{"source":"polymarket","id":"956007","ticker":"first-snow-2026","slug":"first-snow-2026","title":"First snow of the 2026 season","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" for each listed city that records any snowfall, including trace, between market creation and the listed deadline, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe observation day is each station's National Weather Service climate day (midnight to midnight local time). Each market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as a report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as a report has been published for every day of its window. Because the final climate report for a day is issued the following morning, each market carries a resolution date 3 days after its deadline as an outer limit for that publication lag, not a waiting period: October 31, 2026 (by November 3, 2026); November 15, 2026 (by November 18, 2026); November 30, 2026 (by December 3, 2026).\n\nEach market's resolution source is that city's NWS Daily Climate Report, linked in that market's details. Those pages show the latest report only; past daily reports for every city are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/first-snow-2026-M3QvAotWp_J6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/first-snow-2026-M3QvAotWp_J6.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:10Z","end_date":"2026-12-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1971.759173,"volume_24hr":1971.759173,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.92737579345703,"normalized_volume":13.099884033203125,"liquidity":5558.0031,"open_interest":1355.1591730000002,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[{"id":"103545","slug":"snow","label":"SNOW"},{"id":"84","slug":"weather","label":"Weather"},{"id":"87","slug":"climate","label":"climate"},{"id":"1313","slug":"snowfall","label":"snowfall"},{"id":"106182","slug":"first-snow","label":"First Snow"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Buffalo, NY by November 30","top_outcome_probability":0.93,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.02499999999999991,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-03T01:49:58.889269Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T01:49:58.889269Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.797536Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026","chart_24h":[20.0,1018.567884,1809.597884,1971.759173],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171017","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-denver-co-by-november-30","question":"Will it snow in Denver, CO by November 30?","group_item_title":"Denver, CO by November 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Denver, CO records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Denver, CO is measured only at station KDEN, which the National Weather Service reports as \"DENVER CO\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KDEN (midnight to midnight local time, America/Denver).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KDEN, issued as product CLIDEN. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIDEN.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/denver-c2951e9cad.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/denver-c2951e9cad.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.925,0.075],"probability":0.925,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:12Z","end_date":"2026-12-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":59.0,"volume_24hr":59.0,"prob_24h_change":0.22000000000000008,"volume_24h_change":39.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.165111541748047,"normalized_volume":4.9183220863342285,"liquidity":53.4355,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T01:01:49.605457Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T01:01:49.605457Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-denver-co-by-november-30","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.705,0.75,0.92,0.925]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171021","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-minneapolis-mn-by-november-30","question":"Will it snow in Minneapolis, MN by November 30?","group_item_title":"Minneapolis, MN by November 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Minneapolis, MN records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Minneapolis, MN is measured only at station KMSP, which the National Weather Service reports as \"TWIN CITIES MN\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KMSP (midnight to midnight local time, America/Chicago).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KMSP, issued as product CLIMSP. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIMSP.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-minneapolis-mn--nbzPEE0olhi.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-minneapolis-mn--nbzPEE0olhi.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.92,0.08],"probability":0.92,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:11Z","end_date":"2026-12-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43.0,"volume_24hr":43.0,"prob_24h_change":0.41500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":43.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.1206841468811035,"normalized_volume":4.201399326324463,"liquidity":73.1545,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T01:01:49.605457Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T01:01:49.605457Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-minneapolis-mn-by-november-30","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.505,0.64,0.915,0.92]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171014","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-chicago-il-by-november-30","question":"Will it snow in Chicago, IL by November 30?","group_item_title":"Chicago, IL by November 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Chicago, IL records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Chicago, IL is measured only at station KORD, which the National Weather Service reports as \"CHICAGO-OHARE\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KORD (midnight to midnight local time, America/Chicago).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KORD, issued as product CLIORD. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIORD.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-december-5-IoEGq9msnWg6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-december-5-IoEGq9msnWg6.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.91,0.09],"probability":0.91,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:12Z","end_date":"2026-12-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":0.41000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.9617998600006104,"normalized_volume":2.719484329223633,"liquidity":73.7571,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T01:49:59.277749Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T01:49:59.277749Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-chicago-il-by-november-30","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.505,0.745,0.92]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171026","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-salt-lake-city-ut-by-november-30","question":"Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by November 30?","group_item_title":"Salt Lake City, UT by November 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Salt Lake City, UT records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Salt Lake City, UT is measured only at station KSLC, which the National Weather Service reports as \"SALT LAKE CITY UT\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KSLC (midnight to midnight local time, America/Denver).