{"source":"polymarket","id":"927827","ticker":"nigerian-senate-election-winner","slug":"nigerian-senate-election-winner","title":"Nigerian Senate Election Winner","description":"National Assembly elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate of Nigeria's National Assembly in this election.\n\nIf the party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate is not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in the market options appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates elected under the specified party in the Senate. Seats will not be combined between parties on the basis of endorsements, alliances, coalitions, or other forms of political cooperation. Any changes in party affiliation or seat holdings after the election, including defections, floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the results of this election are those declared by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) at the conclusion of the election, including the results of any supplementary or rerun polls conducted to complete the declaration of results for constituencies initially declared inconclusive. Judicial outcomes after the declaration of results, including any election petition tribunal or appellate ruling that nullifies a result, substitutes a declared winner, or orders a fresh election, will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigerian-presidential-election-winner-Hg64FxqmUxqR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigerian-presidential-election-winner-Hg64FxqmUxqR.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-28T21:59:36Z","end_date":"2027-01-16T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1286.227722,"volume_24hr":1286.2277219999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.237442016601562,"normalized_volume":11.669243812561035,"liquidity":54900.27431,"open_interest":731.204392,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"100614","slug":"africa","label":"africa"},{"id":"102792","slug":"nigeria","label":"Nigeria"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"105158","slug":"nigerian-election","label":"Nigerian Election"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"APC","top_outcome_probability":0.89,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.47000000000000003,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":396.728322,"updated_at":"2026-08-29T05:36:39.461676Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-29T05:36:39.461676Z","added_at":"2026-08-28T22:05:13.398279Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nigerian-senate-election-winner","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,188.0,1005.364814,1048.364814,1137.455722,1249.7077219999999,1286.2277219999999],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3960807","event_id":"927827","slug":"will-the-all-progressives-congress-apc-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-nigerian-senate-election","question":"Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?","group_item_title":"APC","description":"National Assembly elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate of Nigeria's National Assembly in this election.\n\nIf the party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate is not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in the market options appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates elected under the specified party in the Senate. Seats will not be combined between parties on the basis of endorsements, alliances, coalitions, or other forms of political cooperation. Any changes in party affiliation or seat holdings after the election, including defections, floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the results of this election are those declared by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) at the conclusion of the election, including the results of any supplementary or rerun polls conducted to complete the declaration of results for constituencies initially declared inconclusive. Judicial outcomes after the declaration of results, including any election petition tribunal or appellate ruling that nullifies a result, substitutes a declared winner, or orders a fresh election, will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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Seats will not be combined between parties on the basis of endorsements, alliances, coalitions, or other forms of political cooperation. Any changes in party affiliation or seat holdings after the election, including defections, floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the results of this election are those declared by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) at the conclusion of the election, including the results of any supplementary or rerun polls conducted to complete the declaration of results for constituencies initially declared inconclusive. Judicial outcomes after the declaration of results, including any election petition tribunal or appellate ruling that nullifies a result, substitutes a declared winner, or orders a fresh election, will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-peoples-democratic-party-pdp-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-nigerian-se-_yXj2r_9sR25.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-peoples-democratic-party-pdp-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-nigerian-se-_yXj2r_9sR25.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-28T21:59:36Z","end_date":"2027-01-16T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":689.4874,"volume_24hr":689.4874,"prob_24h_change":-0.33999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":689.4874,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.48318099975586,"normalized_volume":12.538858413696289,"liquidity":11167.1039,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Nigeria"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T05:37:09.550485Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-29T05:36:39.685862Z","added_at":"2026-08-28T22:05:13.514648Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nigerian-senate-election-winner/will-the-peoples-democratic-party-pdp-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-nigerian-senate-election","event_title":"Nigerian Senate Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.42,0.245,0.275,0.35,0.065,0.05,0.045,0.08,0.075]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3960809","event_id":"927827","slug":"will-the-nigeria-democratic-congress-ndc-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-nigerian-senate-election","question":"Will the Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?","group_item_title":"NDC","description":"National Assembly elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate of Nigeria's National Assembly in this election.