{"source":"polymarket","id":"991304","ticker":"reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-december-20260908230600001","slug":"reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-december-20260908230600001","title":"Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?","description":"This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 9, 2026, as listed on the official RBNZ calendar (https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-february-zmO0aor5c4sD.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-february-zmO0aor5c4sD.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T23:45:53Z","end_date":"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3244.521915,"volume_24hr":3244.521915,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.37205696105957,"normalized_volume":14.871810913085938,"liquidity":5909.85769,"open_interest":1677.2562249999999,"categories":["World","Economy","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"102995","slug":"rbnz","label":"RBNZ"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"102997","slug":"new-zealand","label":"New Zealand"},{"id":"103176","slug":"Global-Rates","label":"Global Rates"},{"id":"101800","slug":"economic-policy","label":"Economic Policy"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"25 bps increase","top_outcome_probability":0.6,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.15999999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2369.131326,"updated_at":"2026-09-09T08:54:09.449079Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T08:54:09.449079Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T23:57:59.840012Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-december-20260908230600001","chart_24h":[0.0,15.617648,37.617648,496.340811,516.340811,565.340811,686.412242,686.412242,686.412242,686.412242,3101.2432249999997,3122.88257,3224.521915,3224.521915],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4393683","event_id":"991304","slug":"reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-increases-interest-rates-by-25-bps-at-the-december-2026-meeting-20260908230600005","question":"Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?","group_item_title":"25 bps increase","description":"This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 9, 2026, as listed on the official RBNZ calendar (https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-february-zmO0aor5c4sD.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-february-zmO0aor5c4sD.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.6,0.4],"probability":0.6,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T23:45:53Z","end_date":"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2369.1313259999997,"volume_24hr":2369.131326,"prob_24h_change":0.15999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":2369.131326,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.387258529663086,"normalized_volume":17.71611785888672,"liquidity":1733.4565,"categories":["World","Economy","Politics"],"countries":["New Zealand"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T08:54:09.676615Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T08:54:09.676615Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T23:57:59.914046Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-december-20260908230600001/reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-increases-interest-rates-by-25-bps-at-the-december-2026-meeting-20260908230600005","event_title":"Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.335,0.34,0.555,0.555,0.555,0.555,0.595,0.595,0.6]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4393678","event_id":"991304","slug":"no-change-in-reserve-bank-of-new-zealands-interest-rates-at-the-december-2026-meeting-20260908230600004","question":"No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?","group_item_title":"No change","description":"This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 9, 2026, as listed on the official RBNZ calendar (https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-february-zmO0aor5c4sD.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-february-zmO0aor5c4sD.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.325,0.675],"probability":0.325,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T23:45:53Z","end_date":"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":479.723163,"volume_24hr":479.723163,"prob_24h_change":-0.11499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":479.723163,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.401307106018066,"normalized_volume":11.188275337219238,"liquidity":1075.9923,"categories":["World","Economy","Politics"],"countries":["New Zealand"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T08:54:09.676615Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T08:54:09.676615Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T23:57:59.914046Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-december-20260908230600001/no-change-in-reserve-bank-of-new-zealands-interest-rates-at-the-december-2026-meeting-20260908230600004","event_title":"Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.435,0.435,0.375,0.34,0.325,0.325]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4393666","event_id":"991304","slug":"reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decreases-interest-rates-by-25-bps-at-the-december-2026-meeting-20260908230600003","question":"Reserve Bank of New Zealand decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?","group_item_title":"25 bps decrease","description":"This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 9, 2026, as listed on the official RBNZ calendar (https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-february-zmO0aor5c4sD.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-february-zmO0aor5c4sD.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0355,0.9645],"probability":0.0355,"spread":0.047,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T23:45:53Z","end_date":"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":152.23156,"volume_24hr":152.23156,"prob_24h_change":-0.4045,"volume_24h_change":152.23156,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.226223945617676,"normalized_volume":7.428837776184082,"liquidity":1032.99832,"categories":["World","Economy","Politics"],"countries":["New Zealand"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T08:54:09.676615Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T08:54:09.676615Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T23:57:59.914046Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-december-20260908230600001/reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decreases-interest-rates-by-25-bps-at-the-december-2026-meeting-20260908230600003","event_title":"Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.055,0.255,0.12,0.07,0.075,0.08,0.035,0.036,0.036]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4393660","event_id":"991304","slug":"reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decreases-interest-rates-by-50-bps-at-the-december-2026-meeting-20260908230600002","question":"Reserve Bank of New Zealand decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting?","group_item_title":"50+ bps decrease","description":"This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 9, 2026, as listed on the official RBNZ calendar (https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-february-zmO0aor5c4sD.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-february-zmO0aor5c4sD.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0305,0.9695],"probability":0.0305,"spread":0.039,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T23:45:53Z","end_date":"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":70.0,"volume_24hr":70.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.4095,"volume_24h_change":70.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.338513374328613,"normalized_volume":5.331060886383057,"liquidity":931.9021,"categories":["World","Economy","Politics"],"countries":["New Zealand"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T07:54:14.783072Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T07:54:14.783072Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T23:57:59.914046Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-december-20260908230600001/reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decreases-interest-rates-by-50-bps-at-the-december-2026-meeting-20260908230600002","event_title":"Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.035,0.0305,0.0305,0.0295,0.0285,0.0275,0.0215,0.03,0.0305,0.0305]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4393686","event_id":"991304","slug":"reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-increases-interest-rates-by-50-bps-at-the-december-2026-meeting-20260908230600006","question":"Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting?","group_item_title":"50+ bps increase","description":"This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 9, 2026, as listed on the official RBNZ calendar (https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-february-zmO0aor5c4sD.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-february-zmO0aor5c4sD.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T23:45:53Z","end_date":"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":173.43586599999998,"volume_24hr":173.435866,"prob_24h_change":-0.41000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":173.435866,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.759798049926758,"normalized_volume":7.8164520263671875,"liquidity":877.55007,"categories":["World","Economy","Politics"],"countries":["New Zealand"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T06:51:07.024300Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T06:51:07.024300Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T23:57:59.914046Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-december-20260908230600001/reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-increases-interest-rates-by-50-bps-at-the-december-2026-meeting-20260908230600006","event_title":"Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.0305,0.03]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/991304","as_of":"2026-09-09T09:00:27.159463Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?\" — top market at 60% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}