{"source":"polymarket","id":"933059","ticker":"ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12","slug":"ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12","title":"Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)","description":"This market will resolve to \"Tommy McMillen\" if Tommy McMillen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marwan Rahiki at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Marwan Rahiki\" if Marwan Rahiki is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-29T22:00:19Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3255.646428,"volume_24hr":3084.4836400000004,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.02751922607422,"normalized_volume":14.885340690612793,"liquidity":23738.647,"open_interest":2751.560278,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"279","slug":"ufc","label":"UFC"},{"id":"100639","slug":"games","label":"Games"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki","top_outcome_probability":0.605,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3061.3636400000005,"updated_at":"2026-09-06T21:39:39.569420Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-06T21:39:39.569420Z","added_at":"2026-08-29T22:02:39.524963Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12","chart_24h":[23.12,23.12,23.12,23.12,23.12,23.12,161.334284,161.334284,161.334284,161.334284,161.334284,161.334284,161.334284,161.334284,161.334284,161.334284,166.334284,166.334284,166.334284,166.334284,166.334284,166.334284,166.334284,166.334284,166.334284,166.334284,178.529404,167.604524,167.604524,167.604524,2604.7411880000004,2707.6361400000005,3084.4836400000004],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3985525","event_id":"933059","slug":"ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12","question":"Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)","group_item_title":"Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki","description":"This market will resolve to \"Tommy McMillen\" if Tommy McMillen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marwan Rahiki at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Marwan Rahiki\" if Marwan Rahiki is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Tommy McMillen","Marwan Rahiki"],"outcome_prices":[0.605,0.395],"probability":0.605,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-29T22:00:20Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3255.646428,"volume_24hr":3084.4836400000004,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":3061.3636400000005,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.43173599243164,"normalized_volume":19.194602966308594,"liquidity":22997.3663,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-06T21:17:25.084571Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-06T21:17:25.084571Z","added_at":"2026-08-29T22:02:39.575207Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12/ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12","event_title":"Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.595,0.6,0.6,0.595,0.595,0.595,0.595,0.595,0.595,0.595,0.615,0.615,0.605]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3985528","event_id":"933059","slug":"ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12-mcmillen-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will Tommy McMillen win by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"McMillen to win by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Tommy McMillen defeats Marwan Rahiki at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.585,0.415],"probability":0.585,"spread":0.77,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-29T22:00:20Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.07999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":81.4999,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-06T16:12:32.648976Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-06T16:12:32.648976Z","added_at":"2026-08-29T22:02:39.575207Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12/ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12-mcmillen-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.505,0.5,0.585]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3985530","event_id":"933059","slug":"ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12-win-by-submission","question":"Will the fight be won by submission?","group_item_title":"Fight won by submission?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Tommy McMillen and Marwan Rahiki at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.585,0.415],"probability":0.585,"spread":0.77,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-29T22:00:19Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.07999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":89.8198,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-06T16:12:32.648976Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-06T16:12:32.648976Z","added_at":"2026-08-29T22:02:39.575207Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12/ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12-win-by-submission","event_title":"Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.505,0.585]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3985529","event_id":"933059","slug":"ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12-rahiki-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will Marwan Rahiki win by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Rahiki to win by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Marwan Rahiki defeats Tommy McMillen at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.9,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-29T22:00:21Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":68.8592,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-06T20:13:00.491626Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-06T20:13:00.491626Z","added_at":"2026-08-29T22:02:39.575207Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12/ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12-rahiki-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3985526","event_id":"933059","slug":"ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12-go-the-distance","question":"Fight to Go the Distance?","group_item_title":"Fight to Go the Distance?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Tommy McMillen and Marwan Rahiki at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nDraws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve \"Yes.\" Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.505,0.495],"probability":0.505,"spread":0.91,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-29T22:00:20Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":31.9796,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-06T21:17:25.084571Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-06T21:17:25.084571Z","added_at":"2026-08-29T22:02:39.575207Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12/ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12-go-the-distance","event_title":"Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.51,0.505]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3985531","event_id":"933059","slug":"ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12-totals-0pt5","question":"O/U 0.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 0.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Tommy McMillen and Marwan Rahiki at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 0.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.\n\n\"Under 0.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 26, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.88,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-29T22:00:20Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":53.5199,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-06T13:15:30.007135Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-06T13:15:30.007135Z","added_at":"2026-08-29T22:02:39.575207Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12/ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12-totals-0pt5","event_title":"Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.495,0.5,0.495,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3985533","event_id":"933059","slug":"ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12-totals-1pt5","question":"O/U 1.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 1.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Tommy McMillen and Marwan Rahiki at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 1.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.\n\n\"Under 1.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 26, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.9,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-29T22:00:21Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":20.0895,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-06T04:30:14.863942Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-06T04:30:14.863942Z","added_at":"2026-08-29T22:02:39.575207Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12/ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12-totals-1pt5","event_title":"Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3985534","event_id":"933059","slug":"ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12-totals-2pt5","question":"O/U 2.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 2.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Tommy McMillen and Marwan Rahiki at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 2.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.\n\n\"Under 2.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 26, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.9,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-29T22:00:20Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":19.9396,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-06T04:30:14.863942Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-06T04:30:14.863942Z","added_at":"2026-08-29T22:02:39.575207Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12/ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12-totals-2pt5","event_title":"Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3985527","event_id":"933059","slug":"ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Fight won by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Tommy McMillen and Marwan Rahiki at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.495,0.505],"probability":0.495,"spread":0.93,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-29T22:00:19Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":38.86,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-06T01:54:28.066509Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-06T01:54:28.066509Z","added_at":"2026-08-29T22:02:39.575207Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12/ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)","chart_24h":[0.49,0.495]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/933059","as_of":"2026-09-06T22:03:45.924082Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)\" — top market at 60% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}