{"source":"polymarket","id":"943667","ticker":"laurier-dorion-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner","slug":"laurier-dorion-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner","title":"Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-qc-na-event-fleurdelis-dd4901e88d.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-qc-na-event-fleurdelis-dd4901e88d.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T19:49:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-05T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":46.8,"volume_24hr":46.8,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.644362449645996,"normalized_volume":3.403533697128296,"liquidity":328.5162,"open_interest":46.8,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"245","slug":"canada","label":"Canada"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"101206","slug":"world-elections","label":"World Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"106164","slug":"quebec-elections","label":"Quebec Elections"},{"id":"105438","slug":"international-election-props","label":"International Election Props"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Person A","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-01T08:19:06.587457Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T08:19:06.587457Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T20:01:24.083530Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/laurier-dorion-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,46.8,46.8,46.8,46.8,46.8,46.8,46.8,46.8,46.8,46.8,46.8],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4042826","event_id":"943667","slug":"will-derek-lefebvre-win-the-next-laurier-dorion-quebec-national-assembly-election","question":"Will Derek Lefebvre win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?","group_item_title":"Derek Lefebvre","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-qc-na-event-fleurdelis-dd4901e88d.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-qc-na-event-fleurdelis-dd4901e88d.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.255,0.745],"probability":0.255,"spread":0.43,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T19:49:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-05T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":24.0,"volume_24hr":24.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":24.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.941114664077759,"normalized_volume":3.039881467819214,"liquidity":74.0474,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T07:44:54.285407Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T07:44:54.285407Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T20:01:24.191177Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/laurier-dorion-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner/will-derek-lefebvre-win-the-next-laurier-dorion-quebec-national-assembly-election","event_title":"Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.255,0.265,0.255,0.265,0.26,0.44,0.27,0.245,0.255,0.245,0.24,0.245,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4042823","event_id":"943667","slug":"will-emil-parfyonov-win-the-next-laurier-dorion-quebec-national-assembly-election","question":"Will Emil Parfyonov win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?","group_item_title":"Emil Parfyonov","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-qc-na-laurier-dorion-emil-parfyonov-8b6f7f03ec.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-qc-na-laurier-dorion-emil-parfyonov-8b6f7f03ec.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.38,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T19:49:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-05T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":22.8,"volume_24hr":22.8,"prob_24h_change":-0.024999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":22.8,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.821580410003662,"normalized_volume":2.9476816654205322,"liquidity":86.7075,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T08:19:06.756705Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T08:19:06.756705Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T20:01:24.191177Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/laurier-dorion-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner/will-emil-parfyonov-win-the-next-laurier-dorion-quebec-national-assembly-election","event_title":"Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.255,0.26,0.23,0.245,0.235,0.255,0.055,0.235,0.265,0.245,0.235,0.225,0.26,0.255,0.245,0.245,0.235]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4042853","event_id":"943667","slug":"will-another-candidate-win-the-next-laurier-dorion-quebec-national-assembly-election","question":"Will another candidate win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-10-05T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-08-31T20:01:24.191177Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T20:01:24.191177Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T20:01:24.191177Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/laurier-dorion-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner/will-another-candidate-win-the-next-laurier-dorion-quebec-national-assembly-election","event_title":"Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4042822","event_id":"943667","slug":"will-kelly-lazo-de-la-vega-win-the-next-laurier-dorion-quebec-national-assembly-election","question":"Will Kelly Lazo de la Vega win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?","group_item_title":"Kelly Lazo de la Vega","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-qc-na-laurier-dorion-kelly-lazo-de-la-vega-831d06b84e.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-qc-na-laurier-dorion-kelly-lazo-de-la-vega-831d06b84e.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.445,0.555],"probability":0.445,"spread":0.77,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T19:49:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-05T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.185,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":31.4601,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T07:44:54.285407Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T07:44:54.285407Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T20:01:24.191177Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/laurier-dorion-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner/will-kelly-lazo-de-la-vega-win-the-next-laurier-dorion-quebec-national-assembly-election","event_title":"Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.26,0.265,0.245,0.255,0.245,0.265,0.255,0.27,0.265,0.275,0.245,0.255,0.245,0.375,0.245,0.26,0.445]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4042825","event_id":"943667","slug":"will-andres-fontecilla-win-the-next-laurier-dorion-quebec-national-assembly-election","question":"Will Andrés Fontecilla win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?","group_item_title":"Andrés Fontecilla","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-qc-na-laurier-dorion-andres-fontecilla-39adb0233d.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-qc-na-laurier-dorion-andres-fontecilla-39adb0233d.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.78,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T19:49:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-05T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":33.0526,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T02:44:04.085946Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T02:44:04.085946Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T20:01:24.191177Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/laurier-dorion-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner/will-andres-fontecilla-win-the-next-laurier-dorion-quebec-national-assembly-election","event_title":"Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.425,0.445,0.435,0.445,0.44,0.445,0.44]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4042824","event_id":"943667","slug":"will-randy-legault-rankin-win-the-next-laurier-dorion-quebec-national-assembly-election","question":"Will Randy Legault-Rankin win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?","group_item_title":"Randy Legault-Rankin","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-qc-na-laurier-dorion-randy-legault-rankin-3e04d99651.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-qc-na-laurier-dorion-randy-legault-rankin-3e04d99651.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.245,0.755],"probability":0.245,"spread":0.41,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T19:49:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-05T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":76.2306,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T08:19:06.756705Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T08:19:06.756705Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T20:01:24.191177Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/laurier-dorion-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner/will-randy-legault-rankin-win-the-next-laurier-dorion-quebec-national-assembly-election","event_title":"Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.265,0.26,0.265,0.26,0.255,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.245,0.245,0.26,0.25,0.245,0.255,0.25]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/943667","as_of":"2026-09-01T08:32:09.086456Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner\" — top market at 26% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}