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KSLC, issued as product CLISLC. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLISLC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-salt-lake-city-ut-KtZgQQeu-3Bi.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-salt-lake-city-ut-KtZgQQeu-3Bi.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9,0.1],"probability":0.9,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:11Z","end_date":"2026-12-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":19.207546,"volume_24hr":19.207546,"prob_24h_change":-0.04499999999999993,"volume_24h_change":19.207546,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.862320899963379,"normalized_volume":2.6511991024017334,"liquidity":52.9834,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T01:49:59.277749Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T01:49:59.277749Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-salt-lake-city-ut-by-november-30","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.95,0.73,0.905]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171005","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-denver-co-by-november-15","question":"Will it snow in Denver, CO by November 15?","group_item_title":"Denver, CO by November 15","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Denver, CO records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Denver, CO is measured only at station KDEN, which the National Weather Service reports as \"DENVER CO\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KDEN (midnight to midnight local time, America/Denver).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KDEN, issued as product CLIDEN. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIDEN.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/denver-c2951e9cad.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/denver-c2951e9cad.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.895,0.105],"probability":0.895,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:15Z","end_date":"2026-11-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":122.0,"volume_24hr":122.0,"prob_24h_change":0.395,"volume_24h_change":122.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.89780044555664,"normalized_volume":6.794112205505371,"liquidity":933.8769,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:34.452575Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:34.452575Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-denver-co-by-november-15","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.5,0.78,0.9]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171019","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-indianapolis-in-by-november-30","question":"Will it snow in Indianapolis, IN by November 30?","group_item_title":"Indianapolis, IN by November 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Indianapolis, IN records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Indianapolis, IN is measured only at station KIND, which the National Weather Service reports as \"INDIANAPOLIS IN\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KIND (midnight to midnight local time, America/Indiana/Indianapolis).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KIND, issued as product CLIIND. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIIND.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-face-tornado-risk-on-august-4-2026-indianapolis-in-MnbbG3jwhd1n.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-face-tornado-risk-on-august-4-2026-indianapolis-in-MnbbG3jwhd1n.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.855,0.145],"probability":0.855,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:12Z","end_date":"2026-12-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":136.72533800000002,"volume_24hr":136.72533800000002,"prob_24h_change":0.33499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":136.72533800000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.368424415588379,"normalized_volume":7.117160797119141,"liquidity":37.4556,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T01:01:49.605457Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T01:01:49.605457Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-indianapolis-in-by-november-30","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.52,0.74,0.865,0.855]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171009","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-minneapolis-mn-by-november-15","question":"Will it snow in Minneapolis, MN by November 15?","group_item_title":"Minneapolis, MN by November 15","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Minneapolis, MN records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Minneapolis, MN is measured only at station KMSP, which the National Weather Service reports as \"TWIN CITIES MN\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KMSP (midnight to midnight local time, America/Chicago).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KMSP, issued as product CLIMSP. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIMSP.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-minneapolis-mn--nbzPEE0olhi.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-minneapolis-mn--nbzPEE0olhi.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.85,0.15],"probability":0.85,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:13Z","end_date":"2026-11-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":58.2,"volume_24hr":58.2,"prob_24h_change":0.345,"volume_24h_change":58.2,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.118207931518555,"normalized_volume":4.8861260414123535,"liquidity":166.7449,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T01:01:49.605457Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T01:01:49.605457Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-minneapolis-mn-by-november-15","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.505,0.765,0.85,0.85]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171003","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-buffalo-ny-by-november-15","question":"Will it snow in Buffalo, NY by November 15?","group_item_title":"Buffalo, NY by November 15","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Buffalo, NY records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Buffalo, NY is measured only at station KBUF, which the National Weather Service reports as \"BUFFALO NY\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KBUF (midnight to midnight local time, America/New_York).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KBUF, issued as product CLIBUF. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIBUF.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-buffalo-ny-N90eRg9gsnsv.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-buffalo-ny-N90eRg9gsnsv.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.835,0.165],"probability":0.835,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:14Z","end_date":"2026-11-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":42.0,"volume_24hr":42.0,"prob_24h_change":0.31999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":42.