{"source":"polymarket","id":"933071","ticker":"ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12","slug":"ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12","title":"Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)","description":"This market will resolve to \"Rafa Garcia\" if Rafa Garcia is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rongzhu at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Rongzhu\" if Rongzhu is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-29T22:00:44Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2270.617553,"volume_24hr":1600.704515,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.81554412841797,"normalized_volume":13.588543891906738,"liquidity":29184.5618,"open_interest":2168.622553,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"279","slug":"ufc","label":"UFC"},{"id":"100639","slug":"games","label":"Games"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Fight to Go the Distance?","top_outcome_probability":0.775,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.28500000000000003,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T04:05:08.849183Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T04:05:08.849183Z","added_at":"2026-08-29T22:02:39.524963Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12","chart_24h":[545.0827840000001,545.0827840000001,518.032784,518.032784,518.032784,518.032784,518.032784,515.532784,515.532784,515.532784,515.532784,518.032784,518.032784,518.032784,523.082784,523.082784,500.582784,508.582784,508.582784,508.582784,508.582784,987.7557099999999,987.7557099999999,989.3686119999999,989.3686119999999,1593.704515,1618.704515,1628.704515,1657.704515,1600.704515],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3985686","event_id":"933071","slug":"ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12","question":"Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)","group_item_title":"Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu","description":"This market will resolve to \"Rafa Garcia\" if Rafa Garcia is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rongzhu at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Rongzhu\" if Rongzhu is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Rafa Garcia","Rongzhu"],"outcome_prices":[0.375,0.625],"probability":0.375,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-29T22:00:45Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2270.617553,"volume_24hr":1600.704515,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":1055.6217309999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.0180721282959,"normalized_volume":17.5230712890625,"liquidity":24903.5147,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T03:40:29.545372Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T03:40:29.545372Z","added_at":"2026-08-29T22:02:39.575207Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12/ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12","event_title":"Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.395,0.395,0.395,0.395,0.395,0.395,0.385,0.385,0.385,0.385,0.385,0.385,0.375,0.375,0.375,0.375,0.375]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3985688","event_id":"933071","slug":"ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12-go-the-distance","question":"Fight to Go the Distance?","group_item_title":"Fight to Go the Distance?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Rafa Garcia and Rongzhu at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nDraws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve \"Yes.\" Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.775,0.225],"probability":0.775,"spread":0.35,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-29T22:00:45Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.28500000000000003,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":94.5115,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T04:05:09.115672Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T04:05:09.115672Z","added_at":"2026-08-29T22:02:39.575207Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12/ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12-go-the-distance","event_title":"Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.505,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.775,0.775,0.775,0.775,0.785,0.78,0.785,0.78,0.78,0.775]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3985699","event_id":"933071","slug":"ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12-totals-1pt5","question":"O/U 1.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 1.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Rafa Garcia and Rongzhu at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 1.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.\n\n\"Under 1.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 26, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.42,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-29T22:00:45Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":263.8342,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T04:05:09.115672Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T04:05:09.115672Z","added_at":"2026-08-29T22:02:39.575207Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12/ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12-totals-1pt5","event_title":"Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.725,0.735,0.735,0.725,0.72,0.72,0.715,0.72,0.705,0.72,0.715,0.63,0.71,0.715,0.62,0.725,0.72,0.72,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.62,0.695,0.725,0.73,0.73]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3985701","event_id":"933071","slug":"ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12-totals-2pt5","question":"O/U 2.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 2.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Rafa Garcia and Rongzhu at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 2.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.\n\n\"Under 2.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 26, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.695,0.305],"probability":0.695,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-29T22:00:44Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.009999999999999898,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":3613.2221,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-07T07:37:10.030401Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-07T07:37:10.030401Z","added_at":"2026-08-29T22:02:39.575207Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12/ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12-totals-2pt5","event_title":"Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.685,0.695,0.695]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3985697","event_id":"933071","slug":"ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12-totals-0pt5","question":"O/U 0.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 0.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to \"Over\" if the fight between Rafa Garcia and Rongzhu at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to \"Under\" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n\"Over 0.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.\n\n\"Under 0.5 Rounds\" will resolve \"Yes\" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 26, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.55,0.45],"probability":0.55,"spread":0.8,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-29T22:00:46Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.16999999999999993,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":317.5812,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T04:05:09.115672Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T04:05:09.115672Z","added_at":"2026-08-29T22:02:39.575207Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12/ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12-totals-0pt5","event_title":"Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.72,0.615,0.61,0.605,0.59,0.585,0.565,0.555,0.545,0.55]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3985690","event_id":"933071","slug":"ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Fight won by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Rafa Garcia and Rongzhu at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.96,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-29T22:00:44Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":28.4236,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T04:05:09.115672Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T04:05:09.115672Z","added_at":"2026-08-29T22:02:39.575207Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12/ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3985691","event_id":"933071","slug":"ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12-garcia-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will Rafa Garcia win by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Garcia to win by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Rafa Garcia defeats Rongzhu at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.96,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-29T22:00:45Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":28.2836,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T04:05:09.115672Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T04:05:09.115672Z","added_at":"2026-08-29T22:02:39.575207Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12/ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12-garcia-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3985693","event_id":"933071","slug":"ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12-rongzhu-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will Rongzhu win by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Rongzhu to win by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Rongzhu defeats Rafa Garcia at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.96,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-29T22:00:45Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":28.2236,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T04:05:09.115672Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T04:05:09.115672Z","added_at":"2026-08-29T22:02:39.575207Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12/ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12-rongzhu-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3985695","event_id":"933071","slug":"ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12-win-by-submission","question":"Will the fight be won by submission?","group_item_title":"Fight won by submission?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Rafa Garcia and Rongzhu at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.92,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-29T22:00:45Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":57.1636,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T04:05:09.115672Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T04:05:09.115672Z","added_at":"2026-08-29T22:02:39.575207Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12/ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12-win-by-submission","event_title":"Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.495,0.5,0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/933071","as_of":"2026-09-08T04:19:20.680616Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)\" — top market at 38% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}