{"source":"polymarket","id":"956934","ticker":"how-low-will-30-year-treasury-yield-get-in-september","slug":"how-low-will-30-year-treasury-yield-get-in-september","title":"How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"30 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-in-2025-yNf76ihPd5I3.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-in-2025-yNf76ihPd5I3.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T01:06:15Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1127.6236299999998,"volume_24hr":1127.62363,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.154054641723633,"normalized_volume":11.240471839904785,"liquidity":4147.3308,"open_interest":331.167452,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"102028","slug":"treasuries","label":"Treasuries"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Below 5.24%","top_outcome_probability":0.845,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.24,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":282.352932,"updated_at":"2026-09-07T15:20:15.469698Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-07T15:20:15.469698Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:42.456098Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-30-year-treasury-yield-get-in-september","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,452.912695,472.912695,556.222692,662.145093,662.145093,662.145093,662.145093,1127.62363,1127.62363,1127.62363,1127.62363,1127.62363,1127.62363],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4178776","event_id":"956934","slug":"will-the-30-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-5pt24-in-september","question":"Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.24% in September?","group_item_title":"Below 5.24%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"30 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.845,0.155],"probability":0.845,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T01:06:22Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":282.352932,"volume_24hr":282.352932,"prob_24h_change":0.24,"volume_24h_change":282.352932,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.561762809753418,"normalized_volume":9.35484504699707,"liquidity":751.9442,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-07T11:02:27.782954Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-07T11:02:27.782954Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:42.483117Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-30-year-treasury-yield-get-in-september/will-the-30-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-5pt24-in-september","event_title":"How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?","chart_24h":[0.605,0.605,0.605,0.595,0.845,0.845,0.845]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4178775","event_id":"956934","slug":"will-the-30-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-5pt21-in-september","question":"Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.21% in September?","group_item_title":"Below 5.21%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"30 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.685,0.315],"probability":0.685,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T01:06:20Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":60.0,"volume_24hr":60.0,"prob_24h_change":0.08500000000000008,"volume_24h_change":60.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.657796382904053,"normalized_volume":4.958113670349121,"liquidity":2439.7282,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-07T11:02:27.782954Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-07T11:02:27.782954Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:42.483117Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-30-year-treasury-yield-get-in-september/will-the-30-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-5pt21-in-september","event_title":"How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?","chart_24h":[0.6,0.595,0.595,0.595,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.685,0.685]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4178772","event_id":"956934","slug":"will-the-30-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-5pt12-in-september","question":"Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in September?","group_item_title":"Below 5.12%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"30 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.405,0.595],"probability":0.405,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T01:06:19Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":569.9051469999999,"volume_24hr":569.9051469999999,"prob_24h_change":-0.05499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":569.9051469999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.871930122375488,"normalized_volume":11.819952011108398,"liquidity":5880.5616,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-07T11:02:27.782954Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-07T11:02:27.782954Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:42.483117Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-30-year-treasury-yield-get-in-september/will-the-30-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-5pt12-in-september","event_title":"How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?","chart_24h":[0.46,0.465,0.465,0.46,0.41,0.405,0.405,0.405,0.405,0.405,0.405]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4178771","event_id":"956934","slug":"will-the-30-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-5pt09-in-september","question":"Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in September?","group_item_title":"Below 5.09%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"30 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.335,0.665],"probability":0.335,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T01:06:20Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.555554,"volume_24hr":20.555554,"prob_24h_change":-0.12,"volume_24h_change":20.555554,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.7146525382995605,"normalized_volume":2.766331195831299,"liquidity":1946.2841,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-07T07:38:27.048758Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-07T07:38:27.048758Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:42.483117Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-30-year-treasury-yield-get-in-september/will-the-30-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-5pt09-in-september","event_title":"How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?","chart_24h":[0.455,0.45,0.45,0.445,0.45,0.445,0.455,0.45,0.445,0.34,0.335]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4178769","event_id":"956934","slug":"will-the-30-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-5pt00-in-september","question":"Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in September?","group_item_title":"Below 5.00%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"30 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.135,0.865],"probability":0.135,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T01:06:16Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.0,"volume_24hr":40.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.365,"volume_24h_change":40.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.433077812194824,"normalized_volume":4.046056270599365,"liquidity":166.4526,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-07T05:49:06.350403Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-07T05:49:06.350403Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:42.483117Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-30-year-treasury-yield-get-in-september/will-the-30-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-5pt00-in-september","event_title":"How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.13,0.135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4178768","event_id":"956934","slug":"will-the-30-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-4pt95-in-september","question":"Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in September?","group_item_title":"Below 4.95%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"30 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.115,0.885],"probability":0.115,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T01:06:16Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":154.809997,"volume_24hr":154.80999699999998,"prob_24h_change":-0.265,"volume_24h_change":154.809997,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.041776657104492,"normalized_volume":7.478190898895264,"liquidity":613.2955,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-07T15:20:15.798518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-07T15:20:15.798518Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:42.483117Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-30-year-treasury-yield-get-in-september/will-the-30-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-4pt95-in-september","event_title":"How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?","chart_24h":[0.38,0.385,0.39,0.375,0.375,0.385,0.37,0.385,0.36,0.37,0.355,0.365,0.36,0.11,0.11,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4178774","event_id":"956934","slug":"will-the-30-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-5pt18-in-september","question":"Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in September?","group_item_title":"Below 5.18%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"30 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.585,0.415],"probability":0.585,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T01:06:19Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.08499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1701.9831,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-07T07:38:27.048758Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-07T07:38:27.048758Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:42.483117Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-30-year-treasury-yield-get-in-september/will-the-30-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-5pt18-in-september","event_title":"How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.505,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.5,0.495,0.5,0.59,0.585]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4178773","event_id":"956934","slug":"will-the-30-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-5pt15-in-september","question":"Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in September?","group_item_title":"Below 5.15%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"30 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.505,0.495],"probability":0.505,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T01:06:20Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1573.7878,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-07T07:38:27.048758Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-07T07:38:27.048758Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:42.483117Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-30-year-treasury-yield-get-in-september/will-the-30-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-5pt15-in-september","event_title":"How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.505,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.505]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4178770","event_id":"956934","slug":"will-the-30-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-5pt05-in-september","question":"Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in September?","group_item_title":"Below 5.05%","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"30 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.235,0.765],"probability":0.235,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T01:06:15Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.265,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":850.4738,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-07T05:25:37.427445Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-07T05:25:37.427445Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T01:26:42.483117Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-30-year-treasury-yield-get-in-september/will-the-30-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-5pt05-in-september","event_title":"How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.235]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/956934","as_of":"2026-09-07T15:21:46.325655Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?\" — top market at 40% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}