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.046541690826416,"normalized_volume":4.150506496429443,"liquidity":91.1919,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:34.452575Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:34.452575Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-buffalo-ny-by-november-15","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.515,0.835,0.835,0.84]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171015","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-cincinnati-oh-by-november-30","question":"Will it snow in Cincinnati, OH by November 30?","group_item_title":"Cincinnati, OH by November 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Cincinnati, OH records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Cincinnati, OH is measured only at station KCVG, which the National Weather Service reports as \"CINCINNATI OH\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KCVG (midnight to midnight local time, America/New_York).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KCVG, issued as product CLICVG. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLICVG.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/first-snow-2026-cincinnati-oh-by-november-30-48mhFxH2rdul.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/first-snow-2026-cincinnati-oh-by-november-30-48mhFxH2rdul.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.735,0.265],"probability":0.735,"spread":0.43,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:12Z","end_date":"2026-12-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":0.24,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.9617998600006104,"normalized_volume":2.719484329223633,"liquidity":36.3819,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T01:49:59.277749Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T01:49:59.277749Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-cincinnati-oh-by-november-30","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.495,0.745,0.75]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171018","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-detroit-mi-by-november-30","question":"Will it snow in Detroit, MI by November 30?","group_item_title":"Detroit, MI by November 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Detroit, MI records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Detroit, MI is measured only at station KDTW, which the National Weather Service reports as \"DETROIT MI\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KDTW (midnight to midnight local time, America/Detroit).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KDTW, issued as product CLIDTW. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIDTW.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-detroit-mi-1rZOmTcmtr5O.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-detroit-mi-1rZOmTcmtr5O.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.735,0.265],"probability":0.735,"spread":0.37,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:13Z","end_date":"2026-12-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":82.0,"volume_24hr":82.0,"prob_24h_change":0.21499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":82.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.345855712890625,"normalized_volume":5.728816032409668,"liquidity":46.0276,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:34.452575Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:34.452575Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-detroit-mi-by-november-30","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.52,0.77,0.895,0.735]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171023","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-new-york-ny-by-november-30","question":"Will it snow in New York City, NY by November 30?","group_item_title":"New York City, NY by November 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if New York City, NY records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for New York City, NY is measured only at station KNYC, which the National Weather Service reports as \"CENTRAL PARK NY\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KNYC (midnight to midnight local time, America/New_York).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KNYC, issued as product CLINYC. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLINYC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.735,0.265],"probability":0.735,"spread":0.43,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:11Z","end_date":"2026-12-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":0.22499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.9617998600006104,"normalized_volume":2.719484329223633,"liquidity":17.3789,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:34.452575Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:34.452575Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-new-york-ny-by-november-30","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.51,0.755,0.76]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171010","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-pittsburgh-pa-by-november-15","question":"Will it snow in Pittsburgh, PA by November 15?","group_item_title":"Pittsburgh, PA by November 15","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Pittsburgh, PA records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Pittsburgh, PA is measured only at station KPIT, which the National Weather Service reports as \"PITTSBURGH PA\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KPIT (midnight to midnight local time, America/New_York).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KPIT, issued as product CLIPIT. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIPIT.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-pittsburgh-pa-bvNuuNw8x0jV.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-pittsburgh-pa-bvNuuNw8x0jV.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.42,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:13Z","end_date":"2026-11-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":0.21999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.9617998600006104,"normalized_volume":2.719484329223633,"liquidity":33.7011,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T01:49:59.277749Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T01:49:59.277749Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-pittsburgh-pa-by-november-15","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.505,0.725,0.74,0.75]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171027","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-st-louis-mo-by-november-30","question":"Will it snow in St. Louis, MO by November 30?","group_item_title":"St. Louis, MO by November 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if St. Louis, MO records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for St. Louis, MO is measured only at station KSTL, which the National Weather Service reports as \"ST. LOUIS\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KSTL (midnight to midnight local time, America/Chicago).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KSTL, issued as product CLISTL. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLISTL.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-face-tornado-risk-on-august-4-2026-st-louis-mo-Cep5AuZWF3UF.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-face-tornado-risk-on-august-4-2026-st-louis-mo-Cep5AuZWF3UF.