{"source":"polymarket","id":"955197","ticker":"california-governor-margin-of-victory-2026","slug":"california-governor-margin-of-victory-2026","title":"California Governor Election Margin of Victory","description":"The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.\n\nThe \"margin of victory\" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nThe candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T19:21:15Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":721.6139,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"105875","slug":"midtermmov","label":"Midterm MOV"},{"id":"104094","slug":"governor-midterms","label":"Governor midterms"},{"id":"100686","slug":"margin-of-victory","label":"Margin of Victory"},{"id":"104045","slug":"california-midterm","label":"California Midterm"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Person A","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-03T07:57:35.142576Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T07:57:35.142576Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T19:36:35.430668Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-margin-of-victory-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4163226","event_id":"955197","slug":"will-a-candidate-not-listed-above-win-the-2026-california-gubernatorial-election","question":"Will a candidate not listed above win the 2026 California gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.\n\nThe \"margin of victory\" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nThe candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-governor-election-2026-4b5HcLPNupez.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T19:36:36.156726Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T19:36:36.156726Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T19:36:36.156726Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-margin-of-victory-2026/will-a-candidate-not-listed-above-win-the-2026-california-gubernatorial-election","event_title":"California Governor Election Margin of Victory","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4163220","event_id":"955197","slug":"will-becerra-win-the-2026-california-gubernatorial-election-by-20-25","question":"Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?","group_item_title":"Becerra 20-25%","description":"The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.\n\nThe \"margin of victory\" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nThe candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-us-house-of-representatives-midterm-elections-by-16-or-more-CzzNoWN2xPFo.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-us-house-of-representatives-midterm-elections-by-16-or-more-CzzNoWN2xPFo.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.425,0.575],"probability":0.425,"spread":0.73,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T19:21:15Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":79.5067,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T07:57:35.408320Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T07:57:35.408320Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T19:36:36.156726Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-margin-of-victory-2026/will-becerra-win-the-2026-california-gubernatorial-election-by-20-25","event_title":"California Governor Election Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.425,0.435,0.405,0.41,0.4,0.415,0.405,0.405,0.395,0.39,0.43,0.43]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4163221","event_id":"955197","slug":"will-becerra-win-the-2026-california-gubernatorial-election-by-15-20","question":"Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?","group_item_title":"Becerra 15-20%","description":"The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.\n\nThe \"margin of victory\" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nThe candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-us-house-of-representatives-midterm-elections-by-16-or-more-CzzNoWN2xPFo.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-us-house-of-representatives-midterm-elections-by-16-or-more-CzzNoWN2xPFo.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.58],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.74,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T19:21:15Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":82.8184,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T07:57:35.408320Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T07:57:35.408320Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T19:36:36.156726Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-margin-of-victory-2026/will-becerra-win-the-2026-california-gubernatorial-election-by-15-20","event_title":"California Governor Election Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.425,0.41,0.395,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.435,0.425,0.43,0.425]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4163219","event_id":"955197","slug":"will-becerra-win-the-2026-california-gubernatorial-election-by-25-30","question":"Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?","group_item_title":"Becerra 25-30%","description":"The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.\n\nThe \"margin of victory\" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nThe candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-us-house-of-representatives-midterm-elections-by-16-or-more-CzzNoWN2xPFo.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-us-house-of-representatives-midterm-elections-by-16-or-more-CzzNoWN2xPFo.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.415,0.585],"probability":0.415,"spread":0.75,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T19:21:15Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":80.8752,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T07:57:35.408320Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T07:57:35.408320Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T19:36:36.156726Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-margin-of-victory-2026/will-becerra-win-the-2026-california-gubernatorial-election-by-25-30","event_title":"California Governor Election Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.425,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.405,0.385,0.375,0.425,0.405,0.435,0.425,0.43,0.41]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4163222","event_id":"955197","slug":"will-becerra-win-the-2026-california-gubernatorial-election-by-10-15","question":"Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?","group_item_title":"Becerra 10-15%","description":"The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.\n\nThe \"margin of victory\" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nThe candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-us-house-of-representatives-midterm-elections-by-16-or-more-CzzNoWN2xPFo.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-us-house-of-representatives-midterm-elections-by-16-or-more-CzzNoWN2xPFo.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.59],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.74,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T19:21:15Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":83.3522,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T07:57:35.408320Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T07:57:35.408320Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T19:36:36.156726Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-margin-of-victory-2026/will-becerra-win-the-2026-california-gubernatorial-election-by-10-15","event_title":"California Governor Election Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.425,0.4,0.395,0.385,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.425]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4163216","event_id":"955197","slug":"will-becerra-win-the-2026-california-gubernatorial-election-by-40-or-more","question":"Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 40% or more?","group_item_title":"Becerra 40%+","description":"The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.