{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/90601","as_of":"2026-10-24T04:11:04.655305Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?\" — 2% as of 2026-10-24 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/90601","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027"},"source":"polymarket","id":"90601","ticker":"will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027","slug":"will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027","title":"Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?","description":"On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-new-quantum-chip-willow-threaten-bitcoin-the-crypto-community-responds/).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bitcoin-migrate-from-sha-256-before-june-DEFGP-CsIMEm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bitcoin-migrate-from-sha-256-before-june-DEFGP-CsIMEm.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-26T00:18:42.591000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":198264.57125300003,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.78899002075195,"liquidity":7526.54972,"open_interest":16222.873835,"categories":["Crypto","Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"101499","slug":"quantum","label":"quantum"},{"id":"105291","slug":"protocol-upgrade","label":"Protocol Upgrade"},{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"74","slug":"science","label":"Science"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.017,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0005000000000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T04:04:06.958897Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T04:04:06.958897Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"704784","event_id":"90601","slug":"will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027","question":"Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-new-quantum-chip-willow-threaten-bitcoin-the-crypto-community-responds/).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bitcoin-migrate-from-sha-256-before-june-DEFGP-CsIMEm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bitcoin-migrate-from-sha-256-before-june-DEFGP-CsIMEm.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.017,0.983],"probability":0.017,"spread":0.014,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-26T00:18:42.591000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":198264.57125300003,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0005000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":43.64958190917969,"liquidity":7319.47365,"categories":["Crypto","Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T14:27:35.458355Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T14:27:35.458355Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027/will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027","event_title":"Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.0165,0.017,0.0165,0.017]}]}