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.42,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:10Z","end_date":"2026-12-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":0.21999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.9617998600006104,"normalized_volume":2.719484329223633,"liquidity":16.2748,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:34.452575Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:34.452575Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-st-louis-mo-by-november-30","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.51,0.755,0.76]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171006","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-detroit-mi-by-november-15","question":"Will it snow in Detroit, MI by November 15?","group_item_title":"Detroit, MI by November 15","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Detroit, MI records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Detroit, MI is measured only at station KDTW, which the National Weather Service reports as \"DETROIT MI\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KDTW (midnight to midnight local time, America/Detroit).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KDTW, issued as product CLIDTW. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIDTW.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-detroit-mi-1rZOmTcmtr5O.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-detroit-mi-1rZOmTcmtr5O.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.725,0.275],"probability":0.725,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:14Z","end_date":"2026-11-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.9617998600006104,"normalized_volume":2.719484329223633,"liquidity":58.2364,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T23:29:24.192692Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T23:29:24.192692Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-detroit-mi-by-november-15","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.495,0.74,0.725]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171012","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-boston-ma-by-november-30","question":"Will it snow in Boston, MA by November 30?","group_item_title":"Boston, MA by November 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Boston, MA records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Boston, MA is measured only at station KBOS, which the National Weather Service reports as \"BOSTON MA\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KBOS (midnight to midnight local time, America/New_York).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KBOS, issued as product CLIBOS. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIBOS.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-boston-ma-jGOcx0cZDfbp.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-boston-ma-jGOcx0cZDfbp.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.725,0.275],"probability":0.725,"spread":0.41,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:14Z","end_date":"2026-12-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.2,"volume_24hr":20.2,"prob_24h_change":0.22499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":20.2,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.9865074157714844,"normalized_volume":2.7364442348480225,"liquidity":40.3539,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T01:49:59.277749Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T01:49:59.277749Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-boston-ma-by-november-30","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.51,0.74,0.75,0.75]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171025","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-pittsburgh-pa-by-november-30","question":"Will it snow in Pittsburgh, PA by November 30?","group_item_title":"Pittsburgh, PA by November 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Pittsburgh, PA records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Pittsburgh, PA is measured only at station KPIT, which the National Weather Service reports as \"PITTSBURGH PA\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KPIT (midnight to midnight local time, America/New_York).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KPIT, issued as product CLIPIT. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIPIT.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-pittsburgh-pa-bvNuuNw8x0jV.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-pittsburgh-pa-bvNuuNw8x0jV.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.725,0.275],"probability":0.725,"spread":0.41,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:10Z","end_date":"2026-12-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":0.21999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.9617998600006104,"normalized_volume":2.719484329223633,"liquidity":18.6346,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T01:49:59.277749Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T01:49:59.277749Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-pittsburgh-pa-by-november-30","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.51,0.755,0.76]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4170999","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-denver-co-by-october-31","question":"Will it snow in Denver, CO by October 31?","group_item_title":"Denver, CO by October 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Denver, CO records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Denver, CO is measured only at station KDEN, which the National Weather Service reports as \"DENVER CO\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KDEN (midnight to midnight local time, America/Denver).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KDEN, issued as product CLIDEN. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIDEN.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/denver-c2951e9cad.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/denver-c2951e9cad.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.72,0.28],"probability":0.72,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:15Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":100.0,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.10374927520752,"normalized_volume":6.249053955078125,"liquidity":120.5244,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T23:06:15.831084Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T23:06:15.831084Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-denver-co-by-october-31","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.49,0.72,0.72]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171020","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-kansas-city-mo-by-november-30","question":"Will it snow in Kansas City, MO by November 30?","group_item_title":"Kansas City, MO by November 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kansas City, MO records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Kansas City, MO is measured only at station KMCI, which the National Weather Service reports as \"KANSAS CITY INTERNATIONAL MO\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KMCI (midnight to midnight local time, America/Chicago).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KMCI, issued as product CLIMCI. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIMCI.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-face-tornado-risk-on-august-4-2026-kansas-city-mo-K3-0_-uTHG3d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-face-tornado-risk-on-august-4-2026-kansas-city-mo-K3-0_-uTHG3d.