\n\nThe \"margin of victory\" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nThe candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-us-house-of-representatives-midterm-elections-by-16-or-more-CzzNoWN2xPFo.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-us-house-of-representatives-midterm-elections-by-16-or-more-CzzNoWN2xPFo.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.74,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T19:21:15Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.019999999999999962,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":90.9143,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T07:57:35.408320Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T07:57:35.408320Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T19:36:36.156726Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-margin-of-victory-2026/will-becerra-win-the-2026-california-gubernatorial-election-by-40-or-more","event_title":"California Governor Election Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.42,0.395,0.395,0.385,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.425,0.415]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4163218","event_id":"955197","slug":"will-becerra-win-the-2026-california-gubernatorial-election-by-30-35","question":"Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?","group_item_title":"Becerra 30-35%","description":"The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.\n\nThe \"margin of victory\" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nThe candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-us-house-of-representatives-midterm-elections-by-16-or-more-CzzNoWN2xPFo.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-us-house-of-representatives-midterm-elections-by-16-or-more-CzzNoWN2xPFo.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.74,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T19:21:15Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.024999999999999967,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":71.8911,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T07:57:35.408320Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T07:57:35.408320Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T19:36:36.156726Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-margin-of-victory-2026/will-becerra-win-the-2026-california-gubernatorial-election-by-30-35","event_title":"California Governor Election Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.425,0.4,0.395,0.385,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.425,0.41]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4163224","event_id":"955197","slug":"will-hilton-win-the-2026-california-gubernatorial-election","question":"Will Hilton win the 2026 California gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"Hilton Wins","description":"The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.\n\nThe \"margin of victory\" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nThe candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-republican-party-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-us-house-of-representatives-midterm-elections-by-6-or-more-KZdstWMJdb8e.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-republican-party-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-us-house-of-representatives-midterm-elections-by-6-or-more-KZdstWMJdb8e.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.74,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T19:21:15Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.019999999999999962,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":89.6515,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T07:57:35.408320Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T07:57:35.408320Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T19:36:36.156726Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-margin-of-victory-2026/will-hilton-win-the-2026-california-gubernatorial-election","event_title":"California Governor Election Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.42,0.4,0.395,0.385,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.41]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4163217","event_id":"955197","slug":"will-becerra-win-the-2026-california-gubernatorial-election-by-35-40","question":"Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 35%-40%?","group_item_title":"Becerra 35-40%","description":"The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.\n\nThe \"margin of victory\" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nThe candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-us-house-of-representatives-midterm-elections-by-16-or-more-CzzNoWN2xPFo.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-us-house-of-representatives-midterm-elections-by-16-or-more-CzzNoWN2xPFo.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.39,0.61],"probability":0.39,"spread":0.72,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T19:21:15Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.02999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":79.0917,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T07:57:35.408320Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T07:57:35.408320Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T19:36:36.156726Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-margin-of-victory-2026/will-becerra-win-the-2026-california-gubernatorial-election-by-35-40","event_title":"California Governor Election Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.42,0.4,0.395,0.385,0.415,0.415,0.385,0.375,0.415,0.42,0.415,0.405,0.425,0.385]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4163223","event_id":"955197","slug":"will-becerra-win-the-2026-california-gubernatorial-election-by-0-10","question":"Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 0%-10%?","group_item_title":"Becerra 0-10%","description":"The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.\n\nThe \"margin of victory\" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nThe candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-us-house-of-representatives-midterm-elections-by-16-or-more-CzzNoWN2xPFo.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-us-house-of-representatives-midterm-elections-by-16-or-more-CzzNoWN2xPFo.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.385,0.615],"probability":0.385,"spread":0.71,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T19:21:15Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.03999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":74.0725,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T07:57:35.408320Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T07:57:35.408320Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T19:36:36.156726Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-margin-of-victory-2026/will-becerra-win-the-2026-california-gubernatorial-election-by-0-10","event_title":"California Governor Election Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.425,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.425,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.405,0.395,0.4,0.395,0.42,0.415]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/955197","as_of":"2026-09-03T08:14:34.512782Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"California Governor Election Margin of Victory\" — top market at 50% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}