\n\nIf the party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate is not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in the market options appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates elected under the specified party in the Senate. Seats will not be combined between parties on the basis of endorsements, alliances, coalitions, or other forms of political cooperation. Any changes in party affiliation or seat holdings after the election, including defections, floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the results of this election are those declared by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) at the conclusion of the election, including the results of any supplementary or rerun polls conducted to complete the declaration of results for constituencies initially declared inconclusive. Judicial outcomes after the declaration of results, including any election petition tribunal or appellate ruling that nullifies a result, substitutes a declared winner, or orders a fresh election, will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-nigeria-democratic-congress-ndc-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-nigerian-y06nLoPY3yu_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-nigeria-democratic-congress-ndc-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-nigerian-y06nLoPY3yu_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0235,0.9765],"probability":0.0235,"spread":0.041,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-28T21:59:36Z","end_date":"2027-01-16T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":44.001999999999995,"volume_24hr":44.001999999999995,"prob_24h_change":-0.39649999999999996,"volume_24h_change":44.001999999999995,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.267087936401367,"normalized_volume":4.251547813415527,"liquidity":9115.0361,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Nigeria"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T05:37:09.550485Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-29T05:36:39.685862Z","added_at":"2026-08-28T22:05:13.514648Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nigerian-senate-election-winner/will-the-nigeria-democratic-congress-ndc-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-nigerian-senate-election","event_title":"Nigerian Senate Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.42,0.25,0.06,0.045,0.04,0.0415,0.0155,0.0155,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3960808","event_id":"927827","slug":"will-the-african-democratic-congress-adc-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-nigerian-senate-election","question":"Will the African Democratic Congress (ADC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?","group_item_title":"ADC","description":"National Assembly elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate of Nigeria's National Assembly in this election.\n\nIf the party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate is not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in the market options appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates elected under the specified party in the Senate. Seats will not be combined between parties on the basis of endorsements, alliances, coalitions, or other forms of political cooperation. Any changes in party affiliation or seat holdings after the election, including defections, floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the results of this election are those declared by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) at the conclusion of the election, including the results of any supplementary or rerun polls conducted to complete the declaration of results for constituencies initially declared inconclusive. Judicial outcomes after the declaration of results, including any election petition tribunal or appellate ruling that nullifies a result, substitutes a declared winner, or orders a fresh election, will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-african-democratic-congress-adc-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-nigerian-me5WowUQxxmP.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-african-democratic-congress-adc-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-nigerian-me5WowUQxxmP.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.022,0.978],"probability":0.022,"spread":0.038,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-28T21:59:36Z","end_date":"2027-01-16T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":80.0,"volume_24hr":80.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.39799999999999996,"volume_24h_change":80.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.351717948913574,"normalized_volume":5.665745735168457,"liquidity":9329.76008,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Nigeria"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T05:37:09.550485Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-29T05:36:39.685862Z","added_at":"2026-08-28T22:05:13.514648Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nigerian-senate-election-winner/will-the-african-democratic-congress-adc-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-nigerian-senate-election","event_title":"Nigerian Senate Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.42,0.26,0.12,0.055,0.05,0.05,0.031,0.0175]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3960811","event_id":"927827","slug":"will-the-labour-party-lp-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-nigerian-senate-election","question":"Will the Labour Party (LP) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?","group_item_title":"LP","description":"National Assembly elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate of Nigeria's National Assembly in this election.\n\nIf the party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate is not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in the market options appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates elected under the specified party in the Senate. Seats will not be combined between parties on the basis of endorsements, alliances, coalitions, or other forms of political cooperation. Any changes in party affiliation or seat holdings after the election, including defections, floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the results of this election are those declared by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) at the conclusion of the election, including the results of any supplementary or rerun polls conducted to complete the declaration of results for constituencies initially declared inconclusive. Judicial outcomes after the declaration of results, including any election petition tribunal or appellate ruling that nullifies a result, substitutes a declared winner, or orders a fresh election, will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-labour-party-lp-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-nigerian-senate-election-Lu33OKw5MLe9.