{"source":"polymarket","id":"956931","ticker":"how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027","slug":"how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027","title":"How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"5 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-10-year-treasury-yield-go-in-2025-nKj-Uvwxqu0s.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-10-year-treasury-yield-go-in-2025-nKj-Uvwxqu0s.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T01:05:43Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3733.079031,"volume_24hr":3733.079031,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.053565979003906,"normalized_volume":15.39168643951416,"liquidity":836.8092,"open_interest":3601.145697,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"102028","slug":"treasuries","label":"Treasuries"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.80%","top_outcome_probability":0.79,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.12,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":237.553334,"updated_at":"2026-09-10T22:37:03.249166Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-10T22:37:03.249166Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:42.456098Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,647.55,919.03,919.03,919.03,1121.03,1166.03,1725.98,3733.079031,3733.079031,3733.079031],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4178741","event_id":"956931","slug":"will-the-5-year-treasury-yield-hit-4pt70-before-2027","question":"Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.70% before 2027?","group_item_title":"4.70%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"5 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-03T01:05:43Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-10T22:04:54Z","volume":1118.26,"volume_24hr":1118.26,"prob_24h_change":0.09499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":470.71000000000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.09210205078125,"normalized_volume":14.46021556854248,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-10T22:18:05.906813Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-10T22:18:05.906813Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:42.483117Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027/will-the-5-year-treasury-yield-hit-4pt70-before-2027","event_title":"How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.905,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.975,0.9995,1.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4178742","event_id":"956931","slug":"will-the-5-year-treasury-yield-hit-4pt75-before-2027","question":"Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.75% before 2027?","group_item_title":"4.75%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"5 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-03T01:05:46Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-10T22:04:54Z","volume":455.71400000000006,"volume_24hr":455.71400000000006,"prob_24h_change":0.18999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":184.23400000000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.049880981445312,"normalized_volume":11.003395080566406,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-10T22:18:05.906813Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-10T22:18:05.906813Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:42.483117Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027/will-the-5-year-treasury-yield-hit-4pt75-before-2027","event_title":"How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.81,0.815,0.825,0.9995,0.9995,1.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4178743","event_id":"956931","slug":"will-the-5-year-treasury-yield-hit-4pt80-before-2027","question":"Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027?","group_item_title":"4.80%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"5 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.79,0.21],"probability":0.79,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T01:05:46Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":398.553334,"volume_24hr":398.553334,"prob_24h_change":0.12,"volume_24h_change":237.553334,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.35667896270752,"normalized_volume":10.528153419494629,"liquidity":225.9106,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-10T21:00:45.611952Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-10T21:00:45.611952Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:42.483117Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027/will-the-5-year-treasury-yield-hit-4pt80-before-2027","event_title":"How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.67,0.665,0.66,0.7,0.79]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4178744","event_id":"956931","slug":"will-the-5-year-treasury-yield-hit-4pt85-before-2027","question":"Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.85% before 2027?","group_item_title":"4.85%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"5 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.735,0.265],"probability":0.735,"spread":0.43,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T01:05:46Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":95.471697,"volume_24hr":95.471697,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":95.471697,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.93476390838623,"normalized_volume":6.1254496574401855,"liquidity":26.728,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-10T20:42:08.059373Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-10T20:42:08.059373Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:42.483117Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027/will-the-5-year-treasury-yield-hit-4pt85-before-2027","event_title":"How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.74,0.735]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4178746","event_id":"956931","slug":"will-the-5-year-treasury-yield-hit-4pt95-before-2027","question":"Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.95% before 2027?","group_item_title":"4.95%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"5 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.705,0.295],"probability":0.705,"spread":0.51,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T01:05:45Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":100.0,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":0.29999999999999993,"volume_24h_change":100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.115056991577148,"normalized_volume":6.249053955078125,"liquidity":35.6993,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-10T22:37:04.810958Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-10T22:37:04.810958Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:42.483117Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027/will-the-5-year-treasury-yield-hit-4pt95-before-2027","event_title":"How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.405,0.705,0.685,0.7,0.71]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4178745","event_id":"956931","slug":"will-the-5-year-treasury-yield-hit-4pt90-before-2027","question":"Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?","group_item_title":"4.90%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"5 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.7,0.3],"probability":0.7,"spread":0.52,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T01:05:46Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":80.0,"volume_24hr":80.0,"prob_24h_change":0.27499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":80.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.264225959777832,"normalized_volume":5.665745735168457,"liquidity":31.2134,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-10T22:18:05.906813Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-10T22:18:05.906813Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:42.483117Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027/will-the-5-year-treasury-yield-hit-4pt90-before-2027","event_title":"How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.425,0.7,0.685,0.705,0.7]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4178747","event_id":"956931","slug":"will-the-5-year-treasury-yield-hit-5pt00-before-2027","question":"Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?","group_item_title":"5.00%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"5 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.615,0.385],"probability":0.615,"spread":0.51,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T01:05:46Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":126.29,"volume_24hr":126.29,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":126.29,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.051803588867188,"normalized_volume":6.891263961791992,"liquidity":48.0953,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-10T22:37:04.810958Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-10T22:37:04.810958Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:42.483117Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027/will-the-5-year-treasury-yield-hit-5pt00-before-2027","event_title":"How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.635,0.61,0.62]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4178748","event_id":"956931","slug":"will-the-5-year-treasury-yield-hit-5pt10-before-2027","question":"Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?","group_item_title":"5.10%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"5 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.61,0.39],"probability":0.61,"spread":0.48,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T01:05:45Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":748.79,"volume_24hr":748.79,"prob_24h_change":0.395,"volume_24h_change":748.79,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.75349235534668,"normalized_volume":12.85692310333252,"liquidity":144.0575,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-10T22:37:04.810958Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-10T22:37:04.810958Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:42.483117Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027/will-the-5-year-treasury-yield-hit-5pt10-before-2027","event_title":"How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.215,0.71,0.63,0.625,0.61]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4178749","event_id":"956931","slug":"will-the-5-year-treasury-yield-hit-5pt25-before-2027","question":"Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?","group_item_title":"5.25%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"5 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.505,0.495],"probability":0.505,"spread":0.41,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T01:05:45Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":610.0,"volume_24hr":610.0,"prob_24h_change":0.03500000000000003,"volume_24h_change":610.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.611637115478516,"normalized_volume":12.0740966796875,"liquidity":103.7781,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-10T22:37:04.810958Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-10T22:37:04.810958Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:42.483117Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027/will-the-5-year-treasury-yield-hit-5pt25-before-2027","event_title":"How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/956931","as_of":"2026-09-10T22:51:44.286321Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?\" — top market at 100% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}