{"source":"polymarket","id":"927443","ticker":"mlb-2026-war-leader","slug":"mlb-2026-war-leader","title":"MLB: 2026 WAR Leader","description":"This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR).\n\nIn the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mlb-world-series-champion-2026-rkeTAlOlLnmk.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mlb-world-series-champion-2026-rkeTAlOlLnmk.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-28T19:59:58Z","end_date":"2026-09-27T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2667.5868,"volume_24hr":1356.7,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.63330078125,"normalized_volume":14.156454086303711,"liquidity":2495.06849,"open_interest":667.3945689999999,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"678","slug":"baseball","label":"baseball"},{"id":"100381","slug":"mlb","label":"MLB"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Pete Crow-Armstrong","top_outcome_probability":0.932,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.009000000000000008,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":218.25,"updated_at":"2026-09-15T02:41:40.697162Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T02:41:40.697162Z","added_at":"2026-08-28T20:22:32.900940Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-2026-war-leader","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,637.06,637.06,637.06,637.06,637.06,637.06,637.06,637.06,637.06,1266.79,1356.7,1356.7,1356.7],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3958229","event_id":"927443","slug":"will-pete-crow-armstrong-lead-mlb-in-war-for-the-2026-season","question":"Will Pete Crow-Armstrong lead MLB in WAR for the 2026 season?","group_item_title":"Pete Crow-Armstrong","description":"This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR).\n\nIn the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); 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however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.005,0.995],"probability":0.005,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-28T19:59:58Z","end_date":"2026-09-27T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":299.36,"volume_24hr":162.09,"prob_24h_change":-0.002,"volume_24h_change":162.09,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.387837409973145,"normalized_volume":9.54897403717041,"liquidity":220.23079,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T02:41:41.483717Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T02:41:41.483717Z","added_at":"2026-08-28T20:22:33.174949Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-2026-war-leader/will-bobby-witt-jrpt-lead-mlb-in-war-for-the-2026-season","event_title":"MLB: 2026 WAR Leader","chart_24h":[0.007,0.003,0.0025,0.003,0.009,0.0025,0.0025,0.0025,0.0025,0.002,0.0025,0.0025,0.0075]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3958237","event_id":"927443","slug":"will-dylan-cease-lead-mlb-in-war-for-the-2026-season","question":"Will Dylan Cease lead MLB in WAR for the 2026 season?","group_item_title":"Dylan Cease","description":"This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR).\n\nIn the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.005,0.995],"probability":0.005,"spread":0.004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-28T19:59:58Z","end_date":"2026-09-27T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":236.03,"volume_24hr":142.09,"prob_24h_change":-0.008,"volume_24h_change":142.09,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.861141204833984,"normalized_volume":8.77273178100586,"liquidity":248.37948,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T02:41:41.483717Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T02:41:41.483717Z","added_at":"2026-08-28T20:22:33.174949Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-2026-war-leader/will-dylan-cease-lead-mlb-in-war-for-the-2026-season","event_title":"MLB: 2026 WAR Leader","chart_24h":[0.013,0.0135,0.013,0.0135,0.013,0.012,0.004,0.004,0.0035,0.0035]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3958232","event_id":"927443","slug":"will-yordan-alvarez-lead-mlb-in-war-for-the-2026-season","question":"Will Yordan Alvarez lead MLB in WAR for the 2026 season?","group_item_title":"Yordan Alvarez","description":"This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR).\n\nIn the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.004,0.996],"probability":0.004,"spread":0.004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-28T19:59:58Z","end_date":"2026-09-27T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":325.19,"volume_24hr":142.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0015,"volume_24h_change":142.