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-labour-party-lp-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-nigerian-senate-election-Lu33OKw5MLe9.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.007,0.993],"probability":0.007,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-28T21:59:36Z","end_date":"2027-01-16T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.001999999999995,"volume_24hr":40.002,"prob_24h_change":-0.413,"volume_24h_change":40.002,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.964334964752197,"normalized_volume":4.0461626052856445,"liquidity":9408.27216,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Nigeria"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T05:37:09.550485Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-29T05:36:39.685862Z","added_at":"2026-08-28T22:05:13.514648Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nigerian-senate-election-winner/will-the-labour-party-lp-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-nigerian-senate-election","event_title":"Nigerian Senate Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.42,0.23,0.165,0.045,0.0595,0.0415,0.012,0.045,0.0115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3960812","event_id":"927827","slug":"will-the-new-nigeria-peoples-party-nnpp-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-nigerian-senate-election","question":"Will the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?","group_item_title":"NNPP","description":"National Assembly elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate of Nigeria's National Assembly in this election.\n\nIf the party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate is not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in the market options appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates elected under the specified party in the Senate. Seats will not be combined between parties on the basis of endorsements, alliances, coalitions, or other forms of political cooperation. Any changes in party affiliation or seat holdings after the election, including defections, floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the results of this election are those declared by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) at the conclusion of the election, including the results of any supplementary or rerun polls conducted to complete the declaration of results for constituencies initially declared inconclusive. Judicial outcomes after the declaration of results, including any election petition tribunal or appellate ruling that nullifies a result, substitutes a declared winner, or orders a fresh election, will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-new-nigeria-peoples-party-nnpp-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-nigerian-4tSM7wemdu9r.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-new-nigeria-peoples-party-nnpp-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-nigerian-4tSM7wemdu9r.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.007,0.993],"probability":0.007,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-28T21:59:36Z","end_date":"2027-01-16T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":36.008,"volume_24hr":36.008,"prob_24h_change":-0.413,"volume_24h_change":36.008,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.639676094055176,"normalized_volume":3.825916051864624,"liquidity":1052.53484,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Nigeria"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T04:16:41.551138Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-29T04:14:13.451653Z","added_at":"2026-08-28T22:05:13.514648Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nigerian-senate-election-winner/will-the-new-nigeria-peoples-party-nnpp-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-nigerian-senate-election","event_title":"Nigerian Senate Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.42,0.24,0.075,0.055,0.057,0.045,0.011,0.007]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3960847","event_id":"927827","slug":"will-another-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-nigerian-senate-election","question":"Will another party win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"National Assembly elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate of Nigeria's National Assembly in this election.\n\nIf the party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate is not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in the market options appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates elected under the specified party in the Senate. Seats will not be combined between parties on the basis of endorsements, alliances, coalitions, or other forms of political cooperation. Any changes in party affiliation or seat holdings after the election, including defections, floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the results of this election are those declared by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) at the conclusion of the election, including the results of any supplementary or rerun polls conducted to complete the declaration of results for constituencies initially declared inconclusive. Judicial outcomes after the declaration of results, including any election petition tribunal or appellate ruling that nullifies a result, substitutes a declared winner, or orders a fresh election, will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigerian-presidential-election-winner-Hg64FxqmUxqR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nigerian-presidential-election-winner-Hg64FxqmUxqR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2027-01-16T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Nigeria"],"updated_at":"2026-08-28T22:35:18.064488Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-28T22:05:13.514648Z","added_at":"2026-08-28T22:05:13.514648Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nigerian-senate-election-winner/will-another-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-nigerian-senate-election","event_title":"Nigerian Senate Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/927827","as_of":"2026-08-29T05:42:11.144453Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Nigerian Senate Election Winner\" — top market at 8% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}