{"source":"polymarket","id":"944755","ticker":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026","title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:27Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1049.634297,"volume_24hr":1049.634297,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.269365310668945,"normalized_volume":11.016068458557129,"liquidity":28998.5103,"open_interest":846.174119,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"105799","slug":"kyiv","label":"Kyiv"},{"id":"95","slug":"russia","label":"Russia"},{"id":"96","slug":"ukraine","label":"Ukraine"},{"id":"452","slug":"zelensky","label":"zelensky"},{"id":"216","slug":"zelenskyy","label":"zelenskyy"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"464","slug":"military-action","label":"Military Actions"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"September 4","top_outcome_probability":0.745,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.245,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":21.33765,"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:38.990277Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:38.990277Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.660847Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,5.208325,5.208325,7.060175,37.050175,170.45017500000003,170.450175,170.450175,233.450175,731.864808,731.864808,731.864808,731.864808,731.864808,731.864808,731.864808,731.864808,731.864808,731.864808,756.864808,756.864808,756.864808,756.864808,756.864808,756.864808,756.864808,756.864808,756.864808,756.864808,1048.054297,1048.054297,1049.634297,1049.634297],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046814","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-1-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 1","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:27Z","end_date":"2026-09-01T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-01T07:14:31Z","volume":233.45017500000003,"volume_24hr":233.450175,"prob_24h_change":0.5,"volume_24h_change":233.450175,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.328104019165039,"normalized_volume":8.737652778625488,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T18:28:20.174895Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T18:28:20.174895Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-1-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.645,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.96,0.96,0.9995,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046817","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-4-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 4","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.745,0.255],"probability":0.745,"spread":0.37,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:31Z","end_date":"2026-09-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21.33765,"volume_24hr":21.33765,"prob_24h_change":0.245,"volume_24h_change":21.33765,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.6702024936676025,"normalized_volume":2.8309199810028076,"liquidity":150.5646,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-4-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.515,0.5,0.485,0.505,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.61,0.6,0.595,0.6,0.61,0.615,0.61,0.605,0.605,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.745]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046815","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 2","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.635,0.365],"probability":0.635,"spread":0.53,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:30Z","end_date":"2026-09-02T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43.47825,"volume_24hr":43.47825,"prob_24h_change":0.135,"volume_24h_change":43.47825,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.478154182434082,"normalized_volume":4.225439071655273,"liquidity":148.1787,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.515,0.72,0.725,0.71,0.695,0.63,0.645,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.645,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.635,0.635,0.65,0.66,0.675,0.635]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046818","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-5-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 5","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.61,0.39],"probability":0.61,"spread":0.6,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:29Z","end_date":"2026-09-05T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21.978011,"volume_24hr":21.978011,"prob_24h_change":0.10999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":21.978011,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.7372970581054688,"normalized_volume":2.88267183303833,"liquidity":223.5949,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-5-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.515,0.5,0.495,0.51,0.505,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.585,0.59,0.595,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.585,0.595,0.61,0.61]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046816","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-3-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 3, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 3","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.585,0.415],"probability":0.585,"spread":0.55,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:30Z","end_date":"2026-09-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43.956033,"volume_24hr":43.956033,"prob_24h_change":0.08499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":43.956033,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.509044647216797,"normalized_volume":4.249265670776367,"liquidity":108.1838,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-3-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.53,0.695,0.69,0.71,0.695,0.59,0.585,0.58,0.58,0.585,0.59,0.585,0.585,0.585,0.585,0.58,0.585,0.59,0.59,0.595,0.585]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046821","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-8-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 8","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.585,0.415],"probability":0.585,"spread":0.63,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:31Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":23.076922,"volume_24hr":23.076922,"prob_24h_change":0.08499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":23.076922,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.8495259284973145,"normalized_volume":2.9692368507385254,"liquidity":528.2117,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-8-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.525,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.585,0.585,0.585,0.585,0.58,0.585,0.59,0.595,0.585,0.585]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046835","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-22-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 22, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 22","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.58,0.42],"probability":0.58,"spread":0.6,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:34Z","end_date":"2026-09-22T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.07999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.037741661071777,"normalized_volume":3.114412307739258,"liquidity":1175.1334,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-22-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.505,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.575,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.58]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046822","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-9-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 9","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.575,0.425],"probability":0.575,"spread":0.53,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:32Z","end_date":"2026-09-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":23.076922,"volume_24hr":23.076922,"prob_24h_change":0.07499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":23.076922,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.8495259284973145,"normalized_volume":2.9692368507385254,"liquidity":721.495,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-9-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.575,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.585,0.58,0.57,0.575]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046820","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-7-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 