{"source":"polymarket","id":"953996","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-september-4-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-september-4-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Sep 4 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Sep 4 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T16:07:09Z","end_date":"2026-09-04T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21280.399365000005,"volume_24hr":21280.399365,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.247642517089844,"normalized_volume":22.59889030456543,"liquidity":10592.9363,"open_interest":20863.985439,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.405,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.14500000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":21280.399365,"updated_at":"2026-09-03T18:19:01.383380Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T18:19:01.383380Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T16:22:57.861462Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-september-4-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,10.0,10.0,20.0,20.0,20.0,20.0,20.0,220.0,220.0,288.81568200000004,308.419602,308.419602,308.419602,319.019602,319.019602,334.002677,1478.614982,17925.476244,21280.399365,21280.399365,21280.399365],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4144823","event_id":"953996","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-september-4-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Sep 4 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Sep 4 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.405,0.595],"probability":0.405,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T16:07:09Z","end_date":"2026-09-04T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21280.399365000005,"volume_24hr":21280.399365,"prob_24h_change":-0.14500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":21280.399365,"normalized_vol_24hr":45.13432312011719,"normalized_volume":29.137622833251953,"liquidity":10592.9363,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T18:19:01.508473Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T18:19:01.508473Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T16:22:58.024255Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-september-4-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-september-4-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4?","chart_24h":[0.55,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.5,0.5,0.515,0.515,0.525,0.525,0.4,0.405,0.405,0.405]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/953996","as_of":"2026-09-03T18:33:20.416590Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4?\" — top market at 40% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}