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.72,0.28],"probability":0.72,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:11Z","end_date":"2026-12-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":80.2,"volume_24hr":80.2,"prob_24h_change":0.20999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":80.2,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.263239860534668,"normalized_volume":5.672106742858887,"liquidity":58.1056,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T01:01:49.605457Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T01:01:49.605457Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-kansas-city-mo-by-november-30","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.51,0.75,0.725,0.72]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171011","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-salt-lake-city-ut-by-november-15","question":"Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by November 15?","group_item_title":"Salt Lake City, UT by November 15","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Salt Lake City, UT records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Salt Lake City, UT is measured only at station KSLC, which the National Weather Service reports as \"SALT LAKE CITY UT\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KSLC (midnight to midnight local time, America/Denver).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KSLC, issued as product CLISLC. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLISLC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-salt-lake-city-ut-KtZgQQeu-3Bi.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-salt-lake-city-ut-KtZgQQeu-3Bi.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.715,0.285],"probability":0.715,"spread":0.39,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:14Z","end_date":"2026-11-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.2,"volume_24hr":20.2,"prob_24h_change":0.21499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":20.2,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.9865074157714844,"normalized_volume":2.7364442348480225,"liquidity":34.8972,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T01:49:59.277749Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T01:49:59.277749Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-salt-lake-city-ut-by-november-15","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.505,0.75,0.755]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171004","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-chicago-il-by-november-15","question":"Will it snow in Chicago, IL by November 15?","group_item_title":"Chicago, IL by November 15","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Chicago, IL records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Chicago, IL is measured only at station KORD, which the National Weather Service reports as \"CHICAGO-OHARE\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KORD (midnight to midnight local time, America/Chicago).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KORD, issued as product CLIORD. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIORD.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-december-5-IoEGq9msnWg6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-december-5-IoEGq9msnWg6.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.69,0.31],"probability":0.69,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:15Z","end_date":"2026-11-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":123.0,"volume_24hr":123.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":105.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.931137084960938,"normalized_volume":6.816995620727539,"liquidity":238.2988,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T01:01:49.605457Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T01:01:49.605457Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-chicago-il-by-november-15","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.7,0.54,0.695,0.69]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171007","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-indianapolis-in-by-november-15","question":"Will it snow in Indianapolis, IN by November 15?","group_item_title":"Indianapolis, IN by November 15","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Indianapolis, IN records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Indianapolis, IN is measured only at station KIND, which the National Weather Service reports as \"INDIANAPOLIS IN\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KIND (midnight to midnight local time, America/Indiana/Indianapolis).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KIND, issued as product CLIIND. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIIND.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-face-tornado-risk-on-august-4-2026-indianapolis-in-MnbbG3jwhd1n.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-face-tornado-risk-on-august-4-2026-indianapolis-in-MnbbG3jwhd1n.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.655,0.345],"probability":0.655,"spread":0.23,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:14Z","end_date":"2026-11-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":140.815,"volume_24hr":140.815,"prob_24h_change":0.15000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":140.815,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.491991996765137,"normalized_volume":7.201981067657471,"liquidity":59.1894,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:34.452575Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:34.452575Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-indianapolis-in-by-november-15","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.505,0.55,0.745,0.66]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171000","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-minneapolis-mn-by-october-31","question":"Will it snow in Minneapolis, MN by October 31?","group_item_title":"Minneapolis, MN by October 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Minneapolis, MN records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Minneapolis, MN is measured only at station KMSP, which the National Weather Service reports as \"TWIN CITIES MN\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KMSP (midnight to midnight local time, America/Chicago).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KMSP, issued as product CLIMSP. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIMSP.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-minneapolis-mn--nbzPEE0olhi.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-minneapolis-mn--nbzPEE0olhi.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.54,0.46],"probability":0.54,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:15Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":106.2,"volume_24hr":106.2,"prob_24h_change":0.04500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":106.2,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.340303421020508,"normalized_volume":6.411431312561035,"liquidity":400.4813,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T01:01:49.605457Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T01:01:49.605457Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-minneapolis-mn-by-october-31","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.495,0.715,0.545,0.54]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171024","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-philadelphia-pa-by-november-30","question":"Will it snow in Philadelphia, PA by November 30?","group_item_title":"Philadelphia, PA by November 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Philadelphia, PA records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Philadelphia, PA is measured only at station KPHL, which the National Weather Service reports as \"PHILADELPHIA PA\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KPHL (midnight to midnight local time, America/New_York).