{"source":"polymarket","id":"948627","ticker":"new-hampshire-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory","slug":"new-hampshire-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory","title":"New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory","description":"The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/new-hampshire-democratic-senate-primary-winner-IVZDasf7HKPj.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/new-hampshire-democratic-senate-primary-winner-IVZDasf7HKPj.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T17:45:50Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1589.33112,"volume_24hr":1247.484414,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.576702117919922,"normalized_volume":12.365629196166992,"liquidity":28308.13485,"open_interest":1003.9501849999998,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"264","slug":"primaries","label":"Primaries"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"},{"id":"1550","slug":"senate-primary","label":"Senate Primary"},{"id":"100686","slug":"margin-of-victory","label":"Margin of Victory"},{"id":"902","slug":"primary-elections","label":"primary elections"},{"id":"936","slug":"democratic-primary","label":"Democratic Primary"},{"id":"1170","slug":"new-hampshire-primary","label":"New Hampshire Primary"},{"id":"105209","slug":"september-8-primaries","label":"September 8 Primaries"},{"id":"106128","slug":"september-8-and-9-primaries","label":"September 8 and 9 Primaries"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Other","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-04T11:30:01.990183Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T11:30:01.990183Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T17:53:46.593823Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/new-hampshire-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory","chart_24h":[140.775279,140.775279,160.775279,160.775279,139.775279,139.775279,159.00255,79.227271,79.227271,79.227271,79.227271,79.227271,79.227271,79.227271,79.227271,107.798697,113.061853,113.061853,113.061853,113.061853,113.061853,113.281853,113.281853,113.281853,113.281853,113.281853,133.281853,172.353278,332.353278,332.353278,1096.8903189999999,1116.8903189999999,1123.8903189999999,1123.8903189999999,1123.8903189999999,1247.484414,1247.484414,1247.484414],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4064911","event_id":"948627","slug":"will-chris-pappas-win-the-nh-democratic-senate-primary-by-2025","question":"Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 20–25%?","group_item_title":"Pappas 20–25%","description":"The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-chris-pappas-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-new-hampshire-KOVWVQg436t4.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-chris-pappas-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-new-hampshire-KOVWVQg436t4.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.24,0.76],"probability":0.24,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T17:45:50Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":59.227271,"volume_24hr":59.227271,"prob_24h_change":0.035,"volume_24h_change":59.227271,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.63258171081543,"normalized_volume":4.927409648895264,"liquidity":342.874,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T09:41:29.600024Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T09:41:29.600024Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T17:53:46.677229Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/new-hampshire-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/will-chris-pappas-win-the-nh-democratic-senate-primary-by-2025","event_title":"New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.205,0.21,0.215,0.39,0.195,0.195,0.2,0.195,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.205,0.205,0.23,0.24,0.24]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4064915","event_id":"948627","slug":"will-chris-pappas-win-the-nh-democratic-senate-primary-by-05","question":"Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 0–5%?","group_item_title":"Pappas 0–5%","description":"The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-chris-pappas-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-new-hampshire-KOVWVQg436t4.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-chris-pappas-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-new-hampshire-KOVWVQg436t4.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T17:45:50Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":192.165521,"volume_24hr":192.165521,"prob_24h_change":0.1,"volume_24h_change":192.165521,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.590937614440918,"normalized_volume":8.128403663635254,"liquidity":8428.3207,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T09:58:32.619856Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T09:58:32.619856Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T17:53:46.677229Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/new-hampshire-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/will-chris-pappas-win-the-nh-democratic-senate-primary-by-05","event_title":"New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.12,0.115,0.11,0.115,0.155,0.155,0.15,0.165,0.165,0.275,0.265,0.24,0.235,0.23,0.22,0.215,0.205,0.205,0.205,0.215,0.225,0.22,0.22]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4064909","event_id":"948627","slug":"will-chris-pappas-win-the-nh-democratic-senate-primary-by-3035","question":"Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 30–35%?","group_item_title":"Pappas 30–35%","description":"The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-chris-pappas-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-new-hampshire-KOVWVQg436t4.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-chris-pappas-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-new-hampshire-KOVWVQg436t4.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.79],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.42,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T17:45:50Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.212494850158691,"normalized_volume":2.719484329223633,"liquidity":317.0429,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T11:30:02.498222Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T11:30:02.498222Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T17:53:46.677229Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/new-hampshire-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/will-chris-pappas-win-the-nh-democratic-senate-primary-by-3035","event_title":"New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.23,0.225,0.225,0.4,0.38,0.2,0.18,0.165,0.165,0.33,0.245,0.15,0.135,0.145,0.135,0.145,0.135,0.145,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.145,0.165,0.21,0.205,0.205,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.16]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4064913","event_id":"948627","slug":"will-chris-pappas-win-the-nh-democratic-senate-primary-by-1015","question":"Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 10–15%?","group_item_title":"Pappas 10–15%","description":"The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-chris-pappas-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-new-hampshire-KOVWVQg436t4.