{"source":"polymarket","id":"943657","ticker":"will-the-pq-win-a-majority-in-the-2026-quebec-general-election","slug":"will-the-pq-win-a-majority-in-the-2026-quebec-general-election","title":"Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-parti-qubcois-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-quebec-general-election-OCS2s19yx6_-.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-parti-qubcois-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-quebec-general-election-OCS2s19yx6_-.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T19:43:55Z","end_date":"2026-10-05T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3400.5443159999995,"volume_24hr":1954.829885,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.56740379333496,"normalized_volume":15.04111099243164,"liquidity":6535.1048,"open_interest":2574.429202,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"245","slug":"canada","label":"Canada"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"101206","slug":"world-elections","label":"World Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"105438","slug":"international-election-props","label":"International Election Props"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.225,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.08499999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1954.829885,"updated_at":"2026-09-14T14:50:43.948226Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T14:50:43.948226Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T20:01:24.083530Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-pq-win-a-majority-in-the-2026-quebec-general-election","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1730.925268,1730.925268,1795.945268,1795.945268,1795.945268],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4040588","event_id":"943657","slug":"will-the-pq-win-a-majority-in-the-2026-quebec-general-election","question":"Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-parti-qubcois-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-quebec-general-election-OCS2s19yx6_-.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-parti-qubcois-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-quebec-general-election-OCS2s19yx6_-.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.225,0.775],"probability":0.225,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T19:43:55Z","end_date":"2026-10-05T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3400.5443159999995,"volume_24hr":1954.829885,"prob_24h_change":0.08499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":1954.829885,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.256881713867188,"normalized_volume":19.40176773071289,"liquidity":6437.7398,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T14:30:12.356150Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T14:30:12.356150Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T20:01:24.191177Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-pq-win-a-majority-in-the-2026-quebec-general-election/will-the-pq-win-a-majority-in-the-2026-quebec-general-election","event_title":"Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.3,0.305,0.27,0.27,0.225]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/943657","as_of":"2026-09-14T14:54:55.322317Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?\" — top market at 22% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}