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KPHL, issued as product CLIPHL. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIPHL.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/where-will-it-rain-on-august-4-2026-philadelphia-pa-heX5RVxv2Irg.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/where-will-it-rain-on-august-4-2026-philadelphia-pa-heX5RVxv2Irg.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.58],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:12Z","end_date":"2026-12-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":36.0,"volume_24hr":36.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.09000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":36.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.573004722595215,"normalized_volume":3.825457811355591,"liquidity":84.3439,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T23:29:24.192692Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T23:29:24.192692Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-philadelphia-pa-by-november-30","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.51,0.745,0.42]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171001","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-salt-lake-city-ut-by-october-31","question":"Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by October 31?","group_item_title":"Salt Lake City, UT by October 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Salt Lake City, UT records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Salt Lake City, UT is measured only at station KSLC, which the National Weather Service reports as \"SALT LAKE CITY UT\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KSLC (midnight to midnight local time, America/Denver).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KSLC, issued as product CLISLC. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLISLC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-salt-lake-city-ut-KtZgQQeu-3Bi.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-salt-lake-city-ut-KtZgQQeu-3Bi.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:15Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":225.0,"volume_24hr":225.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.10499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":225.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.558520317077637,"normalized_volume":8.620500564575195,"liquidity":674.7964,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T01:01:49.605457Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T01:01:49.605457Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-salt-lake-city-ut-by-october-31","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.505,0.505,0.41,0.4]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171022","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-nashville-tn-by-november-30","question":"Will it snow in Nashville, TN by November 30?","group_item_title":"Nashville, TN by November 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Nashville, TN records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Nashville, TN is measured only at station KBNA, which the National Weather Service reports as \"NASHVILLE\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KBNA (midnight to midnight local time, America/Chicago).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KBNA, issued as product CLIBNA. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIBNA.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-face-tornado-risk-on-august-4-2026-nashville-tn-K4vyfkdpue26.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-face-tornado-risk-on-august-4-2026-nashville-tn-K4vyfkdpue26.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.375,0.625],"probability":0.375,"spread":0.25,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:11Z","end_date":"2026-12-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":57.161289,"volume_24hr":57.161289,"prob_24h_change":-0.135,"volume_24h_change":57.161289,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.056589603424072,"normalized_volume":4.84382963180542,"liquidity":21.3637,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:34.452575Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:34.452575Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-nashville-tn-by-november-30","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.51,0.285,0.285,0.37]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171002","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-boston-ma-by-november-15","question":"Will it snow in Boston, MA by November 15?","group_item_title":"Boston, MA by November 15","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Boston, MA records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Boston, MA is measured only at station KBOS, which the National Weather Service reports as \"BOSTON MA\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KBOS (midnight to midnight local time, America/New_York).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KBOS, issued as product CLIBOS. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIBOS.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-boston-ma-jGOcx0cZDfbp.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-boston-ma-jGOcx0cZDfbp.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.295,0.705],"probability":0.295,"spread":0.43,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:14Z","end_date":"2026-11-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":60.2,"volume_24hr":60.2,"prob_24h_change":-0.20500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":60.2,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.234588623046875,"normalized_volume":4.966012954711914,"liquidity":33.5644,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:34.452575Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:34.452575Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-boston-ma-by-november-15","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.5,0.525,0.295,0.275]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171008","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-kansas-city-mo-by-november-15","question":"Will it snow in Kansas City, MO by November 15?","group_item_title":"Kansas City, MO by November 15","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kansas City, MO records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Kansas City, MO is measured only at station KMCI, which the National Weather Service reports as \"KANSAS CITY INTERNATIONAL MO\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KMCI (midnight to midnight local time, America/Chicago).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KMCI, issued as product CLIMCI. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIMCI.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-face-tornado-risk-on-august-4-2026-kansas-city-mo-K3-0_-uTHG3d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-face-tornado-risk-on-august-4-2026-kansas-city-mo-K3-0_-uTHG3d.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.29,0.71],"probability":0.29,"spread":0.42,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:13Z","end_date":"2026-11-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":42.0,"volume_24hr":42.