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-chris-pappas-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-new-hampshire-KOVWVQg436t4.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.175,0.825],"probability":0.175,"spread":0.31,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T17:45:50Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":147.16553500000003,"volume_24hr":147.165535,"prob_24h_change":-0.13,"volume_24h_change":147.165535,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.35405158996582,"normalized_volume":7.32990026473999,"liquidity":368.2359,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T11:30:02.498222Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T11:30:02.498222Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T17:53:46.677229Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/new-hampshire-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/will-chris-pappas-win-the-nh-democratic-senate-primary-by-1015","event_title":"New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.305,0.305,0.31,0.245,0.23,0.175,0.175,0.185,0.19,0.19,0.195,0.195,0.195,0.2,0.36,0.235,0.225,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.175,0.185]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4064912","event_id":"948627","slug":"will-chris-pappas-win-the-nh-democratic-senate-primary-by-1520","question":"Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 15–20%?","group_item_title":"Pappas 15–20%","description":"The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-chris-pappas-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-new-hampshire-KOVWVQg436t4.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-chris-pappas-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-new-hampshire-KOVWVQg436t4.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T17:45:50Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":79.21428399999999,"volume_24hr":79.214284,"prob_24h_change":-0.03,"volume_24h_change":79.214284,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.737377166748047,"normalized_volume":5.640638828277588,"liquidity":8384.2343,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T11:10:58.106907Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T11:10:58.106907Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T17:53:46.677229Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/new-hampshire-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/will-chris-pappas-win-the-nh-democratic-senate-primary-by-1520","event_title":"New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.19,0.185,0.185,0.42,0.325,0.29,0.19,0.41,0.225,0.155,0.165,0.215,0.17,0.165,0.16,0.145,0.11,0.165,0.16,0.155,0.155,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4064914","event_id":"948627","slug":"will-chris-pappas-win-the-nh-democratic-senate-primary-by-510","question":"Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 5–10%?","group_item_title":"Pappas 5–10%","description":"The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-chris-pappas-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-new-hampshire-KOVWVQg436t4.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-chris-pappas-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-new-hampshire-KOVWVQg436t4.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.32,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T17:45:50Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":19.857141,"volume_24hr":19.857141,"prob_24h_change":-0.165,"volume_24h_change":19.857141,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.193626403808594,"normalized_volume":2.707303285598755,"liquidity":295.712,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T11:10:58.106907Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T11:10:58.106907Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T17:53:46.677229Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/new-hampshire-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/will-chris-pappas-win-the-nh-democratic-senate-primary-by-510","event_title":"New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.325,0.23,0.23,0.255,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.41,0.22,0.15,0.155,0.165,0.13,0.125,0.115,0.105,0.095,0.215,0.205,0.17,0.09,0.055,0.06,0.155,0.215,0.225,0.215,0.235,0.185,0.18,0.17,0.16]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4064908","event_id":"948627","slug":"will-chris-pappas-win-the-nh-democratic-senate-primary-by-3540","question":"Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 35–40%?","group_item_title":"Pappas 35–40%","description":"The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-chris-pappas-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-new-hampshire-KOVWVQg436t4.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-chris-pappas-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-new-hampshire-KOVWVQg436t4.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.155,0.845],"probability":0.155,"spread":0.31,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T17:45:50Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.06,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.212494850158691,"normalized_volume":2.719484329223633,"liquidity":391.477,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T11:10:58.106907Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T11:10:58.106907Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T17:53:46.677229Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/new-hampshire-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/will-chris-pappas-win-the-nh-democratic-senate-primary-by-3540","event_title":"New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.215,0.22,0.22,0.4,0.155,0.145,0.135,0.385,0.21,0.175,0.19,0.195,0.17,0.165,0.165,0.15,0.165,0.155,0.165,0.125,0.05,0.065,0.14,0.225,0.22,0.21,0.175,0.17,0.2,0.175,0.155]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4064910","event_id":"948627","slug":"will-chris-pappas-win-the-nh-democratic-senate-primary-by-2530","question":"Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 25–30%?","group_item_title":"Pappas 25–30%","description":"The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-chris-pappas-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-new-hampshire-KOVWVQg436t4.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-chris-pappas-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-new-hampshire-KOVWVQg436t4.