{"source":"polymarket","id":"931249","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-31-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-31-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 31 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 31 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-29T16:07:10Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":36056.46949699999,"volume_24hr":36036.469497000006,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":44.677879333496094,"normalized_volume":25.059274673461914,"liquidity":44107.4944,"open_interest":27956.817363,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.455,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.044999999999999984,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":36004.508714,"updated_at":"2026-08-30T21:41:11.403627Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-30T21:41:11.403627Z","added_at":"2026-08-29T16:24:32.933574Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-31-2026","chart_24h":[20.0,31.960783,31.960783,31.960783,31.960783,31.960783,31.960783,31.960783,31.960783,33.921566,33.921566,33.921566,327.323201,327.323201,327.323201,345.383201,410.252094,591.0120939999999,671.012094,671.012094,18333.752832000002,21019.676019,26693.63651,26966.850261999996,27211.439836999998,27541.337925999997,30131.793586000003,31679.623131,36036.469497000006],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3975623","event_id":"931249","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-31-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 31?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 31 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 31 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.455,0.545],"probability":0.455,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-29T16:07:10Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":36056.46949699999,"volume_24hr":36036.469497000006,"prob_24h_change":-0.044999999999999984,"volume_24h_change":36004.508714,"normalized_vol_24hr":45.21991729736328,"normalized_volume":32.30254364013672,"liquidity":44040.3606,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-30T21:41:11.703892Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-30T21:41:11.703892Z","added_at":"2026-08-29T16:24:33.136787Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-31-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-31-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 31?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.525,0.525,0.535,0.535,0.535,0.53,0.585,0.635,0.545,0.555,0.565,0.535,0.525,0.365,0.455]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/931249","as_of":"2026-08-30T21:54:03.436318Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 31?\" — top market at 46% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}