":"Science"},{"id":"101499","slug":"quantum","label":"quantum"},{"id":"105291","slug":"protocol-upgrade","label":"Protocol Upgrade"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.051,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":17.794433,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:19:58.233420Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:19:58.233420Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027","chart_24h":[4.710829,4.710829,4.710829,4.710829,4.710829,4.710829,4.710829,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,20.0,20.0,20.0,20.0,22.505262000000002,22.505262000000002,22.505262000000002,22.505262000000002,22.505262000000002,22.505262000000002,22.505262000000002,22.505262000000002,22.505262000000002],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"704784","event_id":"90601","slug":"will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027","question":"Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-new-quantum-chip-willow-threaten-bitcoin-the-crypto-community-responds/).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bitcoin-migrate-from-sha-256-before-june-DEFGP-CsIMEm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bitcoin-migrate-from-sha-256-before-june-DEFGP-CsIMEm.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.051,0.949],"probability":0.051,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-26T00:18:42.591000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":186332.70450399927,"volume_24hr":22.505262000000002,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":17.794433,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.141022205352783,"normalized_volume":37.77494430541992,"liquidity":7461.08696,"categories":["Crypto","Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:22:48.983640Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T05:14:50.062094Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027/will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027","event_title":"Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/90601","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:31:56.022224Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?\" — top market at 5% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}