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T17:45:50Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.0,"volume_24hr":40.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.12,"volume_24h_change":40.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.267361164093018,"normalized_volume":4.046056270599365,"liquidity":202.9553,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T09:21:55.610144Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T09:21:55.610144Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T17:53:46.677229Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/new-hampshire-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/will-chris-pappas-win-the-nh-democratic-senate-primary-by-2530","event_title":"New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.21,0.205,0.205,0.2,0.2,0.225,0.135,0.14,0.395,0.215,0.185,0.19,0.165,0.17,0.155,0.15,0.155,0.155,0.105,0.09,0.075,0.175,0.225,0.23,0.225,0.08,0.09]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4064917","event_id":"948627","slug":"will-karishma-manzur-win-the-nh-democratic-senate-primary-by-at-least-5","question":"Will Karishma Manzur win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by at least 5%?","group_item_title":"Manzur 5%+","description":"The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-karishma-manzur-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-new-hampshire-PtXU6rIoCt4P.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-karishma-manzur-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-new-hampshire-PtXU6rIoCt4P.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T17:45:50Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":82.0,"volume_24hr":40.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0049999999999999975,"volume_24h_change":-1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.267361164093018,"normalized_volume":5.728816032409668,"liquidity":384.0325,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T10:52:34.978529Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T10:52:34.978529Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T17:53:46.677229Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/new-hampshire-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/will-karishma-manzur-win-the-nh-democratic-senate-primary-by-at-least-5","event_title":"New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.065,0.065,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.055,0.05,0.045,0.17,0.05,0.055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4064907","event_id":"948627","slug":"will-chris-pappas-win-the-nh-democratic-senate-primary-by-at-least-40","question":"Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by at least 40%?","group_item_title":"Pappas 40%+","description":"The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-chris-pappas-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-new-hampshire-KOVWVQg436t4.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-chris-pappas-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-new-hampshire-KOVWVQg436t4.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T17:45:50Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":824.701368,"volume_24hr":602.8546619999998,"prob_24h_change":-0.12499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":562.8546619999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.634307861328125,"normalized_volume":13.234261512756348,"liquidity":600.6672,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T11:30:02.498222Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T11:30:02.498222Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T17:53:46.677229Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/new-hampshire-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/will-chris-pappas-win-the-nh-democratic-senate-primary-by-at-least-40","event_title":"New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.175,0.185,0.18,0.185,0.17,0.165,0.165,0.165,0.165,0.18,0.17,0.075,0.075,0.05,0.045,0.045,0.045,0.05,0.05,0.04]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4064916","event_id":"948627","slug":"will-karishma-manzur-win-the-nh-democratic-senate-primary-by-less-than-5","question":"Will Karishma Manzur win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by less than 5%?","group_item_title":"Manzur 0–5%","description":"The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-karishma-manzur-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-new-hampshire-PtXU6rIoCt4P.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-karishma-manzur-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-new-hampshire-PtXU6rIoCt4P.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.015,0.985],"probability":0.015,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T17:45:50Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":105.0,"volume_24hr":27.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.053000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":27.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.046197891235352,"normalized_volume":6.380589485168457,"liquidity":8539.01498,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T07:51:43.143148Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T07:51:43.143148Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T17:53:46.677229Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/new-hampshire-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/will-karishma-manzur-win-the-nh-democratic-senate-primary-by-less-than-5","event_title":"New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.068,0.074,0.066,0.068,0.0595,0.06,0.061,0.06,0.0605,0.06,0.058,0.06,0.128,0.0855,0.0885,0.1705,0.086,0.115,0.0685,0.0575,0.006,0.015]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4064918","event_id":"948627","slug":"will-another-outcome-occur-in-the-nh-democratic-senate-primary","question":"Will another outcome occur in the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/new-hampshire-democratic-senate-primary-winner-IVZDasf7HKPj.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/new-hampshire-democratic-senate-primary-winner-IVZDasf7HKPj.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-09-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T17:53:46.677229Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T17:53:46.677229Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T17:53:46.677229Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/new-hampshire-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory/will-another-outcome-occur-in-the-nh-democratic-senate-primary","event_title":"New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/948627","as_of":"2026-09-04T11:37:46.303799Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory\" — top market at 5% probability across 12 outcomes","source_url":null}}