{"source":"polymarket","id":"990818","ticker":"sweden-parliamentary-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory","slug":"sweden-parliamentary-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory","title":"Sweden Parliamentary Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory","description":"Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes received in this election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the party that wins the most valid votes and the party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the party in question.\n\nIf the Social Democratic Party (S) ties with one or more parties for the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for S.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another Party Wins”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sweden-parliamentary-election-winner-IocfiwWAt86R.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sweden-parliamentary-election-winner-IocfiwWAt86R.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T20:59:11Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":434.75246,"volume_24hr":434.75246,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.899430274963379,"normalized_volume":8.402132034301758,"liquidity":23487.64327,"open_interest":1267.1929420000001,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"191","slug":"sweden","label":"Sweden"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"106088","slug":"sweden-elections","label":"Sweden Elections"},{"id":"105438","slug":"international-election-props","label":"International Election Props"},{"id":"106091","slug":"sweden-parliamentary-elections","label":"Sweden Parliamentary Elections"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"S 4-7%","top_outcome_probability":0.41,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-09T04:27:52.205977Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T04:27:52.205977Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T21:15:23.464199Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sweden-parliamentary-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,160.0,160.0,160.0,160.0,160.0,303.69294199999996,434.75246],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4389054","event_id":"990818","slug":"will-the-swedish-social-democratic-party-s-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-sweden-parliamentary-election-by-less-than-4","question":"Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by less than 4%?","group_item_title":"S <4%","description":"Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes received in this election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the party that wins the most valid votes and the party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the party in question.\n\nIf the Social Democratic Party (S) ties with one or more parties for the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for S.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another Party Wins”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sweden-parliamentary-election-winner-IocfiwWAt86R.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sweden-parliamentary-election-winner-IocfiwWAt86R.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.155,0.845],"probability":0.155,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T20:59:11Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":381.41246,"volume_24hr":381.41245999999995,"prob_24h_change":-0.265,"volume_24h_change":381.41245999999995,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.281224250793457,"normalized_volume":10.374591827392578,"liquidity":12624.4651,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Sweden"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T04:27:52.530128Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T04:27:52.530128Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T21:15:23.732636Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sweden-parliamentary-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory/will-the-swedish-social-democratic-party-s-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-sweden-parliamentary-election-by-less-than-4","event_title":"Sweden Parliamentary Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.42,0.17,0.195,0.19,0.185,0.145,0.155,0.165,0.155]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4389059","event_id":"990818","slug":"will-another-party-win-the-2026-sweden-parliamentary-election","question":"Will another party win the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election?","group_item_title":"Another Party Wins","description":"Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes received in this election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the party that wins the most valid votes and the party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the party in question.\n\nIf the Social Democratic Party (S) ties with one or more parties for the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for S.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another Party Wins”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sweden-parliamentary-election-winner-IocfiwWAt86R.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sweden-parliamentary-election-winner-IocfiwWAt86R.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.025,0.975],"probability":0.025,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T20:59:11Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":53.34,"volume_24hr":53.34,"prob_24h_change":-0.39499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":53.34,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.446631908416748,"normalized_volume":4.6831536293029785,"liquidity":8963.04737,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Sweden"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T03:29:43.089533Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T03:29:43.089533Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T21:15:23.732636Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sweden-parliamentary-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory/will-another-party-win-the-2026-sweden-parliamentary-election","event_title":"Sweden Parliamentary Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.42,0.265,0.24,0.235,0.24,0.24,0.235,0.23,0.025]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4389055","event_id":"990818","slug":"will-the-social-democrats-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-sweden-parliamentary-election-by-4-7","question":"Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 4-7%?","group_item_title":"S 4-7%","description":"Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes received in this election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the party that wins the most valid votes and the party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the party in question.\n\nIf the Social Democratic Party (S) ties with one or more parties for the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for S.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another Party Wins”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sweden-parliamentary-election-winner-IocfiwWAt86R.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sweden-parliamentary-election-winner-IocfiwWAt86R.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.59],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.5,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T20:59:11Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":556.9525,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Sweden"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T04:27:52.530128Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T04:27:52.530128Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T21:15:23.732636Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sweden-parliamentary-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory/will-the-social-democrats-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-sweden-parliamentary-election-by-4-7","event_title":"Sweden Parliamentary Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.42,0.315,0.435,0.465,0.455,0.435,0.405,0.395,0.41]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4389056","event_id":"990818","slug":"will-the-social-democrats-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-sweden-parliamentary-election-by-7-10","question":"Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 7-10%?","group_item_title":"S 7-10%","description":"Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes received in this election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the party that wins the most valid votes and the party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the party in question.\n\nIf the Social Democratic Party (S) ties with one or more parties for the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for S.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another Party Wins”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sweden-parliamentary-election-winner-IocfiwWAt86R.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sweden-parliamentary-election-winner-IocfiwWAt86R.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.39,0.61],"probability":0.39,"spread":0.46,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T20:59:11Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.02999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":536.74,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Sweden"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T00:30:23.031610Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T00:30:23.031610Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T21:15:23.732636Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sweden-parliamentary-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory/will-the-social-democrats-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-sweden-parliamentary-election-by-7-10","event_title":"Sweden Parliamentary Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.42,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.425,0.39]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4389057","event_id":"990818","slug":"will-the-social-democrats-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-sweden-parliamentary-election-by-10-13","question":"Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 10-13%?","group_item_title":"S 10-13%","description":"Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes received in this election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the party that wins the most valid votes and the party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the party in question.\n\nIf the Social Democratic Party (S) ties with one or more parties for the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for S.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another Party Wins”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sweden-parliamentary-election-winner-IocfiwWAt86R.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sweden-parliamentary-election-winner-IocfiwWAt86R.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.305,0.695],"probability":0.305,"spread":0.51,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T20:59:11Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.11499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":509.2786,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Sweden"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T04:27:52.530128Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T04:27:52.530128Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T21:15:23.732636Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sweden-parliamentary-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory/will-the-social-democrats-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-sweden-parliamentary-election-by-10-13","event_title":"Sweden Parliamentary Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.42,0.245,0.26,0.265,0.255,0.35,0.3,0.295,0.305]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4389058","event_id":"990818","slug":"will-the-social-democrats-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-sweden-parliamentary-election-by-13-or-more","question":"Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 13% or more?","group_item_title":"S 13%+","description":"Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes received in this election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the party that wins the most valid votes and the party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the party in question.\n\nIf the Social Democratic Party (S) ties with one or more parties for the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for S.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another Party Wins”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sweden-parliamentary-election-winner-IocfiwWAt86R.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sweden-parliamentary-election-winner-IocfiwWAt86R.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.24,0.76],"probability":0.24,"spread":0.4,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T20:59:11Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.18,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":402.7211,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Sweden"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T03:29:43.089533Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T03:29:43.089533Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T21:15:23.732636Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sweden-parliamentary-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory/will-the-social-democrats-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2026-sweden-parliamentary-election-by-13-or-more","event_title":"Sweden Parliamentary Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.42,0.265,0.25,0.265,0.265,0.26,0.245,0.24]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/990818","as_of":"2026-09-09T04:37:39.914660Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Sweden Parliamentary Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory\" — top market at 16% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}