7","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.57,0.43],"probability":0.57,"spread":0.62,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:32Z","end_date":"2026-09-07T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21.978011,"volume_24hr":21.978011,"prob_24h_change":0.06999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":21.978011,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.7372970581054688,"normalized_volume":2.88267183303833,"liquidity":438.7381,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-7-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.575,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.585,0.58,0.57,0.57]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046823","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-10-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 10, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 10","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.57,0.43],"probability":0.57,"spread":0.58,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:32Z","end_date":"2026-09-10T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.037741661071777,"normalized_volume":3.114412307739258,"liquidity":876.8925,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-10-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.575,0.58,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.575,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046828","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-15-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 15","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.57,0.43],"probability":0.57,"spread":0.62,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:38Z","end_date":"2026-09-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.037741661071777,"normalized_volume":3.114412307739258,"liquidity":1227.8948,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-15-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.52,0.495,0.485,0.515,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.585,0.57,0.565,0.57,0.565,0.57,0.57,0.565,0.555,0.565,0.57]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046834","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-21-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 21","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.57,0.43],"probability":0.57,"spread":0.58,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:36Z","end_date":"2026-09-21T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.037741661071777,"normalized_volume":3.114412307739258,"liquidity":1242.1687,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-21-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.515,0.48,0.505,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.575,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.575,0.57,0.565,0.565,0.565,0.57]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046838","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-25-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 25, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 25","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.57,0.43],"probability":0.57,"spread":0.62,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:35Z","end_date":"2026-09-25T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.037741661071777,"normalized_volume":3.114412307739258,"liquidity":1195.3225,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-25-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.505,0.505,0.51,0.505,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.575,0.595,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.575,0.57,0.565,0.57,0.555,0.565,0.57]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046825","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-12-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 12, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 12","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.56,0.44],"probability":0.56,"spread":0.58,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:34Z","end_date":"2026-09-12T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.037741661071777,"normalized_volume":3.114412307739258,"liquidity":1274.5277,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-12-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.52,0.485,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.565,0.57,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.575,0.57,0.565,0.57,0.56]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046840","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-27-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 27, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 27","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.56,0.44],"probability":0.56,"spread":0.6,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:34Z","end_date":"2026-09-27T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.037741661071777,"normalized_volume":3.114412307739258,"liquidity":1173.715,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-27-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.515,0.495,0.49,0.515,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.575,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.605,0.57,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.575,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.56]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046841","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-28-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 28, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 28","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.56,0.44],"probability":0.56,"spread":0.6,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:38Z","end_date":"2026-09-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.037741661071777,"normalized_volume":3.114412307739258,"liquidity":1220.1262,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-28-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.515,0.48,0.495,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.585,0.595,0.57,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.575,0.57,0.565,0.57,0.565,0.565,0.56]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046836","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-23-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 23, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 23","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.55,0.45],"probability":0.55,"spread":0.54,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:36Z","end_date":"2026-09-23T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":24.994633,"volume_24hr":24.994633,"prob_24h_change":0.050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":24.994633,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.037230014801025,"normalized_volume":3.1140174865722656,"liquidity":1352.0124,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-23-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.535,0.5,0.495,0.51,0.515,0.5,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.545,0.545,0.55]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046824","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-11-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 11, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 11","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.545,0.455],"probability":0.545,"spread":0.53,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:33Z","end_date":"2026-09-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.04500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.037741661071777,"normalized_volume":3.114412307739258,"liquidity":1127.4702,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-11-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.52,0.485,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.565,0.56,0.565,0.56,0.565,0.565,0.56,0.55,0.565,0.54,0.54,0.545]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046830","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-17-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 17, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 17","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.545,0.455],"probability":0.545,"spread":0.57,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:37Z","end_date":"2026-09-17T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.04500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.037741661071777,"normalized_volume":3.114412307739258,"liquidity":1315.5063,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-17-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.495,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.575,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.555,0.545]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046831","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-18-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 18, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 18","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.545,0.455],"probability":0.545,"spread":0.57,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:37Z","end_date":"2026-09-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.04500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.037741661071777,"normalized_volume":3.114412307739258,"liquidity":1313.5256,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-18-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.52,0.5,0.495,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.575,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.575,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.545]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046832","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-19-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 19, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 19","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.545,0.455],"probability":0.545,"spread":0.55,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:37Z","end_date":"2026-09-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.04500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.037741661071777,"normalized_volume":3.114412307739258,"liquidity":1376.6515,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-19-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.51,0.485,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.585,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.58,0.575,0.58,0.58,0.575,0.565,0.575,0.565,0.57,0.545]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046833","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-20-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 20","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.545,0.455],"probability":0.545,"spread":0.57,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:36Z","end_date":"2026-09-20T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.04500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.037741661071777,"normalized_volume":3.114412307739258,"liquidity":1258.2269,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-20-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.51,0.485,0.5,0.495,0.505,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.575,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.545]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046826","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-13-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 13","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.54,0.46],"probability":0.54,"spread":0.54,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:32Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.040000000000000036,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.037741661071777,"normalized_volume":3.114412307739258,"liquidity":1346.5477,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-13-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.575,0.57,0.56,0.565,0.56,0.565,0.57,0.565,0.57,0.57,0.565,0.565,0.56,0.555,0.54]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046827","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-14-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 14","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.53,0.47],"probability":0.53,"spread":0.54,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:33Z","end_date":"2026-09-14T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.037741661071777,"normalized_volume":3.114412307739258,"liquidity":1302.7513,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-14-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.52,0.485,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.505,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.585,0.57,0.565,0.57,0.565,0.57,0.57,0.565,0.555,0.53]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046829","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-16-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 16","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.53,0.47],"probability":0.53,"spread":0.54,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:38Z","end_date":"2026-09-16T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.037741661071777,"normalized_volume":3.114412307739258,"liquidity":1279.0347,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-16-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.515,0.5,0.49,0.495,0.51,0.505,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.575,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.575,0.57,0.565,0.565,0.555,0.555,0.53]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046837","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-24-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 24, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 24","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.53,0.47],"probability":0.53,"spread":0.54,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:35Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.037741661071777,"normalized_volume":3.114412307739258,"liquidity":1323.8346,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-24-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.515,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.575,0.57,0.58,0.585,0.595,0.57,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.575,0.57,0.56,0.555,0.53]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046843","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-30-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 30","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.16,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:38Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":71.15384499999999,"volume_24hr":71.15384499999999,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":71.15384499999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.963934898376465,"normalized_volume":5.371459484100342,"liquidity":1404.7116,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-30-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.51,0.48,0.495,0.51,0.515,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.465,0.46,0.465,0.46,0.465,0.465,0.46,0.465,0.46,0.45,0.51]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046842","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-29-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 29, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 29","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.505,0.495],"probability":0.505,"spread":0.23,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:39Z","end_date":"2026-09-29T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":71.15384499999999,"volume_24hr":71.15384499999999,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":71.15384499999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.963934898376465,"normalized_volume":5.371459484100342,"liquidity":1367.8626,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:43:39.085141Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-29-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.515,0.48,0.495,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.575,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.445,0.45,0.445,0.45,0.445,0.45,0.45,0.445,0.45,0.435,0.505]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046839","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-26-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 26, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 26","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.45,0.55],"probability":0.45,"spread":0.38,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:34Z","end_date":"2026-09-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.037741661071777,"normalized_volume":3.114412307739258,"liquidity":1309.8006,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:23:18.111559Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:23:18.111559Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-26-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.505,0.495,0.5,0.515,0.5,0.31,0.33,0.335,0.455,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.455,0.44,0.45,0.45]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4046819","event_id":"944755","slug":"will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-6-2026","question":"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 6","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252-C0oKISHzcJjp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.585,0.415],"probability":0.585,"spread":0.63,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T23:31:29Z","end_date":"2026-09-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.08499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":321.2197,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T19:23:18.111559Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T19:23:18.111559Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T23:50:47.691859Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-6-2026","event_title":"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.505,0.5,0.495,0.51,0.515,0.5,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.585,0.585,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.595,0.59,0.595,0.6,0.585]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/944755","as_of":"2026-09-01T19:58:25.278935Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will Russia target Kyiv on...?\" — top market at 100% probability across 30 outcomes","source_url":null}}