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.20500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":42.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.046541690826416,"normalized_volume":4.150506496429443,"liquidity":29.5996,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T23:29:24.192692Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T23:29:24.192692Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-kansas-city-mo-by-november-15","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.495,0.28,0.29]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171028","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-washington-dc-by-november-30","question":"Will it snow in Washington, DC by November 30?","group_item_title":"Washington, DC by November 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Washington, DC records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Washington, DC is measured only at station KDCA, which the National Weather Service reports as \"WASHINGTON NATIONAL DC\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KDCA (midnight to midnight local time, America/New_York).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KDCA, issued as product CLIDCA. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIDCA.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-washington-dc-yDm-tKUhus1o.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-washington-dc-yDm-tKUhus1o.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.265,0.735],"probability":0.265,"spread":0.43,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:11Z","end_date":"2026-12-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.0,"volume_24hr":40.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.014999999999999958,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.894376754760742,"normalized_volume":4.046056270599365,"liquidity":18.0471,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T01:49:59.277749Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T01:49:59.277749Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-washington-dc-by-november-30","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.29,0.275,0.255,0.25]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171016","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-dallas-tx-by-november-30","question":"Will it snow in Dallas, TX by November 30?","group_item_title":"Dallas, TX by November 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Dallas, TX records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Dallas, TX is measured only at station KDFW, which the National Weather Service reports as \"DALLAS/FORT WORTH\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KDFW (midnight to midnight local time, America/Chicago).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KDFW, issued as product CLIDFW. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIDFW.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-december-5-m1XZuVxmKEs_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-december-5-m1XZuVxmKEs_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:12Z","end_date":"2026-12-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":218.65,"volume_24hr":218.65,"prob_24h_change":-0.205,"volume_24h_change":198.65,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.426809310913086,"normalized_volume":8.530091285705566,"liquidity":148.3093,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T23:06:15.831084Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T23:06:15.831084Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-dallas-tx-by-november-30","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.295,0.165,0.09]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4171013","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-buffalo-ny-by-november-30","question":"Will it snow in Buffalo, NY by November 30?","group_item_title":"Buffalo, NY by November 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Buffalo, NY records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Buffalo, NY is measured only at station KBUF, which the National Weather Service reports as \"BUFFALO NY\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KBUF (midnight to midnight local time, America/New_York).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KBUF, issued as product CLIBUF. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIBUF.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-buffalo-ny-N90eRg9gsnsv.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-buffalo-ny-N90eRg9gsnsv.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.93,0.07],"probability":0.93,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:13Z","end_date":"2026-12-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.02499999999999991,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":363.4284,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T01:49:59.277749Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T01:49:59.277749Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-buffalo-ny-by-november-30","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.95,0.935,0.935]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4170998","event_id":"956007","slug":"first-snow-2026-buffalo-ny-by-october-31","question":"Will it snow in Buffalo, NY by October 31?","group_item_title":"Buffalo, NY by October 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Buffalo, NY records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Snowfall for Buffalo, NY is measured only at station KBUF, which the National Weather Service reports as \"BUFFALO NY\" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.\n\nAny amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of \"T\" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves \"Yes\" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves \"No\" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.\n\nThe observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KBUF (midnight to midnight local time, America/New_York).\n\nResolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as \"M\") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves \"Yes\". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - \"Yes\" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or \"No\" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KBUF, issued as product CLIBUF. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIBUF.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-buffalo-ny-N90eRg9gsnsv.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-it-snow-on-december-15-2026-buffalo-ny-N90eRg9gsnsv.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.515,0.485],"probability":0.515,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-02T20:28:15Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":124.6872,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T22:40:10.917782Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T22:40:10.917782Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T21:33:21.960710Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/first-snow-2026/first-snow-2026-buffalo-ny-by-october-31","event_title":"First snow of the 2026 season","chart_24h":[0.51,0.515]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/956007","as_of":"2026-09-03T01:50:47.190437Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"First snow of the 2026 season\" — top market at 40% probability across 31 outcomes","source_url":null}}