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.858641624450684,"normalized_volume":9.827141761779785,"liquidity":424.16285,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T02:19:00.250302Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T02:19:00.250302Z","added_at":"2026-08-28T20:22:33.174949Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-2026-war-leader/will-yordan-alvarez-lead-mlb-in-war-for-the-2026-season","event_title":"MLB: 2026 WAR Leader","chart_24h":[0.0025,0.002,0.005,0.0035,0.0045,0.002,0.0025,0.002,0.006,0.0065,0.006,0.0065,0.006,0.006,0.0055,0.0055,0.0045,0.0035]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3958236","event_id":"927443","slug":"will-cam-schlittler-lead-mlb-in-war-for-the-2026-season","question":"Will Cam Schlittler lead MLB in WAR for the 2026 season?","group_item_title":"Cam Schlittler","description":"This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR).\n\nIn the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.004,0.996],"probability":0.004,"spread":0.004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-28T19:59:58Z","end_date":"2026-09-27T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":236.03,"volume_24hr":142.09,"prob_24h_change":0.0015,"volume_24h_change":142.09,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.861141204833984,"normalized_volume":8.77273178100586,"liquidity":278.5833,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T01:12:47.343088Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T01:12:47.343088Z","added_at":"2026-08-28T20:22:33.174949Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-2026-war-leader/will-cam-schlittler-lead-mlb-in-war-for-the-2026-season","event_title":"MLB: 2026 WAR Leader","chart_24h":[0.0025,0.003,0.005,0.0035,0.004,0.002,0.003,0.004,0.003,0.0055,0.0035,0.003,0.003,0.0045,0.0025,0.0035,0.0055,0.0025,0.003,0.0025,0.002,0.002,0.0025,0.004]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3958233","event_id":"927443","slug":"will-jacob-misiorowski-lead-mlb-in-war-for-the-2026-season","question":"Will Jacob Misiorowski lead MLB in WAR for the 2026 season?","group_item_title":"Jacob Misiorowski","description":"This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR).\n\nIn the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.002,0.998],"probability":0.002,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-28T19:59:58Z","end_date":"2026-09-27T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":235.94,"volume_24hr":142.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.001,"volume_24h_change":142.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.858641624450684,"normalized_volume":8.771513938903809,"liquidity":283.57372,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T01:12:47.343088Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T01:12:47.343088Z","added_at":"2026-08-28T20:22:33.174949Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-2026-war-leader/will-jacob-misiorowski-lead-mlb-in-war-for-the-2026-season","event_title":"MLB: 2026 WAR Leader","chart_24h":[0.003,0.003,0.005,0.003,0.004,0.003,0.0035,0.0035,0.003,0.003,0.004,0.003,0.0025,0.0025,0.005,0.0025,0.003,0.0025,0.003,0.0025,0.002,0.002]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3958235","event_id":"927443","slug":"will-dillon-dingler-lead-mlb-in-war-for-the-2026-season","question":"Will Dillon Dingler lead MLB in WAR for the 2026 season?","group_item_title":"Dillon Dingler","description":"This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR).\n\nIn the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.002,0.998],"probability":0.002,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-28T19:59:58Z","end_date":"2026-09-27T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":255.94,"volume_24hr":162.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0015,"volume_24h_change":162.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.38558578491211,"normalized_volume":9.03343677520752,"liquidity":339.773,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T02:19:00.250302Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T02:19:00.250302Z","added_at":"2026-08-28T20:22:33.174949Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-2026-war-leader/will-dillon-dingler-lead-mlb-in-war-for-the-2026-season","event_title":"MLB: 2026 WAR Leader","chart_24h":[0.0035,0.0045,0.006,0.0035,0.006,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.005,0.0035,0.004,0.005,0.005,0.004,0.004,0.0025,0.0025,0.003,0.0035,0.007,0.003,0.0065,0.0025,0.046,0.017,0.03,0.0025,0.0035]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3958239","event_id":"927443","slug":"will-another-entrant-lead-mlb-in-war-for-the-2026-season","question":"Will another entrant lead MLB in WAR for the 2026 season?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR).\n\nIn the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-09-27T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-28T20:52:19.802390Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-28T20:22:33.174949Z","added_at":"2026-08-28T20:22:33.174949Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-2026-war-leader/will-another-entrant-lead-mlb-in-war-for-the-2026-season","event_title":"MLB: 2026 WAR Leader","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/927443","as_of":"2026-09-15T02:47:57.593719Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"MLB: 2026 WAR Leader\" — top market at 93% probability across 11 outcomes","source_url":null}}