{"source":"polymarket","id":"948540","ticker":"texas-senate-election-tarrant-county-winner","slug":"texas-senate-election-tarrant-county-winner","title":"Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Tarrant County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThe candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThe nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.\n\nIf the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/f-74dbca06af.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/f-74dbca06af.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T17:32:33Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":915.656665,"volume_24hr":915.656665,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.793045043945312,"normalized_volume":10.588295936584473,"liquidity":250.7646,"open_interest":797.526665,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"},{"id":"104040","slug":"texas-midterm","label":"Texas Midterm"},{"id":"104093","slug":"senate-midterms","label":"Senate midterms"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Person A","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-02T06:55:46.793363Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T06:55:46.793363Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T17:36:28.733833Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-tarrant-county-winner","chart_24h":[0.0,36.8,36.8,36.8,36.8,36.8,36.8,49.09,703.996665,703.996665,703.996665,715.656665,915.656665,915.656665,915.656665,915.656665,915.656665],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4063958","event_id":"948540","slug":"will-the-republicans-win-tarrant-county-in-the-texas-senate-race-in-2026","question":"Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?","group_item_title":"Ken Paxton (R)","description":"This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Tarrant County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThe candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThe nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.\n\nIf the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ken-paxton-win-the-2026-republican-primary-VUklJjUUDQCq.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ken-paxton-win-the-2026-republican-primary-VUklJjUUDQCq.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.46,0.54],"probability":0.46,"spread":0.7,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T17:32:33Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":100.0,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":0.004999999999999949,"volume_24h_change":100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.620427131652832,"normalized_volume":6.249053955078125,"liquidity":109.681,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T06:55:46.936736Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T06:55:46.936736Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T17:36:28.783631Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-tarrant-county-winner/will-the-republicans-win-tarrant-county-in-the-texas-senate-race-in-2026","event_title":"Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner","chart_24h":[0.465,0.095,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.105,0.1,0.11,0.115,0.48,0.49,0.475,0.465,0.49,0.47]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4063957","event_id":"948540","slug":"will-the-democrats-win-tarrant-county-in-the-texas-senate-race-in-2026","question":"Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?","group_item_title":"James Talarico (D)","description":"This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Tarrant County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThe candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThe nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.\n\nIf the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-james-talarico-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-texas-4mrHmuZYe7GR.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-james-talarico-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-texas-4mrHmuZYe7GR.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.345,0.655],"probability":0.345,"spread":0.39,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T17:32:33Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":815.656665,"volume_24hr":815.656665,"prob_24h_change":-0.22000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":815.656665,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.307392120361328,"normalized_volume":13.190890312194824,"liquidity":147.0046,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T06:55:46.936736Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T06:55:46.936736Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T17:36:28.783631Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-tarrant-county-winner/will-the-democrats-win-tarrant-county-in-the-texas-senate-race-in-2026","event_title":"Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner","chart_24h":[0.535,0.905,0.9,0.895,0.905,0.905,0.615,0.36,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.315]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4063969","event_id":"948540","slug":"will-a-candidate-not-listed-above-win-tarrant-county-in-the-texas-senate-race-in-2026","question":"Will a candidate not listed above win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Tarrant County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThe candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThe nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.\n\nIf the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/f-74dbca06af.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/f-74dbca06af.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T17:36:28.783631Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T17:36:28.783631Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T17:36:28.783631Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-tarrant-county-winner/will-a-candidate-not-listed-above-win-tarrant-county-in-the-texas-senate-race-in-2026","event_title":"Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/948540","as_of":"2026-09-02T06:56:13.972510Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner\" — top market at 34% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}